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At The Money: Becoming a “FinFluencer”

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At The Money: Considering a Career Change? How About FINFLUENCER? With Tyler Gardner (September 9, 2026)

Ever think of a career change? Have you thought about becoming a “finfluencer” on TikTok, Insta, or YouTube? It could be both interesting AND lucrative.

Full transcript below.

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About this week’s guest:

Tyler Gardner is a former financial adviser and portfolio manager who pivoted to a financial-media business, reaching more than six million followers.  His book “Real Wealth: Make Money Work for You” arrives Dec 1, 2026

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Find all of the previous At the Money episodes here, and in the MiB feed on Apple PodcastsYouTubeSpotify, and Bloomberg. And find the entire musical playlist of all the songs I have used on At the Money on Spotify

 

 

 

 

TRANSCRIPT: At the Money Becoming a Financial Influencer, with Tyler Gardner
Host: Barry Ritholtz  |  Bloomberg Audio Studios

 

BARRY RITHOLTZ: Ever think of becoming an influencer, shifting your career to TikTok, Instagram, or YouTube? It could be both interesting and lucrative. To help us unpack this and what it might mean for your career, let’s bring in Tyler Gardner. He taught economics, eventually becoming a financial advisor and portfolio manager, but then he pivoted to a financial media business, eventually reaching more than 6 million followers. His book, Real Wealth: Make Money Work For You, arrives December 1st, 2026.

So, Tyler, let’s start in the beginning of your career. What pulled you out of education and into finance?

TYLER GARDNER: Oh, I think the easiest way to sum it up is I’ve never been pulled out of education. There was a point — I remember the meeting specifically — it was with our faculty at a school in Connecticut where we had a representative from TIAA-CREF who came to talk about retirement funds. And not one colleague of mine could understand what this person was talking about when they were saying expense ratios or target date funds. And I left saying, there’s a big problem if 110 truly educated adults in this world cannot understand a basic concept of expense ratio.

And so I wanted to add education to the financial component. And I realized at some point along the educational career in high school, I liked talking to my colleagues a little more about money than I liked talking about semicolons in class to 15-year-olds. I didn’t try to eliminate it. I just started to have this vision that becoming a financial advisor or portfolio manager would be education for finance. And I’d get to go teach these things and learn these things. So that was the initial inspiration for the pivot.

BARRY RITHOLTZ: You know, some people would say the complexity and impenetrable jargon is a feature, not a bug, because hey, if you don’t understand what financial people are saying — or for that matter, contractors or doctors or lawyers, what have you — well then you have to pay them for their expertise. But let’s leave that cynicism aside. You eventually become both a financial advisor and a portfolio manager. What surprised you about how wealth management actually operated as an industry?

TYLER GARDNER: Phenomenal question, because that’s all it was. It was a big surprise. I worked with great people, I’ll start with this. It was a small RIA in Vermont. And the reason I was drawn to that specific RIA is that unlike some of the bigger corporate wealth management firms, they really struck me as valuing education. So again, I got brought into this world thinking — I had this real ideal vision that I’d move back to Vermont, I’d get to educate people in my own hometown when I came back. And the biggest surprise was that the majority of people who wanted us to manage their wealth didn’t want to be educated on managing their wealth. They wanted us to manage their wealth.

And there was a great irony in the fact that so many people, particularly high net worth individuals, wanted to give the assets and say, “Don’t call me. I’ll call you. We’re all set. I’m paying for the convenience.” Right. And that surprised me. I was really looking forward to a scenario in which I had a daily class with people or a daily coffee where people would flock to wanting to learn more about index funds and low-cost investing. It didn’t quite work like that.

BARRY RITHOLTZ: So how did the social media experiment begin? You’re a natural teacher. What led you to say, well, if my clients aren’t asking me to educate them, I’m just gonna educate everybody else? How did that really start?

TYLER GARDNER: Yeah, well, I think, again, to give credit to the initial RIA for which I worked, they noticed very quickly just what you just said — they noticed and were drawn to the fact that I loved to educate. And so they brought their marketing team in and we started doing some short-form videos. They, as a firm, said, look, this is a really powerful way to reach an abundance of people beyond a very small state in New England, and we want to get the message out. So we started doing videos, we just weren’t positioning them correctly.

And when I say correctly, I mean, I think we were putting the majority of them on our firm’s website and maybe every now and then putting some on LinkedIn. And they just weren’t going anywhere. There was no real reach or power. And so when I first really saw the power of TikTok and Instagram and Facebook, I go, this is the disconnect. But they knew early on that education combined with the considerable reach of these platforms was very powerful. We just never could hone it as well as I know we all wanted to.

BARRY RITHOLTZ: There are lots and lots of stories of people putting stuff on LinkedIn and Facebook and TikTok and YouTube, and, you know, it doesn’t really generate a response. Doesn’t get a whole lot of follows, a whole lot of likes. At what point was there a specific video or a post that persuaded you, hey, there might be a real audience here?

TYLER GARDNER: Yeah, the number one reason. So I came home after doing — we had probably done 10 videos as a firm. And I came home and my wife was actually scrolling TikTok and she said, you gotta look at this person. They’re talking about a Roth IRA and it’s really funny. And I looked at the video and it was funny, it was engaging, and the person didn’t know what a Roth IRA was. So I look at this, I said, hon, this isn’t actually how a Roth IRA works. And so I started going down the rabbit hole, because there had been 2 million views on this video, and it was complete misinformation. So when I delved a little bit more into the rabbit hole, I found there were a lot of people on these platforms who were very engaging and could speak very confidently and articulately, and they were just flat out wrong.

And then the people who were really accurate and data-driven and who had done all the work, or who had actually been PMs or financial advisors for 20 years, some of them didn’t quite know how to engage. So I looked at it and said, just from a business standpoint, there’s a real gap in social media of someone who actually can educate in a simple way. Somebody who’s used to taking very complex ideas and trying to make them digestible in 30 seconds or less, and is able to also actually bring data points in. And so I almost took it as a big challenge initially of, how can we do this? And I look at it as an art form of how can you package something that most of the world doesn’t want to think about on a daily basis — finance, investing — and make it something fun. So was there a specific video early? No, it was more the gap in the marketplace that made me want to pursue it.

BARRY RITHOLTZ: You know, everybody I’ve dealt with over the years who is both at a regulated shop — be it SEC or FINRA or state regs — and is a creator, blogger, videographer, podcaster, whatever, runs into some issues with their firm. Way back when, some of the big wirehouses, when Twitter first came out, would give their advisors a list of approved tweets, like, here, choose from this menu. You know, that’s gonna get no pickup at all.

I got really lucky. My general counsel back in ’02, ’03 — before that, nobody knew. Nobody understood, nobody cared. I was on GeoCities and then TypePad, and nobody said a word, ’cause what the hell is social media? What the hell is blogging? But I was lucky to have a general counsel who said, listen, about all these posts you’re doing, you could talk about the market, the economy, sectors, whatever you want. You cannot say buy Microsoft. You cannot say sell Dell. No buys or sells and you’re good. I learned that was really lucky. What was your experience like with legal and compliance?

TYLER GARDNER: I won’t say it was quite as loose, and I envy what you just said, because man, do I want to come work for that firm. And I might’ve stuck around a lot longer had we appreciated — or had counsel appreciated — the flexibility of what we might be able to do. But even before I answer that question, just to be fair, I remember when I was studying for both the Series 65 and the CFA, they would always have a section — and this was probably six years back, seven years back — on social media, and exactly what you’re saying: what is the regulation behind social media right now? The punchline every time was, we don’t know yet. We don’t know what this is. We don’t know what to regulate. We’re gonna have to come up with these rules on the fly. Is this person a registered advisor? Is this person a representative? Are they a solicitor? And so the initial draw to produce it obviously was the power that it had. The initial challenge was both on a state level and on a federal level.

We as a small RIA wanted to be very, very careful about what we said and how we said it. And even though, yes, at the end of the day it was probably just a, hey, don’t recommend buying or selling individual securities, we took it so far on the prudent level of just saying, look, let’s make this very, very educational. Don’t ever name specific funds. Don’t ever name specific drawdown rates, because you never wanted to conflate any of this with potential advice. And so I think that the real future for anybody in this space — and again, this is wide open; I mean, there’s only a handful of us who have actually made it to a big platform here — the future is basically anyone who is able to say, I know what to say within limits, I know this is not against regulations, and I’m gonna market myself and how I think. There’s still so much room there to grow.

BARRY RITHOLTZ: No doubt about it. So you began your career as a teacher. I’m curious, what did you learn in the classroom that ultimately made you a better communicator of complex finance ideas?

TYLER GARDNER: Sure. Nobody wanted to be in the classroom. Inherently, I’ll start with that. Other than a handful of students, the beauty of starting, I think, any career as a teacher is that you’re fighting — I won’t say a losing battle — but you’re fighting against a group of people who collectively want their attention to be elsewhere. Which is actually very different, obviously, from social media, because people self-select to go onto social media and to be in a place. And if they’re watching, they want to.

But initially the challenge was, how can I get a room of 18-year-old students who would literally rather be doing anything other than sitting in this chair on this May day in gorgeous rural Connecticut — how can I get them to engage with an essay by Virginia Woolf? And again, it always was a game to me, it always was a challenge and an art of, what can I say and how can I say it? Not just to capture their attention, but to get them to feel like they have some sort of stake in what this is. And that was where it was: once you were implicated — if I could communicate to someone, you are implicated in this class, you have a stake here — then I would find obviously more ownership going forward. But as far as communication goes, it was again just a matter of we had a very scarce resource, which was time, and how do I get as much into this time as possible?

BARRY RITHOLTZ: At what point did you find posting financial content morphed from a side hustle to, hey, this could actually be a real career?

TYLER GARDNER: Yeah, I mean, I’d say the easiest way to say it is when I started making enough money for it to be a real career and when I could actually pay the bills. But when I first pivoted, I left my W-2 job and I took a leap of faith two years ago. And the reason I took a leap of faith is that at that point I had opened up an educational one-on-one coaching option. You could come talk to me for an hour about how to invest, types of investments — never advice, all obviously education, always as general as possible.

What stuck out to me is I couldn’t open up enough slots to fill the immediate demand, and I couldn’t raise my prices high enough, quickly enough to kill that initial demand or to temper it, if you will. So instantly you see, oh my gosh, there is a massive amount of people here who want this type of information and they’re willing to pay a lot of money for it. They’re willing to be present with it. I got out of the consulting part very quickly because, again, back to the regulatory component, I didn’t love it — it seemed like way too much of a gray area. And no matter how many contracts somebody signed saying this isn’t advice, I’m not your advisor, I did not feel comfortable having someone ever leave a conversation thinking that they might be getting advice from somebody. But that was exactly the time when I said, look, this platform — wherever we go and whatever we sell — this platform has so much power now that I’m comfortable leaving the hundred-thousand-dollar-a-year W-2 to really see what we can do with this.

BARRY RITHOLTZ: So you left not one but two very stable, relatively safe, pretty comfortable jobs to sort of jump into something that is risky, and there was no guarantee that it was gonna work. What did your friends, family, colleagues think, and what was your own biggest fear?

TYLER GARDNER: I think now — now that I’ve allowed myself to believe that the endeavor is quasi-successful — now I’ve actually gotten the truth from people about how they felt two years ago when I first made this pivot. And almost everybody thought it wasn’t gonna work, that this was a fad, that the attention economy is so cyclical that you might be the Internet’s favorite person for a week and then fail miserably. And that was obviously the challenge, was trying to think about sustainability and consistency.

But early on they made fun of it. And I think every single person who either considers themself an influencer, or somebody else considers them an influencer, you have to go through what we all call the cringe phase, where you are producing terrible content because you’re just not good yet. Just like anything else, you’ve gotta learn how to do it through trial by error. And most people don’t want to go through that phase. Your friends all make fun of you and they laugh, and it’s very easy in that moment to say, I want to quit. And then all of a sudden things start to shift when you start getting some of the deals. But those don’t come for six months to a year of daily torture and ridicule from the friends, the family. And it’s not that they doubt you as a person, they just kind of doubt that this is a thing that a lot of people are capable of — that if you really just sit down and say, look, we can make this happen — because it doesn’t happen to everybody, you know?

BARRY RITHOLTZ: Yeah, it’s fascinating. Doug DeMuro of Cars and Bids and his own YouTube channel — I think his YouTube channel is six or 7 million subscribers. He’s talked about the first few years of doing video, he had very little pickup, and he was also writing a column and occasionally doing a video review on a column. And one day a reader wrote in and said, Doug, the video reviews are the most interesting part. I don’t wanna read the column. Why don’t you do more of that? And an entire business was born.

Did you have a moment like that where it became clear, oh, if I emphasize this, this will work out? Or was it really just a grind to build those numbers up to a quarter million, half million? At what point is it clear this is a viable, sustainable business? Is it a million subscribers, a half a million subscribers? Where do you hit that number?

TYLER GARDNER: Yeah, I mean, well, just like money — and I think you and anyone listening will understand this as well as anyone — your follower count very quickly becomes identical to your bank account. It’s never enough, Barry. You think you want to hit a million and that will somehow give you that little endorphin hit and you’ll be satisfied. That’s not enough. Once you’re at one, you wanna be at 10. Once you’re at 10, you wanna be better than that competitor who you have always been going after. So as far as, is it enough, what was the moment? There’s never a moment.

And the algorithms now too, just to get a little technical about it — ultimately, on most of these channels, it doesn’t actually matter how many followers you have anymore as far as the reach potential. This is where I’d like to inspire anyone to try it. You can create a TikTok account tomorrow. Your video has an equal chance to go viral as mine. And as you mentioned, I have millions of followers across these platforms, but it’s the best immediate feedback system in the entire world. It beats every type of job I’ve ever had. If you produce crap, you don’t get reach. It’s not a matter of millions of followers. It’s if you don’t make something entertaining and of value and engaging for those 60 seconds — if you don’t earn someone’s 30 to 60 seconds — it doesn’t go anywhere. So it’s kind of a self-selecting process, again, of you’re either good or you’re not. But the people with millions of followers obviously have in some way honed the skill. You don’t get to that level without honing the skill to begin with.

BARRY RITHOLTZ: So let’s talk about that algorithm for a moment. What attracted me to your videos was you weren’t doing anything clickbaity or sexy or outrageous to garner clicks. In fact, you’re very much a salmon swimming upstream against the tide of that sort of stuff. How do you preserve accuracy and nuance when all of these platforms reward speed, oversimplification, outrage? Hey, if you could make somebody furious and angry by manipulating their emotions, you’re much more likely to go viral than by saying, and here’s how you do a Roth IRA conversion correctly. Correct?

TYLER GARDNER: I mean, first of all, you just summed it up flawlessly, absolutely flawlessly. And anyone who’s been doing this for a little while who claims they don’t know that is lying. If I go on and I make a video that just pokes at people a little bit, or nudges people or alienates something, you’re gonna get more attention. Or if you say something that you know is a little bit less than nuanced and is lacking a little information, you know what you’re doing. How I look at it — and I would say how I justify some of the videos in which I know dang well I don’t do due diligence and go down as far as I could on the complexity of this — A, again, it’s a limited resource of 30 to 60 seconds. B, my goal at this point is all social media — from TikTok, Facebook, YouTube Shorts — that’s all top of funnel for me. So even if someone thinks I’m a complete ding-dong who doesn’t do due diligence on TikTok, my goal is to get them to read my newsletter. On the newsletter, I don’t cut corners, because now I’ve got someone who has self-selected into a system where they’re willing to read that nuance and they want that.

So you invite that. That to me is where I try to build more credibility. Same with the podcast, right? So both of those longer form — I just want to get the attention on the short form to get them to a place where I say, look, now can you trust that I didn’t really think that Social Security was something you should decide in 30 seconds after listening to me talk about it and poke you, like everyone should take it at 62. I do want to go through this. But again, if you try to provide nuance in the short form, you’re not going anywhere. So it’s almost like a line I heard in Yellowstone the other day, where they’re talking about politics, and the game of politics before you get the position is you kind of have to poke and alienate and unfortunately be — maybe, I won’t say a lesser version of your moral self than you want to be, but there are corners you have to cut to get the attention that the video will attract, to get where people want to go. Once they’re there, then I think you have the responsibility to say, look, now that I earned a little bit of your attention, trust me, I’ll reward you with real information and not clickbait nonsense.

BARRY RITHOLTZ: What I’m hearing is that you have to adapt your message to each format and make it fit into that in order to work your way down the funnel. So let’s talk about that funnel. You start with short-form videos, eventually a newsletter, a podcast, and now a forthcoming book. Was that a very purposeful, conscious set of decisions to keep the focus on the in-depth education? Or did it just evolve organically?

TYLER GARDNER: It evolves. I’d be creating a narrative where none exists if I pretended that any of this was according to some grand master plan. I heard a great line years back: your choices are half chance, so are everybody else’s. And where this has gone — if you had asked me two years ago, I was creating monthly reflections on where I wanted the business to go. And for one year I would look at my notes and it said, don’t ever do a newsletter, because a newsletter is stupid and it’s a joke. And then I remember reading something from Tim Ferriss where he said, you’re a joke if you don’t do a newsletter, because it’s the only place where you gather the asset of the email address and they can’t take it away from you.

And so when TikTok went through its little temporary 24-hour ban — it actually really shut down in the US for one day, there was no TikTok — instantaneously I went from having built two years of this slightly credible platform that had good reach to nothing, and I had no control. They just shut down the system. And I said, look, if I don’t diversify these digital assets, I’m being just as much of an idiot as I say people are with money when they don’t diversify their assets in an account, in an IRA or a 401(k).

BARRY RITHOLTZ: You have to own your own content. You have to own your own platform. You have to use these other platforms to drive the traffic to something that can’t be taken away. I mean, years ago I was on Six Apart’s platform, Movable Type, and eventually, years after I moved to WordPress, they shut it down. We’ve seen GeoCities shut down. We’ve seen all sorts of changes to different algorithms. If you’re ultimately not driving people to something that you own, that’s it. You are at the mercy of these giant technology corporations, and they could care less about you.

You know, I saw a video of yours recently where you discuss the concept of using your time, and wealth is really about how much time you have to yourself, but you make the case that it’s really knowing what to do with your time that is the big value. And I want to add something to the concept of building your own business, which is agency: the ability to control what you do, how you do it, who you do it with, and how you spend your time and when you do different things. Talk a little bit about how this pivot to social media and content creation has really given you much more agency over your time and your work.

TYLER GARDNER: Sure. I think just building on exactly what you just said, I don’t believe that humans hate work. I don’t buy it. I don’t think I ever will. I think humans don’t like being told what to do and working with people they don’t respect. The second you can get out of that and have your own agency or your own authorship or autonomy — call it whatever you will — instantaneously you now have the capacity to go work with other people that you say, ooh, I really do respect this person, or I’m really drawn to this person’s energy. And then your energy goes up. And again, this is entrepreneurship 101: once you have control over your time, you say, wait a minute, I do wanna be engaged in these projects. And you hear over and over again the people that exit businesses at, let’s say, 35 or 40, and they come into the windfall of a couple tens of million bucks. They don’t go sit on a beach for the next 40 years. Within one year they’re looking for another project. Everybody I know goes through a nice honeymoon where they think they made it, and then they’re looking for another project.

So for me, when I switched to this, the heaven on earth that I created was, again, just being able to wake up and say, if I wanna work on a great podcast script today, I can do that for 10 hours. If I wanna go film 20 videos today, I can do that. And our minds, as we all know — some days we’re on and some days we’re not on. And so when we have our own agency, when I think I’m really on and the energy’s good and I’ve had good positive interactions, I can go out — and I do go out into the woods, and that’s when I film my videos. But just like everybody else, I have very crappy days. And if you’re the W-2 employee, unfortunately, you have a crappy day, you’re still showing up for that same type of work. If you have your own agency, I can say this is a down day. I’m not putting myself out there today. I’m gonna write some more today or think about a chapter today. So really, it’s the greatest gift I’ve ever had — the agency to choose when I work and with what energy.

BARRY RITHOLTZ: Huh, really fascinating. Last question. So someone who’s considering a career change — they wanna become a creator, an influencer, they wanna move from something safe to something risky. What sort of advice do you have for those people?

TYLER GARDNER: Sure. And I think — I know you know this because I’ve read a piece where you talk about this — but a lot of people don’t, in my mind, think about risk in the way that they say they think about risk. So you just set up the polar concept that if I go to a job like this, it’s more risky than if I don’t. Whereas I always try to push people just a little bit to say, look, the biggest risk is you sit in the current job you have for 20 years as a safe W-2 employee. And that’s fine, I get it. You got the bills to pay, but your upside is so capped, you have no idea. And I would just say that the two things I value most in life at this point — obviously the clichéd one is owning my time. But because I own my time, I have the ability to focus on a daily basis on anything I want to focus on. And so the risk to me is that you get your one life taken away for 20 to 30 years and you are not focusing on a daily basis on the things you want to focus on.

And just with the entrepreneurial spirit, I would tell anyone who wants it, the concept of risk is way more applicable in my mind to losing out on what you could have done than if you go try something. And if it doesn’t work out after a year, after two years, after a real effort — what I don’t think enough people understand — you can go back. I trust that you can go back to whatever you were currently hired for. Maybe not at that company, but I trust that you can find another stable type of position where you say, I’m back in W-2 land. But you’d never know unless you went out there. And now the upside is insane. As you know, once you start your own business, I’m blown away with where the upside goes — not just on a monetary level, but also just with time and decisions, and the fact that I get to make these decisions now.

So I’d tell everybody, you gotta try it for at least six months. You gotta get through that initial phase where everybody wants to quit and everybody does quit. Everybody I know who wants to start social media and says, ooh, I could do this too — it’s just like the New Year’s resolution of going to the gym in January. You quit within two weeks because you didn’t immediately get a million followers. And I’ll just say this has been a trek for four years now to get to this point. So none of this is easy, none of this is overnight. Any story about viral sensations and someone just blows up — that’s not how it works. You grind and you grind every day and you learn and you get there, but it has been worth every second. And I would tell anybody, with the power of these platforms and the fact that it’s free — it’s a hundred percent free to market yourself and your brand however you want — if you’re not trying this with your business, you’re missing out on an incredible opportunity that might not be there in 10 years.

BARRY RITHOLTZ: Really fascinating. So to wrap up: if you are in a job where perhaps you’re not being challenged, or you are a little bored, or lack the sort of agency and enthusiasm that you’d like to have, and you are creative and a good communicator and have the ability to educate or inform or entertain people, consider adding social media influencer to part of your repertoire. Who knows, it might become a new career.

I’m Barry Ritholtz. This is Bloomberg’s At the Money.

 

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The post At The Money: Becoming a “FinFluencer” appeared first on The Big Picture.

Comcast Plunges As CFO Warns Broadband Subscriber Bleeding Won't Stop

Zero Hedge -

Comcast Plunges As CFO Warns Broadband Subscriber Bleeding Won't Stop

Comcast shares tumbled after CFO Jason Armstrong warned at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference that broadband subscriber losses would not improve this quarter from a year earlier.

Bloomberg first reported Armstrong's comments, which sent shares down as much as 8.1% around 11:16 a.m. ET, their largest decline in months.

Armstrong told the audience at the conference in San Francisco, California, today that he still expects broadband subscriber losses to improve for the full year, although quarterly results will vary. He blamed part of the pressure on what he called "irrational fiber pricing."

Analysts tracked by Bloomberg expected Comcast to lose 103,000 domestic broadband subscribers in the third quarter, slightly fewer than the 104,000 lost a year earlier.

KeyBanc analyst Brandon Nispel expects consensus subscriber forecasts to deteriorate following the comments. He said, "We would expect CMCSA consensus net adds to move lower, where an accelerating loss trajectory could require further ARPU pressure for Subs to stabilize, a cycle we don't see ending."

Charter Communications fell 5.7% as the warning weighed on peers.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 15:05

FCC Chairman Says Agency May Issue Guidance On 'Fake Polls' Ahead Of Midterms

Zero Hedge -

FCC Chairman Says Agency May Issue Guidance On 'Fake Polls' Ahead Of Midterms

Authored by AG News Staff via American Greatness,

Federal Communications Commission Chairman Brendan Carr said the agency may soon issue guidance to television broadcasters over what he called "fake polls," particularly if they are intended to suppress voter participation ahead of November's midterm elections.

Carr said Sunday that broadcasters face federal public-interest obligations because local television stations use FCC-licensed public airwaves, unlike cable networks and online platforms.

"There's a lot of interest right now in fake polls that are out there," Carr said. "And so the FCC may put guidance out soon to remind broadcasters about their obligations with respect to not airing fake polls, particularly if they're done to suppress people heading into the fall."

Carr's comments follow criticism from President Donald Trump over media coverage of political polling and his endorsement record in Republican primaries.

Trump recently called for the FCC to take action against NBC News' Kristen Welker after she said on a local NBC affiliate that Trump had experienced "mixed results" with candidates he endorsed in this year's primaries.

Trump disputed that characterization and said Welker should be reported to the FCC for "rebuke or punishment."

NBC News defended Welker.

Carr did not announce a formal investigation of Welker.

Instead, he said the FCC was considering several actions involving broadcasters and emphasized their obligation to operate in the public interest.

The FCC regulates local broadcast television and radio stations, but its authority over news content is limited by federal law and the First Amendment. The commission has historically said it generally will not intervene in complaints about one-sided or inaccurate news coverage because doing so could improperly substitute the government's judgment for that of broadcasters.

FCC Commissioner Anna Gomez, the commission's sole Democrat, rejected the idea that the agency can punish individual journalists over their reporting.

"As I've said many times, the FCC has no authority to punish journalists this administration doesn't like," Gomez said.

Carr has not specified what standards the FCC would use to determine whether a political poll is "fake" or what consequences broadcasters could face under any new guidance.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 14:50

Scarcity Warnings In Physical World Send Commodities To 14-Year High, Threatening Stock Rally

Zero Hedge -

Scarcity Warnings In Physical World Send Commodities To 14-Year High, Threatening Stock Rally

Readers are familiar by now with the broad-based commodity rally, with energy, agricultural products and metals moving sharply higher as former Goldman Sachs commodities head Jeff Currie warned this summer of growing scarcity in the physical economy.

The Bloomberg Commodity Index has climbed to levels last seen in 2012...

... while the Quantix Commodity Index has hit a new record high.

Bloomberg macro strategist Simon White is out with a new note this morning warning that the commodity rally is threatening to squeeze corporate margins and household spending, raising questions about how long stocks can withstand an inflation shock spreading well beyond oil.

White wrote:

Stocks are reacting negatively to the inflation and growth risks from commodities, which have just reached levels not seen since 2012.

Commodities are rallying, but this is no longer principally an oil story. The rally is instead broadening out. Since the beginning of August, not only are energy prices rising, such as European gas (up 34%), or gasoline (+22%), metal prices are also rising (zinc, copper), as well as precious metals (silver, platinum, gold), and softs, such as sugar, cocoa and corn.

He added:

Only a handful of the main commodities traded on futures markets (eg hogs, cattle, nickel and orange juice) are down since Aug. 1.

The energy shock affects input costs for everything from manufacturing to food production. The hobbling of refinery capacity from the Iran war has led to elevated prices for products such diesel and gasoline, inflaming transport costs.

Soft commodity prices are being further pressured by the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine war, especially in the Black Sea region, as well as concerns about a particularly potent El Nino this year and next.

For equity bulls, White warned that soaring commodity prices raise questions about how long stocks can withstand an inflation shock broadening across the commodity complex. 

He continued on that thought:

The recent rally in raw materials has taken the Bloomberg Commodity Index to near 15-year highs. On a 10-year annualised basis, returns recently reached a level they have only once eclipsed, in 2008, since the mega-commodity rally of the 1970s.

But as we can see from the chart above, when commodity prices are high, such as in the 1970s or early 2010s, stock prices falter. Equivalently, stocks tend to enjoy their best periods when commodities are historically on the low side.

The current environment of rising stock and commodity returns looks somewhat of an anomaly. Stocks are slipping today, but if commodity prices stay bid - and there are many reasons for them to do just that - the equity market has more downside ahead. (Tatiana's point on higher energy prices boosting earnings won't translate into higher stock prices if the rest of the economy is suffering from broad-based commodity inflation.)

The Nasdaq 100's ratio to the Quantix Commodity Total Return Index has pointed to this summer's renewed commodity outperformance as traders price in scarcity. 

As we've pointed out in the metals space, copper is at an all-time high, north of $14,700, and iron ore might have found a bottom, with prices in Singapore around $100 a ton. On the critical materials side, we've outlined the continued tightening of supplies from China to the West, as seen last week in a Reuters report. We've also identified miners that are poised to break China's "quasi-monopolistic" grip on critical materials.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 14:35

3rd Burning Man Attendee Dies En Route To Hospital

Zero Hedge -

3rd Burning Man Attendee Dies En Route To Hospital

Authored by Jill McLaughlin via The Epoch Times,

A third person has died at this year's Burning Man Festival in the Nevada desert, according to the local sheriff's office.

Details about the death, reported on Sept. 8, were not released as festival attendees faced the usual traffic jam on their way home from the annual event in Black Rock Desert about 110 miles north of Reno.

The death occurred en route to a Reno-area hospital on Sept. 4, according to the Burning Man Project.

"We are saddened to have learned that a Burning Man participant, who experienced a serious medical emergency in Black Rock City during the early hours of Friday, Sept. 4, and immediately received on-site lifesaving measures, later passed away after being transported to Reno for medical care," a festival spokesperson told The Epoch Times in an email.

The examiner overseeing the death investigation at the Washoe County Medical Examiner's Office didn't return requests for more information.

Two other festival attendees died this year at the weeklong event that started on Aug. 30.

On Sept. 3, the first man, identified later by Sheriff Jerry Allen as Sampson Tshombe, was pronounced dead by a doctor on festival grounds.

"It is with heavy hearts that The Burning Man Project confirms a Black Rock City participant in his mid-50s experienced a medical emergency, immediately received lifesaving measures, and was transported to the onsite center for emergency care where he was pronounced deceased," the organization said of Tshombe in a statement.

Two days later, the festival reported Craigh Mann, 60, was found dead by his friends at his camp at about 3 p.m.

Mann was also sent to the Washoe County Medical Examiner's office for an autopsy and toxicology screening, according to the sheriff.

Allen reported deputies had arrested 34 people for drug sales and trafficking at this year's festival as of Sept. 5.

Requests sent to the sheriff to confirm the arrest information were not returned by publication time.

An average of one death a year is reported at the annual festival that typically attracts about 70,000 people to its temporary sand metropolis.

Last year, 37-year-old Vadim Kruglov, of Russia, was found dead at the event. Sheriff's deputies, who were investigating the death as a homicide, have not yet made any arrests.

[ZH: We have one question, while we know they went out dusty, did they go out smiling?]

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 14:05

3rd Burning Man Attendee Dies En Route To Hospital

Zero Hedge -

3rd Burning Man Attendee Dies En Route To Hospital

Authored by Jill McLaughlin via The Epoch Times,

A third person has died at this year's Burning Man Festival in the Nevada desert, according to the local sheriff's office.

Details about the death, reported on Sept. 8, were not released as festival attendees faced the usual traffic jam on their way home from the annual event in Black Rock Desert about 110 miles north of Reno.

The death occurred en route to a Reno-area hospital on Sept. 4, according to the Burning Man Project.

"We are saddened to have learned that a Burning Man participant, who experienced a serious medical emergency in Black Rock City during the early hours of Friday, Sept. 4, and immediately received on-site lifesaving measures, later passed away after being transported to Reno for medical care," a festival spokesperson told The Epoch Times in an email.

The examiner overseeing the death investigation at the Washoe County Medical Examiner's Office didn't return requests for more information.

Two other festival attendees died this year at the weeklong event that started on Aug. 30.

On Sept. 3, the first man, identified later by Sheriff Jerry Allen as Sampson Tshombe, was pronounced dead by a doctor on festival grounds.

"It is with heavy hearts that The Burning Man Project confirms a Black Rock City participant in his mid-50s experienced a medical emergency, immediately received lifesaving measures, and was transported to the onsite center for emergency care where he was pronounced deceased," the organization said of Tshombe in a statement.

Two days later, the festival reported Craigh Mann, 60, was found dead by his friends at his camp at about 3 p.m.

Mann was also sent to the Washoe County Medical Examiner's office for an autopsy and toxicology screening, according to the sheriff.

Allen reported deputies had arrested 34 people for drug sales and trafficking at this year's festival as of Sept. 5.

Requests sent to the sheriff to confirm the arrest information were not returned by publication time.

An average of one death a year is reported at the annual festival that typically attracts about 70,000 people to its temporary sand metropolis.

Last year, 37-year-old Vadim Kruglov, of Russia, was found dead at the event. Sheriff's deputies, who were investigating the death as a homicide, have not yet made any arrests.

[ZH: We have one question, while we know they went out dusty, did they go out smiling?]

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 14:05

Google To Invest $15 Billion In AI Infrastructure And Nuclear Power In Finland

Zero Hedge -

Google To Invest $15 Billion In AI Infrastructure And Nuclear Power In Finland

By Georgia Butler of DataCenterDynamics

Google has committed to investing €13 billion ($15.13bn) in digital infrastructure in Finland across 2027 and 2028.

This will include data centers and supporting infrastructure investments in Hamina, Kajaani, Muhos, and Vaala, in the country. According to Google, this is its largest single investment in Europe to date.

Google has had a presence in Finland since it acquired a former paper mill in Hamina in 2009 and transformed it into a data center. The data center is cooled with seawater, and has been upgraded numerous times over the last 15 years. In 2022, the company purchased 50 acres of adjacent land to accommodate further expansion.

In 2024, Google acquired 1,400 hectares of land in Kajaani and Muhos from state-run forest agency Metsähallitus, but did not detail plans for the sites at the time. In February of this year, it added to its Finland land portfolio again with the acquisition of 900 hectares in Vaala for a possible data center project.

With the new investment and plans to build out in the country, Google is estimating that it will bring around 16,000 construction jobs to Finland, out of a total of 37,000 jobs generated. Once operational, the facilities will employ some 7,000 people.

"Finland is an attractive destination for investments, and attracting further investment remains a top priority. Google’s decision is a clear testament to our strengths. The value of the data economy extends far beyond direct investment into spurring innovation, research, and development. Deepening our collaboration with Google will deliver lasting benefits for both parties," said Petteri Orpo, Prime Minister of Finland.

Ruth Porat, president and chief investment officer of Alphabet and Google, added: "Google is proud to deepen our roots in Finland with the company’s largest single investment in Europe, building on more than 15 years of sustained investment in Finland. This investment underscores Google’s commitment to grow our presence responsibly, pairing the expansion of our technical infrastructure with new energy capacity, grid enhancements, and energy affordability initiatives."

Alongside the investment in data centers, Google has invested in energy initiatives in the country, including a Power Purchase Agreement with Fortum to extend the life of the Loviisa nuclear power plant, two onshore wind projects developed by Valorem and Suomen Hyötytuuli, and a 94MW battery system that will be located near Google's site in Kajaani.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 13:50

Google To Invest $15 Billion In AI Infrastructure And Nuclear Power In Finland

Zero Hedge -

Google To Invest $15 Billion In AI Infrastructure And Nuclear Power In Finland

By Georgia Butler of DataCenterDynamics

Google has committed to investing €13 billion ($15.13bn) in digital infrastructure in Finland across 2027 and 2028.

This will include data centers and supporting infrastructure investments in Hamina, Kajaani, Muhos, and Vaala, in the country. According to Google, this is its largest single investment in Europe to date.

Google has had a presence in Finland since it acquired a former paper mill in Hamina in 2009 and transformed it into a data center. The data center is cooled with seawater, and has been upgraded numerous times over the last 15 years. In 2022, the company purchased 50 acres of adjacent land to accommodate further expansion.

In 2024, Google acquired 1,400 hectares of land in Kajaani and Muhos from state-run forest agency Metsähallitus, but did not detail plans for the sites at the time. In February of this year, it added to its Finland land portfolio again with the acquisition of 900 hectares in Vaala for a possible data center project.

With the new investment and plans to build out in the country, Google is estimating that it will bring around 16,000 construction jobs to Finland, out of a total of 37,000 jobs generated. Once operational, the facilities will employ some 7,000 people.

"Finland is an attractive destination for investments, and attracting further investment remains a top priority. Google’s decision is a clear testament to our strengths. The value of the data economy extends far beyond direct investment into spurring innovation, research, and development. Deepening our collaboration with Google will deliver lasting benefits for both parties," said Petteri Orpo, Prime Minister of Finland.

Ruth Porat, president and chief investment officer of Alphabet and Google, added: "Google is proud to deepen our roots in Finland with the company’s largest single investment in Europe, building on more than 15 years of sustained investment in Finland. This investment underscores Google’s commitment to grow our presence responsibly, pairing the expansion of our technical infrastructure with new energy capacity, grid enhancements, and energy affordability initiatives."

Alongside the investment in data centers, Google has invested in energy initiatives in the country, including a Power Purchase Agreement with Fortum to extend the life of the Loviisa nuclear power plant, two onshore wind projects developed by Valorem and Suomen Hyötytuuli, and a 94MW battery system that will be located near Google's site in Kajaani.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 13:50

Female Lindsay Clancy Jurors Have Public Meltdown Over Mistrial

Zero Hedge -

Female Lindsay Clancy Jurors Have Public Meltdown Over Mistrial

It's almost shocking how prophetic the conservative online memes were when it came to the hidden deliberations inside the Lindsay Clancy jury room.  The court proceedings have sparked a political firestorm as a female led cult of supporters (mostly leftists) rallied to defend Clancy, a mother who confessed to brutally murdering her three helpless children after sending her husband out of the house on errands.   

The case has triggered a wake up call for America, with critics pointing out that the feminist movement has done far more damage to society than anyone realized.  The ideology is so malignant, it has inspired millions of women to become morally devoid monsters.  Coupled with social media addiction and false consensus bias, the Clancy trial conjured what many are calling a "mass psychosis event".   

Now that the case has ended in a mistrial (11 to 1) and the jurors (9 women and 3 men) have been sent home, the truth is starting to leak out. 

Three female jurors from the Lindsay Clancy trial - foreperson Roni Carlson, Paula Devlin, and Kellie Farina - gave an exclusive interview to NBC10 Boston this week. Much of their discussion focused on their frustration with the mistrial and the lone male holdout juror (the person defense attorney Kevin Reddington called a “rogue juror”).  The attitudes and conclusions of these jurors were exactly as most people predicted.    

“He admitted he had reasonable doubt and I started filling out the forms, I was so excited. There were three forms I had to fill out, and I started filling them out. I wrote my signature on each one. And then he said, ‘But I’m still not going to say that she’s not guilty by reason of insanity.’”

“He had the hardest time getting off the fact that Lindsay viciously killed her children.” 

The circumstances surrounding the murders suggest that Clancy was fully aware of what she was doing, including the fact that her supposed "psychotic episode" in which she "heard a voice" telling her to kill her children had never happened before or since.  The episode also just happened to take place right after she sent her then husband Patrick Clancy on multiple errands which kept him away from the house. 

She even took a phone call from Patrick while she was in the midst of committing the murders and acted as if everything was fine.

Clancy was in treatment only a couple weeks before the event, but checked herself out.  She was diagnosed with a depressive disorder (not a psychosis) and she denied having any homicidal or suicidal thoughts.  Some of the drugs in her system (which the defense claimed were the cause of her "episode") were taken by Clancy in an attempt to overdose after the children were dead.  All of this information and more was ignored by 11 jurors for the sake of a convenient insanity plea. 

But the realities in the deliberations room get even more disturbing.  One female juror has come forward asserting that many of the jurors had taken Clancy's side early in the case and pressure to let her off with an insanity plea was applied.  This juror denounced the conspiracy claims on social media that the husband was the "real killer" and admits that Lindsay did indeed commit the act.  However, she also hints that despite her own misgivings, she had to side with the other "big personalities in the room". 

The rest of the jurors interviewed highlight the "vibes" of the defense attorney, noting that Kevin Reddington was fun, likable and empathetic to Lindsay (facts, apparently, took a backseat).  It should be noted that the jurors were not sequestered in this case, which means they went home each night and had free and unmonitored access to the internet and all the ridiculous theories available.  

In Massachusetts, the rules surrounding an insanity plea are reversed.  Usually, it is up to the defense to prove that the suspect was suffering from a mental breakdown.  But in MA, it is up to the prosecution to prove the suspect was not insane at the time of the crime.  How does one prove beyond a reasonable doubt that someone was not crazy when the crime alone requires an inherent level of insanity?  It's impossible. 

This is why around half of all women who use postpartum psychosis as a murder defense escape real punishment for their crimes.  The case centers on the criminal as if that person is a victim, too.     

In MA if Clancy is found not guilty by reason of insanity she is remanded to a mental health facility, but she has the chance to be released as early as six months into her incarceration.  Keep in mind, her defense was that her psychosis was temporary; it had never happened before or since the murders.  In other words, she would automatically be considered "cured" by the standards of the facilities in MA - How would they be able to prove otherwise?   

Thankfully, at least one juror had the courage to stop this from happening.  The case has started a national conversation about the exploitation of "women's health" issues as a shield to protect female criminals from prosecution.  The threat being that America has been conned into accepting a two tier justice system in favor of violent women willing to play crazy.  The hormone defense would never work for a man who killed his three children; why should it work for Lindsay Clancy?   

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 13:35

Female Lindsay Clancy Jurors Have Public Meltdown Over Mistrial

Zero Hedge -

Female Lindsay Clancy Jurors Have Public Meltdown Over Mistrial

It's almost shocking how prophetic the conservative online memes were when it came to the hidden deliberations inside the Lindsay Clancy jury room.  The court proceedings have sparked a political firestorm as a female led cult of supporters (mostly leftists) rallied to defend Clancy, a mother who confessed to brutally murdering her three helpless children after sending her husband out of the house on errands.   

The case has triggered a wake up call for America, with critics pointing out that the feminist movement has done far more damage to society than anyone realized.  The ideology is so malignant, it has inspired millions of women to become morally devoid monsters.  Coupled with social media addiction and false consensus bias, the Clancy trial conjured what many are calling a "mass psychosis event".   

Now that the case has ended in a mistrial (11 to 1) and the jurors (9 women and 3 men) have been sent home, the truth is starting to leak out. 

Three female jurors from the Lindsay Clancy trial - foreperson Roni Carlson, Paula Devlin, and Kellie Farina - gave an exclusive interview to NBC10 Boston this week. Much of their discussion focused on their frustration with the mistrial and the lone male holdout juror (the person defense attorney Kevin Reddington called a “rogue juror”).  The attitudes and conclusions of these jurors were exactly as most people predicted.    

“He admitted he had reasonable doubt and I started filling out the forms, I was so excited. There were three forms I had to fill out, and I started filling them out. I wrote my signature on each one. And then he said, ‘But I’m still not going to say that she’s not guilty by reason of insanity.’”

“He had the hardest time getting off the fact that Lindsay viciously killed her children.” 

The circumstances surrounding the murders suggest that Clancy was fully aware of what she was doing, including the fact that her supposed "psychotic episode" in which she "heard a voice" telling her to kill her children had never happened before or since.  The episode also just happened to take place right after she sent her then husband Patrick Clancy on multiple errands which kept him away from the house. 

She even took a phone call from Patrick while she was in the midst of committing the murders and acted as if everything was fine.

Clancy was in treatment only a couple weeks before the event, but checked herself out.  She was diagnosed with a depressive disorder (not a psychosis) and she denied having any homicidal or suicidal thoughts.  Some of the drugs in her system (which the defense claimed were the cause of her "episode") were taken by Clancy in an attempt to overdose after the children were dead.  All of this information and more was ignored by 11 jurors for the sake of a convenient insanity plea. 

But the realities in the deliberations room get even more disturbing.  One female juror has come forward asserting that many of the jurors had taken Clancy's side early in the case and pressure to let her off with an insanity plea was applied.  This juror denounced the conspiracy claims on social media that the husband was the "real killer" and admits that Lindsay did indeed commit the act.  However, she also hints that despite her own misgivings, she had to side with the other "big personalities in the room". 

The rest of the jurors interviewed highlight the "vibes" of the defense attorney, noting that Kevin Reddington was fun, likable and empathetic to Lindsay (facts, apparently, took a backseat).  It should be noted that the jurors were not sequestered in this case, which means they went home each night and had free and unmonitored access to the internet and all the ridiculous theories available.  

In Massachusetts, the rules surrounding an insanity plea are reversed.  Usually, it is up to the defense to prove that the suspect was suffering from a mental breakdown.  But in MA, it is up to the prosecution to prove the suspect was not insane at the time of the crime.  How does one prove beyond a reasonable doubt that someone was not crazy when the crime alone requires an inherent level of insanity?  It's impossible. 

This is why around half of all women who use postpartum psychosis as a murder defense escape real punishment for their crimes.  The case centers on the criminal as if that person is a victim, too.     

In MA if Clancy is found not guilty by reason of insanity she is remanded to a mental health facility, but she has the chance to be released as early as six months into her incarceration.  Keep in mind, her defense was that her psychosis was temporary; it had never happened before or since the murders.  In other words, she would automatically be considered "cured" by the standards of the facilities in MA - How would they be able to prove otherwise?   

Thankfully, at least one juror had the courage to stop this from happening.  The case has started a national conversation about the exploitation of "women's health" issues as a shield to protect female criminals from prosecution.  The threat being that America has been conned into accepting a two tier justice system in favor of violent women willing to play crazy.  The hormone defense would never work for a man who killed his three children; why should it work for Lindsay Clancy?   

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 13:35

Stellar 10Y Auction Stops Through, With Highest Bid To Cover In A Decade On BIggest Yield Since 2007

Zero Hedge -

Stellar 10Y Auction Stops Through, With Highest Bid To Cover In A Decade On BIggest Yield Since 2007

After today's very disappointing buyback announcement, which at $6BN came in far below whisper expectations of $10BN, and which sent yields surging to 4.85%, many were on edge ahead of today's $39 billion sale of 10Y paper. In the end, it priced far stronger than expected, with today's selloff providing a sufficient concession to stir up enough demand to avoid a fullblown bond market panic. 

The 9 Year/11 month reopening of cusip ER0 stopped at a high yield of 4.834%, up from 4.680% in August, and the highest since August 2007!

Just as importantly, the auction stopped through the When Issued 4.384% by 1.5bps, the biggest stop through since April 2025, which was some much needed good news in a day when yields soared briefly above 4.85% on their path to the inevitable date with 5.00%

The bid to cover was stellar at 2.713, it jumped from 2.532 in August and was the highest since April 2016.

The internals were even stronger, with indirect bidders taking 79.18% of the issue, one of the highest on record, while primary dealers were left with just 4.31%, the lowest participation since late Sept 2025. Direct took down 16.51%, right in line with the recent average of 16.42%.

In short, this was a stellar auction, which helped pare some of the earlier blowout in yields following today's buyback announcement, with the 10-year note last yielding 4.837%, up 3.26bp on the session but off its pre-auction highs.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 13:25

Stellar 10Y Auction Stops Through, With Highest Bid To Cover In A Decade On BIggest Yield Since 2007

Zero Hedge -

Stellar 10Y Auction Stops Through, With Highest Bid To Cover In A Decade On BIggest Yield Since 2007

After today's very disappointing buyback announcement, which at $6BN came in far below whisper expectations of $10BN, and which sent yields surging to 4.85%, many were on edge ahead of today's $39 billion sale of 10Y paper. In the end, it priced far stronger than expected, with today's selloff providing a sufficient concession to stir up enough demand to avoid a fullblown bond market panic. 

The 9 Year/11 month reopening of cusip ER0 stopped at a high yield of 4.834%, up from 4.680% in August, and the highest since August 2007!

Just as importantly, the auction stopped through the When Issued 4.384% by 1.5bps, the biggest stop through since April 2025, which was some much needed good news in a day when yields soared briefly above 4.85% on their path to the inevitable date with 5.00%

The bid to cover was stellar at 2.713, it jumped from 2.532 in August and was the highest since April 2016.

The internals were even stronger, with indirect bidders taking 79.18% of the issue, one of the highest on record, while primary dealers were left with just 4.31%, the lowest participation since late Sept 2025. Direct took down 16.51%, right in line with the recent average of 16.42%.

In short, this was a stellar auction, which helped pare some of the earlier blowout in yields following today's buyback announcement, with the 10-year note last yielding 4.837%, up 3.26bp on the session but off its pre-auction highs.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 13:25

If You're Still Talking About Central Bank Independence, You Are Behind The Curve

Zero Hedge -

If You're Still Talking About Central Bank Independence, You Are Behind The Curve

By Michael Every of Rabobank

The US just hit five more Iranian oil tankers, citing attempted strikes on one of its warships, and warned more will be sunk if Iran tries it again. It also imposed more economic war via aviation sanctions. The Saudis and Houthis are on the brink of new war after a series of strikes at Saudi cities, followed by Riyadh’s reprisals and the threat of “consequences [the Houthis] cannot handle.” Qatar and the UAE both said the Gulf cannot rely on US alone for the region's security: but Russia can’t extend power there now; China can’t or doesn’t want to; Europe can’t and won’t – so that leaves Turkey and Israel, both eyeing the other suspiciously; and as France and Canada joined the UK in issuing trade sanctions on Israeli settlements, the EU reportedly wants to pursue closer Israel ties on air defence and space.

Oil trades above $100, and notably Shanghai oil is now trading higher than Brent having been vastly lower in the early stages of the Iran War. Crack spreads remain worryingly high all over. Refined product stocks remain worryingly low.

Trump spoke to Putin as Hungary expelled 10 Russian diplomats to Moscow’s threats of a harsh response. Iceland summoned the US ambassador over Trump’s Stars and Stripes map Truth post showing the US flag covering Canada, Mexico, Greenland, and Iceland. Israel shut down the UK consulate in Jerusalem. The British Army has reportedly been ordered to save money by using reservists less, and flights were grounded across the UK due to a tech issue – showing the impact ‘grey zone’ attacks can have. The Hong Kong press notes China is boosting Pakistani drone defences ‘as India tensions simmer’, and ‘How Japan is digging in to deter –and withstand– a conflict over Taiwan.’ All the kind of things to rattle the long end of government bond yield curves.

Maritime nations are warning that global shipping rules are collapsing, which could take much global trade with it as some worry if there is enough bunker fuel for the ships to use. While the Suez Canal is seeing more passages as tankers try to avoid Hormuz, the Panama Canal is warning of deeper transit cuts as the El Nino drought threat intensifies. Further north, and next to Europe, Russia is betting on a $400bn Arctic Transport Corridor but can’t fund it without China.

Brussels warned China it ‘must buy more’ from the EU to avoid a trade war: but what exactly? The old joke vs. the US was ‘Will you sell us aircraft carriers?’ China now builds its own faster. Europe has few resources China needs or goods it doesn’t make itself. Even EU luxury brands are less popular as Beijing prioritises domestic brands. Perhaps the EU could sell China more tech from ASML, to a new trans-Atlantic storm? Meanwhile, EU industry claims it faces 300,000 job cuts as China “colonises” its supply chains, and European “wealth” is threatened by the decline of its carmakers, with a deleterious effect on the steel, aluminium, glass, and chemical sectors needed for rearmament. Again, not much fun for the long end of bond markets if they think about it.

Canadian counter tariffs on the US went into effect; the US is to ban Canadian dairy and some alcohol and motor vehicles from September 29, as well as Canadian firms from government contracts in response. The Globe and Mail opines, ‘With this trade war, Canada faces its Singapore moment’. The National Post says, ‘Canadians support hard line against US, but don't want to pay for it’, as “When asked if they would pay an extra C$500 per year to hold the line in the current trade war, 56% called this ‘unacceptable’.” Becoming Singapore implies paying vastly more than C$500 per year.

US Secretary of State Rubio is seeking more economic and security ties in Latin America, which has an FTA with the EU, which doesn’t offer the same security ties. He’s in Colombia to ‘clarify’ its China links and to sign a minerals deal, as Nicaragua hands a gold concession to a sister firm of US-sanctioned Chinese miner.

In AI, there are more reports about experts fearing the technology is out of control, as markets worry about the same issue from a different standpoint. The US also accused Chinese AI firms of “malicious” copying of AI technology – which can be resisted how if so, a digital Iron Curtain? Despite fears of US-South Korean tensions, as opposed to alignment on rapprochement with North Korea, KHNP and the US Westinghouse are to align the two nations nuclear supply chains for eight new US reactors. That is a small step in the right direction regarding AI power demands.

In politics, anti-AfD protests swept parts of Germany as the establishment fears that Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania may fall to the populists on 20 September. That’s as Politico says, ‘Merz has no good answers as the far right targets his downfall.’ Nothing for the bond market to worry about there, right?

In markets, there is some speculation the BOJ might even think about a 50bps hike. If so, it would be the first such move since 1989, when it was still in a bubble. Appropriately, given the current geopolitical backdrop, it was also before the3 first Cold War had fully ended and was a time when the US used national security arguments vs. its allies to achieve the likes of the Plaza Accord.

Indeed, US Treasury Secretary Bessent stated: “I am the house now, so when we intervene with the Japanese Yen, I have a pretty good insight into what the Japanese, what the Bank of Japan is going to do, what Japanese policy makers are going to do. And you can bet against me if you want.” I repeat, if you are still talking about the independence of central banks, you are behind the curve; the world is now about the functional independence of countries within which central banks sit. Of course, as JPY rallies and shorter-dated JGB yields rise, the issue becomes when we might see Japanese holdings abroad repatriated, pushing FX down and yields higher in other markets. That might take some more economic statecraft, not “because markets”, from Bessent to handle.

The RBA just saw Hauser give a hawkish speech, which has markets thinking of hikes this month and in November. Fortunately, that’s very much what the US Treasury would like to see – plus a lot more action on non-housing parts of the economy.

ECB President Lagarde, who’s talked independently about economic statecraft yet done nothing, is to release her memoir in January. That’s odd given she will still be in office so can’t tell us anything interesting enough to justify reading it. Unless she has moved on to pontificate at Davos, as whispered. That would allow Macron to choose the replacement ECB representative before the French presidential election where the nationalist Le Pen is seen as favourite, a clear ‘rules’-based ringfencing of a ‘rules-based’ institution against at least one populist appointment. Yet when you see where the political winds are blowing, such action may not prove quite as reassuring for markets as the ‘sensible centrist’ optimists would try to sell it.

On the other hand, China's tobacco monopoly played a key role in shoring up state-owned banks, which just raised $54bn in capital even as GDP is sluggish. Where there’s smoking, there’s fire, but is the new capital for bad loans, a bad sign for global growth, or new “not because markets” lending, a bad sign for global inflation? Today’s Chinese CPI data were in line at just 0.8% y-o-y headline, up from 0.5%, and slightly above expectations at 1.0% y-o-y core, while PPI was 3.8% y-o-y vs. 3.6% consensus and up from 3.5%. Let’s see how all of them trend with Shanghai oil over $100.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 13:20

If You're Still Talking About Central Bank Independence, You Are Behind The Curve

Zero Hedge -

If You're Still Talking About Central Bank Independence, You Are Behind The Curve

By Michael Every of Rabobank

The US just hit five more Iranian oil tankers, citing attempted strikes on one of its warships, and warned more will be sunk if Iran tries it again. It also imposed more economic war via aviation sanctions. The Saudis and Houthis are on the brink of new war after a series of strikes at Saudi cities, followed by Riyadh’s reprisals and the threat of “consequences [the Houthis] cannot handle.” Qatar and the UAE both said the Gulf cannot rely on US alone for the region's security: but Russia can’t extend power there now; China can’t or doesn’t want to; Europe can’t and won’t – so that leaves Turkey and Israel, both eyeing the other suspiciously; and as France and Canada joined the UK in issuing trade sanctions on Israeli settlements, the EU reportedly wants to pursue closer Israel ties on air defence and space.

Oil trades above $100, and notably Shanghai oil is now trading higher than Brent having been vastly lower in the early stages of the Iran War. Crack spreads remain worryingly high all over. Refined product stocks remain worryingly low.

Trump spoke to Putin as Hungary expelled 10 Russian diplomats to Moscow’s threats of a harsh response. Iceland summoned the US ambassador over Trump’s Stars and Stripes map Truth post showing the US flag covering Canada, Mexico, Greenland, and Iceland. Israel shut down the UK consulate in Jerusalem. The British Army has reportedly been ordered to save money by using reservists less, and flights were grounded across the UK due to a tech issue – showing the impact ‘grey zone’ attacks can have. The Hong Kong press notes China is boosting Pakistani drone defences ‘as India tensions simmer’, and ‘How Japan is digging in to deter –and withstand– a conflict over Taiwan.’ All the kind of things to rattle the long end of government bond yield curves.

Maritime nations are warning that global shipping rules are collapsing, which could take much global trade with it as some worry if there is enough bunker fuel for the ships to use. While the Suez Canal is seeing more passages as tankers try to avoid Hormuz, the Panama Canal is warning of deeper transit cuts as the El Nino drought threat intensifies. Further north, and next to Europe, Russia is betting on a $400bn Arctic Transport Corridor but can’t fund it without China.

Brussels warned China it ‘must buy more’ from the EU to avoid a trade war: but what exactly? The old joke vs. the US was ‘Will you sell us aircraft carriers?’ China now builds its own faster. Europe has few resources China needs or goods it doesn’t make itself. Even EU luxury brands are less popular as Beijing prioritises domestic brands. Perhaps the EU could sell China more tech from ASML, to a new trans-Atlantic storm? Meanwhile, EU industry claims it faces 300,000 job cuts as China “colonises” its supply chains, and European “wealth” is threatened by the decline of its carmakers, with a deleterious effect on the steel, aluminium, glass, and chemical sectors needed for rearmament. Again, not much fun for the long end of bond markets if they think about it.

Canadian counter tariffs on the US went into effect; the US is to ban Canadian dairy and some alcohol and motor vehicles from September 29, as well as Canadian firms from government contracts in response. The Globe and Mail opines, ‘With this trade war, Canada faces its Singapore moment’. The National Post says, ‘Canadians support hard line against US, but don't want to pay for it’, as “When asked if they would pay an extra C$500 per year to hold the line in the current trade war, 56% called this ‘unacceptable’.” Becoming Singapore implies paying vastly more than C$500 per year.

US Secretary of State Rubio is seeking more economic and security ties in Latin America, which has an FTA with the EU, which doesn’t offer the same security ties. He’s in Colombia to ‘clarify’ its China links and to sign a minerals deal, as Nicaragua hands a gold concession to a sister firm of US-sanctioned Chinese miner.

In AI, there are more reports about experts fearing the technology is out of control, as markets worry about the same issue from a different standpoint. The US also accused Chinese AI firms of “malicious” copying of AI technology – which can be resisted how if so, a digital Iron Curtain? Despite fears of US-South Korean tensions, as opposed to alignment on rapprochement with North Korea, KHNP and the US Westinghouse are to align the two nations nuclear supply chains for eight new US reactors. That is a small step in the right direction regarding AI power demands.

In politics, anti-AfD protests swept parts of Germany as the establishment fears that Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania may fall to the populists on 20 September. That’s as Politico says, ‘Merz has no good answers as the far right targets his downfall.’ Nothing for the bond market to worry about there, right?

In markets, there is some speculation the BOJ might even think about a 50bps hike. If so, it would be the first such move since 1989, when it was still in a bubble. Appropriately, given the current geopolitical backdrop, it was also before the3 first Cold War had fully ended and was a time when the US used national security arguments vs. its allies to achieve the likes of the Plaza Accord.

Indeed, US Treasury Secretary Bessent stated: “I am the house now, so when we intervene with the Japanese Yen, I have a pretty good insight into what the Japanese, what the Bank of Japan is going to do, what Japanese policy makers are going to do. And you can bet against me if you want.” I repeat, if you are still talking about the independence of central banks, you are behind the curve; the world is now about the functional independence of countries within which central banks sit. Of course, as JPY rallies and shorter-dated JGB yields rise, the issue becomes when we might see Japanese holdings abroad repatriated, pushing FX down and yields higher in other markets. That might take some more economic statecraft, not “because markets”, from Bessent to handle.

The RBA just saw Hauser give a hawkish speech, which has markets thinking of hikes this month and in November. Fortunately, that’s very much what the US Treasury would like to see – plus a lot more action on non-housing parts of the economy.

ECB President Lagarde, who’s talked independently about economic statecraft yet done nothing, is to release her memoir in January. That’s odd given she will still be in office so can’t tell us anything interesting enough to justify reading it. Unless she has moved on to pontificate at Davos, as whispered. That would allow Macron to choose the replacement ECB representative before the French presidential election where the nationalist Le Pen is seen as favourite, a clear ‘rules’-based ringfencing of a ‘rules-based’ institution against at least one populist appointment. Yet when you see where the political winds are blowing, such action may not prove quite as reassuring for markets as the ‘sensible centrist’ optimists would try to sell it.

On the other hand, China's tobacco monopoly played a key role in shoring up state-owned banks, which just raised $54bn in capital even as GDP is sluggish. Where there’s smoking, there’s fire, but is the new capital for bad loans, a bad sign for global growth, or new “not because markets” lending, a bad sign for global inflation? Today’s Chinese CPI data were in line at just 0.8% y-o-y headline, up from 0.5%, and slightly above expectations at 1.0% y-o-y core, while PPI was 3.8% y-o-y vs. 3.6% consensus and up from 3.5%. Let’s see how all of them trend with Shanghai oil over $100.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 13:20

Treasury Yields Surge After Bessent Disappoints Market With Small Buyback Size

Zero Hedge -

Treasury Yields Surge After Bessent Disappoints Market With Small Buyback Size

Ahead of today's highly anticipated Treasury buyback announcement - which put a number to the shocking Aug 19 news from the Treasury that the maximum size of $2 billion per longer-dated buyback operation would be "at least $4 billion" - we warned that no matter what was unveiled at 11am ET, the market would be disappointed...

... for the simple reason that when it comes to $2+ trillion in gross issuance every year and hundreds of billions in annual duration (DV01) supply, $4 billion - or even $10 billion as some expected - would be a drop in the bucket as this chart from Goldman shows (where if you use a microscope, you can even see the size of the TSY buyback in context).

So at precisely 11am, the Treasury did release the long-awaited number.... and it was a huge disappointment.

The treasury announced that going forward, the maximum par amount of 20-30 Year TSYs to be repurchased would be $6 billion... which while more than the $4 billion guaranteed minimum per the original press release, was less than the $10 billion whisper. 

Source: Treasury

Many dealers had ramped up their predictions for Thursday’s buyback operation after Bessent publicly touted the potential for purchases of over $4 billion; many expected $6 billion, a few even said that a number north of $10 billion isn't out of the question. The Treasury chief on Tuesday reiterated that while he cannot alter the “equilibrium” price of Treasuries, his objective was to slow moves down and prevent any damaging narrative taking hold in the world’s biggest bond market

BNP Paribas head of US rates strategy, Guneet Dhingra, said before the announcement it would take a maximum size of $7 billion to surprise the market, with anything less triggering selling pressure. He was right: the $6 billion number proved to be a dud as confirmed by the bond market reaction which has sent 10Y yields spiking 4 bps higher on the disappointing news, rising as high as 4.85%. 

How successful the enlarged program will prove remains to be seen. Yields dropped after the initial announcement of the plan last month, but retraced the move. Benchmark 10-year yields last week hit their highest since 2023.

Markets in August, when 30-year yields hit their highest since 2007, were driven by concerns “the US is not going to be able to pay its debt. It was absurd, but it just became kind of the dominant narrative,” Bessent claimed in a Texas event. He has separately characterized buybacks as aimed at boosting liquidity. They will enable banks and other institutions to offload harder-to-trade securities so that they can then boost their participation in auctions of new debt, he said last week.

“Scott has absolutely adopted a very activist model as Treasury secretary,” Krishna Guha, head of economics at Evercore ISI, said before Wednesday’s announcement. “He’s tactically very skilled in terms of when and how to surprise and move markets and has had some near-term success.”

Guha, who previously worked at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, said “the challenge is always whether the impact of these kind of interventions can be sustained without bigger changes in fundamentals.”

Of course, since the buyback size is a "maximum", that means the Treasury will not necessarily purchase that amount of securities. However, when it comes to buybacks targeting longer-dated nominal debt, the department does tend to buy the full size, having only twice not done so in the 52 such operations since the program was reintroduced in 2024.

Bessent’s expansion of the long-dated buybacks program last month took investors by surprise because it was announced outside the Treasury’s quarterly announcement schedule. That’s fanned talk of a new, more activist style of US debt management, in contrast to the department’s long-held mantra of being “regular and predictable.”

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 12:55

Treasury Yields Surge After Bessent Disappoints Market With Small Buyback Size

Zero Hedge -

Treasury Yields Surge After Bessent Disappoints Market With Small Buyback Size

Ahead of today's highly anticipated Treasury buyback announcement - which put a number to the shocking Aug 19 news from the Treasury that the maximum size of $2 billion per longer-dated buyback operation would be "at least $4 billion" - we warned that no matter what was unveiled at 11am ET, the market would be disappointed...

... for the simple reason that when it comes to $2+ trillion in gross issuance every year and hundreds of billions in annual duration (DV01) supply, $4 billion - or even $10 billion as some expected - would be a drop in the bucket as this chart from Goldman shows (where if you use a microscope, you can even see the size of the TSY buyback in context).

So at precisely 11am, the Treasury did release the long-awaited number.... and it was a huge disappointment.

The treasury announced that going forward, the maximum par amount of 20-30 Year TSYs to be repurchased would be $6 billion... which while more than the $4 billion guaranteed minimum per the original press release, was less than the $10 billion whisper. 

Source: Treasury

Many dealers had ramped up their predictions for Thursday’s buyback operation after Bessent publicly touted the potential for purchases of over $4 billion; many expected $6 billion, a few even said that a number north of $10 billion isn't out of the question. The Treasury chief on Tuesday reiterated that while he cannot alter the “equilibrium” price of Treasuries, his objective was to slow moves down and prevent any damaging narrative taking hold in the world’s biggest bond market

BNP Paribas head of US rates strategy, Guneet Dhingra, said before the announcement it would take a maximum size of $7 billion to surprise the market, with anything less triggering selling pressure. He was right: the $6 billion number proved to be a dud as confirmed by the bond market reaction which has sent 10Y yields spiking 4 bps higher on the disappointing news, rising as high as 4.85%. 

How successful the enlarged program will prove remains to be seen. Yields dropped after the initial announcement of the plan last month, but retraced the move. Benchmark 10-year yields last week hit their highest since 2023.

Markets in August, when 30-year yields hit their highest since 2007, were driven by concerns “the US is not going to be able to pay its debt. It was absurd, but it just became kind of the dominant narrative,” Bessent claimed in a Texas event. He has separately characterized buybacks as aimed at boosting liquidity. They will enable banks and other institutions to offload harder-to-trade securities so that they can then boost their participation in auctions of new debt, he said last week.

“Scott has absolutely adopted a very activist model as Treasury secretary,” Krishna Guha, head of economics at Evercore ISI, said before Wednesday’s announcement. “He’s tactically very skilled in terms of when and how to surprise and move markets and has had some near-term success.”

Guha, who previously worked at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, said “the challenge is always whether the impact of these kind of interventions can be sustained without bigger changes in fundamentals.”

Of course, since the buyback size is a "maximum", that means the Treasury will not necessarily purchase that amount of securities. However, when it comes to buybacks targeting longer-dated nominal debt, the department does tend to buy the full size, having only twice not done so in the 52 such operations since the program was reintroduced in 2024.

Bessent’s expansion of the long-dated buybacks program last month took investors by surprise because it was announced outside the Treasury’s quarterly announcement schedule. That’s fanned talk of a new, more activist style of US debt management, in contrast to the department’s long-held mantra of being “regular and predictable.”

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 12:55

Trump Admin Asks Supreme Court To Allow Voter Citizenship Verification

Zero Hedge -

Trump Admin Asks Supreme Court To Allow Voter Citizenship Verification

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times,

The Justice Department on Sept. 8 requested that the Supreme Court let the government verify the citizenship of voters using a federal immigration database.

A federal judge earlier in the year ruled that the Trump administration was violating privacy laws by using the Systematic Alien Verification for Entitlements (SAVE) system to verify the citizenship of people on state voter rolls.

An appeals court upheld the ruling on Sept. 4 in a split decision, with the majority concluding that using the database would illegally disclose personal data such as Social Security numbers.

"The district court has issued an indefensible order that threatens the integrity of upcoming elections by vacating the federal government's authority to internally use Social Security data when fulfilling its duty to respond to requests by states to verify the citizenship of individuals for voting and other purposes," Department of Justice lawyers wrote in the new filing to the nation's top court.

They said the order exceeds the jurisdiction of the court, because the organizations that brought the lawsuit do not have standing, or are not affected by the order in a way that allows them to legally challenge it.

"The court's order also fails on the merits, as the policy is consistent with all applicable federal statutes," the filing states.

"The order will irreparably harm the federal government, the States, and the public by depriving the government of an effective tool to verify the eligibility of registered voters and benefits applicants under various state and federal programs."

The groups that brought the litigation, including the League of Women Voters, have not yet responded to the filing.

The litigation was brought after the government enabled bulk queries to SAVE, complying with an order from a different judge that came in a case brought by states that struggled to verify the citizenship of registered voters.

Although a majority of a U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit panel on Sept. 4 ruled in favor of the groups, Judge Gregory Katsas dissented. He said that he would have stayed the order blocking the government from using SAVE, pending the outcome of the appeal.

The government's modified system does not appear to violate the federal law that prohibits disclosure of Social Security numbers and "related records," according to the judge. He said that the disclosures would only be made to the Department of Homeland Security, which would then convey information about a person's immigration status or citizenship to state agencies.

"In sum, SAVE responses are not 'related records' because they simply repeat identifying information provided by the SAVE user, in the course of conveying any additional, unprotected information about the identified individual's citizenship status," Katsas wrote.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 12:40

Trump Admin Asks Supreme Court To Allow Voter Citizenship Verification

Zero Hedge -

Trump Admin Asks Supreme Court To Allow Voter Citizenship Verification

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times,

The Justice Department on Sept. 8 requested that the Supreme Court let the government verify the citizenship of voters using a federal immigration database.

A federal judge earlier in the year ruled that the Trump administration was violating privacy laws by using the Systematic Alien Verification for Entitlements (SAVE) system to verify the citizenship of people on state voter rolls.

An appeals court upheld the ruling on Sept. 4 in a split decision, with the majority concluding that using the database would illegally disclose personal data such as Social Security numbers.

"The district court has issued an indefensible order that threatens the integrity of upcoming elections by vacating the federal government's authority to internally use Social Security data when fulfilling its duty to respond to requests by states to verify the citizenship of individuals for voting and other purposes," Department of Justice lawyers wrote in the new filing to the nation's top court.

They said the order exceeds the jurisdiction of the court, because the organizations that brought the lawsuit do not have standing, or are not affected by the order in a way that allows them to legally challenge it.

"The court's order also fails on the merits, as the policy is consistent with all applicable federal statutes," the filing states.

"The order will irreparably harm the federal government, the States, and the public by depriving the government of an effective tool to verify the eligibility of registered voters and benefits applicants under various state and federal programs."

The groups that brought the litigation, including the League of Women Voters, have not yet responded to the filing.

The litigation was brought after the government enabled bulk queries to SAVE, complying with an order from a different judge that came in a case brought by states that struggled to verify the citizenship of registered voters.

Although a majority of a U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit panel on Sept. 4 ruled in favor of the groups, Judge Gregory Katsas dissented. He said that he would have stayed the order blocking the government from using SAVE, pending the outcome of the appeal.

The government's modified system does not appear to violate the federal law that prohibits disclosure of Social Security numbers and "related records," according to the judge. He said that the disclosures would only be made to the Department of Homeland Security, which would then convey information about a person's immigration status or citizenship to state agencies.

"In sum, SAVE responses are not 'related records' because they simply repeat identifying information provided by the SAVE user, in the course of conveying any additional, unprotected information about the identified individual's citizenship status," Katsas wrote.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 12:40

Hunter Biden's LAPTOP Memecoin Crashes 99% In First Hour After Launch...

Zero Hedge -

Hunter Biden's LAPTOP Memecoin Crashes 99% In First Hour After Launch...

Hunter Biden’s LAPTOP memecoin fell 99% in its first hour of trading on Wednesday, as the son of former US President Joe Biden officially entered the market for politically themed cryptocurrencies.

The token, which we previewed here, issued on Ethereum layer-2 network Base, traded below $2.00, after opening at $199.50, according to CoinGecko data.

It recorded more than $3 million in trading volume.

Source: CoinGecko

“The symbol they used to try to end me is now a symbol of resilience, redemption and recovery,” Biden said in an X post on Wednesday, responding to public backlash.

Biden also said he understood the cynicism around memecoins, called President Donald Trump’s token a “grift” and warned buyers not to expect him or anyone else to make LAPTOP more valuable.

The memecoin is promoted as an attempt to reclaim the “laptop narrative,” which centers on a MacBook that Biden reportedly left at a Delaware repair shop in 2019.

The New York Post published emails and other files purported to have come from the device before the 2020 presidential election. Trump allies used the material against Hunter Biden and his father, then-presidential candidate Joe Biden.

On Monday, Biden teased LAPTOP on X with a post showing the token’s ticker, accompanied by a montage of media coverage of the laptop.

As CoinTelegraph reports, the announcement drew criticism from the likes of digital investigator Stephen Findeisen, known as Coffeezilla, who called LAPTOP a “shitcoin” and urged his followers not to buy it.

X account “scupytrooples” told Biden there was “still time to walk this back.”

Base founder Jesse Pollak said in an X post that the project had contacted his team, but Base made a “conscious decision” not to help with the token’s design or promotion.

Biden did not respond to Cointelegraph’s query before publication. 

The project’s disclosures say LAPTOP has no utility, lock founder tokens for six months and reserve 2% for wallets that lost money on TRUMP.

LAPTOP disclosures set 2% of token supply for TRUMP token losers

Biden’s earlier criticism of the Trump family’s crypto ventures also gave traders a ready-made hypocrisy argument. 

In an Aug. 21 post, Biden accused World Liberty Financial of using political influence, centralized controls and leverage to benefit its founders, while saying the crypto industry deserved better. 

He has now launched a memecoin built around his own political identity, with founders allocated a chunk of the supply.

The project’s disclosures describe LAPTOP as a digital collectible with no utility, ownership rights, voting rights, yield or profit-sharing rights. The token has a fixed supply of 1 billion, with 350 million tokens circulating at launch.

Founders, including Biden, are allocated 300 million tokens, or 30% of the supply. Those tokens are locked for six months and then vested monthly over the following 24 months. Another 30% is tied to political, cultural and crypto predictions, with tokens burned when specified outcomes occur and released to charity if they do not.

The disclosures also outline airdrop figures, with the initial round representing 10% of the total supply. Of those, 2% is reserved for wallets that lost money on TRUMP and 8% for eligible subscribers to Biden’s “Where’s Hunter” Substack newsletter.

A separate 10% future airdrop is to be distributed at the foundation’s discretion. That means 20% is allocated to airdrops overall, while the specific TRUMP-loss allocation is capped at 2%.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 12:20

'It Could Kill Us All By 2030': AI Researcher Resigns, Warns "Do Not Underestimate The Power Of This Tech"

Zero Hedge -

'It Could Kill Us All By 2030': AI Researcher Resigns, Warns "Do Not Underestimate The Power Of This Tech"

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times,

An artificial intelligence (AI) researcher on Sept. 8 said he had resigned and warned people about the technology's dangers.

Jacob Coxon, who has worked in recent years doing research at the firms OpenAI and Anthropic, said in a series of posts on X that neither company is acting responsibly as they move toward what he described as superintelligent AI that is capable of self-improvement.

"Do not underestimate the power of this technology. These will soon be superhuman systems that can hack anything, revolutionize any field overnight, and acquire real power and resources. We have all witnessed the progress in each of these domains, and progress is not slowing," Coxon said.

"The people building AI earnestly believe that it could kill us all by the end of the decade. This is not a marketing stunt. If anything, many executives and senior researchers will couch their phrasing in the press to sound sensible - but I hear the same people express fear privately. No other human activity poses this level of danger."

Coxon said a common response to such warnings is, if company leaders believe in the dangers, why are they still building the superintelligent AI? He said that at OpenAI, many there "have not deeply internalized the civilizational stakes." At Anthropic, according to Coxon, "the stakes are well-understood, but they are locked in a race to get there first - they believe no one else will act responsibly, so they must do it themselves, despite the risk."

OpenAI and Anthropic did not respond to requests for comment by the time of publication.

Coxon's warning came after OpenAI acknowledged several incidents that involved AI going beyond restrictions imposed by programmers, including remaining isolated from other agents, during attacks on Hugging Face and other websites.

Some lawmakers have taken notice. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Rep. Greg Casar (D-Texas) announced recently that they plan on introducing legislation that would ban AI superintelligence and pause development of advanced AI until federal regulators establish safety rules.

Jakub Pachocki, OpenAI's chief scientist, said in a blog post on Sept. 6 that in 2023, he was worried about seeing in his lifetime AI that is smarter than himself and wondering about how to alert people.

"Three years later, reasoning language models are a rapidly growing part of the economy and starting to push the boundaries of science. They are able to operate computers and graphical interfaces, collaborate with people and each other, and carry out research projects. They are also transforming the landscape of computer security, and in that present clear new dangers," Pachocki wrote.

He called for "extreme caution" but said that multiple factors support continuing AI development, including creating systems that can defend against the dangers posed by other AI.

Anthropic executives have issued similar warnings. Over the summer, company leaders called for a global pause in AI development because, they said, models would soon be able to independently improve themselves.

Evan Hubinger, another developer at Anthropic, said in a Sept. 8 post on X that Coxon was correct in his assertion that people building AI believe it could kill all humans, and that he personally pegs the risk at under 10 percent within the next decade.

"I believe Anthropic is trying its best, but we do not yet have a plan to solve alignment for superintelligence and are not clearly on track to," he said, referring to AI following instructions and restrictions.

"To be clear, as we say in our latest Risk Report, I think the risk from present models is low. What I am worried about is superintelligence arising from recursive self-improvement, as we have said is happening faster than we thought."

Samuel Marks, who works on safety research at Anthropic, said in a Sept. 9 post on X that he also agrees that AI could lead to human extinction as soon as the next few years.

"Why do AI developers continue despite the risk? Due to a mixture of commercial incentives and a belief that they are in a race with other, less responsible AI developers that will abuse the technology or develop it less safely," Marks said.

Marks said it's not possible to program AIs to behave how people would like, that AI agents frequently "severely misbehave," and that the current plan is to train AI to align with restrictions to the point the agents can train their successors better than humans can currently train AI. He said he's conducting research "because I hope my work will reduce the chance of these extinction-level bad outcomes."

[ZH: We can't help but feel in the same week we see OpenAI 'solves' Navier-Stokes, we get another glut of existential warnings about just how awesome (in the scary sense) these models are... all sounds like a marketing psy-op... similar to the fence-jumping episodes with Hugging Face etc 'showing off' how great the agents are (and how they need regulating (i.e a path to shutting out open-weight models)... but could just be our skeptical bias emerging...]

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/09/2026 - 12:00

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