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The Two Lineages Of Liberty

The Two Lineages Of Liberty

Authored by Philippe Lemieux via Mises Institute,

Liberty's history is often presented as a direct consequence of the Enlightenment: inherited authority was subjected to reason, persecution gave way to toleration, monarchy to constitutional government, and privilege to individual rights. In this account, classical liberalism leads naturally to Austrian economics and modern libertarianism. That sequence is useful but incomplete.

Liberty developed through the convergence of two lineages. The first is the modern lineage of Enlightenment criticism, which required political power to justify itself before reason. The second is an older realist tradition, running from Aristotle and Thomas Aquinas through the School of Salamanca, Richard Cantillon, Carl Menger, Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk, Ludwig von Mises, and Murray Rothbard. These thinkers did not form a single school, nor did they agree on every question. What connects them is a shared orientation: reality has an intelligible order, human action has a structure, and political power cannot be abolished either by command.

The relevant difference is not between the Enlightenment as a whole and an older tradition, nor between reason and faith. Important currents within the Enlightenment, especially the Scottish Enlightenment, recognized that custom, law, money, and markets could arise without deliberate design. The deeper conflict is between a constructivist current within modern thought and an older causal-realist approach to social order. Friedrich Hayek identified the pinnacle of this constructivism as the "fatal conceit," the erroneous belief that man is able to shape the world around him according to his wishes. The realist tradition emphasizes the intelligibility and causal structure of social phenomena, while the constructivist tendency places greater confidence in deliberate organization and direction.

The danger appeared when criticism of inherited institutions hardened into confidence in consciously-designed ones. Locke was not Marx, and constitutional government was not socialism. The continuity lies in method: once social order is treated primarily as an artifact of design, political disagreement increasingly turns on the identity of the designer, the objective of the plan, and the permitted range of control. This tendency appears in social planning, price controls, central banking, licensing, regulation, and the administrative management of economic life.

The older lineage begins from a different premise. Aristotle started with beings as they are and the ends toward which they tend. Human beings choose, deliberate, employ means, form households, exchange goods, and enter associations. Thomas Aquinas carried this realism into law and politics. A command does not become just simply because a ruler issues it. Human law derives its normative order from principles that political authority does not itself create.

Many late Scholastics, particularly the Spanish Scholastics associated with Salamanca, extended this framework to property, exchange, money, and political authority. They increasingly identified the just price with common estimation, shaped by utility, scarcity, and market conditions, rather than with an objective measure of production costs. By situating economic phenomena within moral agency and commutative justice, they placed limits on the arbitrary exercise of political authority in economic life. Within this tradition, thinkers such as Juan de Mariana also articulated strong limits on taxation, confiscation, and monetary debasement.

Richard Cantillon advanced this analysis by placing entrepreneurship, uncertainty, production, and market-price formation near the center of economic life. Merchants and retailers bought at known or fixed prices and later sold at prices they could not foresee, while farmers committed themselves to fixed rents without knowing what their output would command. Profit, loss, and bankruptcy therefore arose from judgment under changing conditions of demand, competition, weather, and consumer preference.

Carl Menger marked a decisive transition within the Austrian tradition. Much of British classical economics, especially in the Ricardian tradition, explained long-run exchange value primarily through labor and production costs. Menger instead began with human needs and with the economizing individual's knowledge of, and command over, goods capable of satisfying those needs. Value was not a substance stored inside an object; it arose from the relation between an individual, his needs, and the goods available to him. Market phenomena therefore had to be traced to individual judgments, choices, and exchanges. Prices, money, and other social institutions could emerge from economizing activity even when no one intended the resulting order.

Böhm-Bawerk extended the analysis to capital and time. For him, social or productive capital consists of intermediate goods used in time-consuming processes of production before final consumer goods become available.

Mises generalized the Austrian insight through praxeology, making economics part of a broader science of human action. The starting point was not an aggregate, a class, or a governmental objective; it was the acting individual employing scarce means to attain chosen ends. Exchange, prices, profit, loss, money, capital, and production are intelligible only within this structure of purposeful conduct. Mises presented praxeology as an a priori science grounded in the category of human action, with implications that could be developed through deductive reasoning independently of particular historical experience.

The extent to which this epistemology should be understood as Kantian, however, is contested. Jörg Guido Hülsmann has argued that Mises is better understood as a representative of Aristotelian realism. Although Mises employed the language of the a priori, Hülsmann points to the method of Mises's actual economic analysis, which repeatedly seeks to identify the nature and necessary relations of economic phenomena. Hülsmann therefore places him within the broader Austrian realist tradition of Menger and Böhm-Bawerk, arguing that his affinities with Kant should not be overstated. On this reading, Mises occupies an intermediate position within the lineage developed here: his epistemological vocabulary is partly Kantian, while the substance of his economic analysis retains an important Aristotelian-realist character.

Mises's critique of socialism demonstrated the practical consequences of this method. Socialist calculation does not fail merely because officials are corrupt, uninformed, or unintelligent. It fails because abolishing private ownership in the means of production eliminates genuine exchange in capital goods. Without exchange, there are no market prices through which planners can compare competing uses of resources by means of monetary calculation.

A planning authority may collect technical information, issue targets, and assign accounting figures. Such figures, however, are not exchange ratios generated by transactions among separate owners. A statistical table can describe quantities, but it cannot determine whether steel should be used for bridges, machinery, railways, or buildings in a way that responds to consumer demand and alternative costs. The defect is not located in the personality of the planner; it is built into the institutional structure of the system.

Rothbard brought this lineage to its most systematic political conclusion. He combined Austrian value theory, capital theory, and economic calculation with a broader theory of natural law, natural rights, property, and the state. His philosophical foundation differed from Mises's. Rothbard retained the praxeological method of deduction but interpreted the action axiom from an Aristotelian-Thomistic epistemological standpoint, grounding it in the nature of reality rather than in Mises's neo-Kantian conception of the action axiom as an a priori category of thought.

Rothbard also rejected the convenient story that economics began with Adam Smith and advanced in a straight line toward modern science. In his history of economic thought, he restored the Spanish Scholastics, Cantillon, the French liberal tradition, and other neglected thinkers to a central place, arguing that their contributions had been obscured by the later dominance of British classical economics.

The administrative state shows what happens when the emancipatory language of the Enlightenment is separated from the limits imposed by human action, scarcity, property, and economic calculation. It speaks the language of rights while turning rights into permissions. It recognizes property and permits markets while reserving the power to direct their use through zoning, licensing, taxation, monetary policy, and regulation. It preserves elections while transferring decisions to agencies, central banks, and experts. The system remains liberal in vocabulary and managerial in operation. Failure is treated not as evidence of institutional limits but as proof that the machinery requires another adjustment, a new rule, a larger staff, or a wider jurisdiction.

The history of liberty, therefore, is not the story of one Enlightenment becoming more consistent, but of two converging lineages. One challenged inherited authority; the other emphasized the limits that human action, causality, property, and economic calculation impose on deliberate construction. Austrian economics stands where they meet. Social order emerges through individual action, exchange, calculation, and cooperation under conditions that no central authority can fully command.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 23:25

Man Accused Of Trying To Set Portland Record Store On Fire After They Wouldn't Buy His Records

Man Accused Of Trying To Set Portland Record Store On Fire After They Wouldn't Buy His Records

A dispute over a record sale escalated into threats and an alleged attempt to set a Portland record shop on fire, according to prosecutors.

Adrian Orange, 40, is accused of confronting the owner of Vinyl Resting Place in St. Johns on Aug. 27 after the store declined to purchase records he brought in, according to KATU ABC. Court documents say Orange threatened the owner, calling him a “dead man.”

Investigators say Orange later returned after the door had been locked, placed newspaper beneath the entrance, poured lighter fluid on it and ignited it.

A woman from a neighboring business intervened and extinguished the flames after Orange walked away. Authorities say he threatened her as well.

The KATU report says about 15 minutes later, Orange allegedly returned and kicked the store’s door while making additional threats, including, “One way or another, I’m getting to you.”

Police later located Orange outside a nearby bar. He acknowledged visiting the record shop earlier to sell records and had a lighter with him when officers found him.

Orange was arraigned on attempted arson, two burglary counts, coercion and menacing. A judge ordered him held without bail pending a preventive detention hearing.

Afterward, the store owner wrote on social media about his frustration with the broader mental health crisis, saying he felt he had exhausted his options for dealing with the problem.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 23:00

Qatar And UAE Turn To Rare LNG Ship Transfers As Hormuz Crisis Drags On

Qatar And UAE Turn To Rare LNG Ship Transfers As Hormuz Crisis Drags On

By Tsvetana Paraskova of OilPrice.com

Three LNG carriers loaded from Qatar and the United Arab Emirates in the Persian Gulf have transferred their cargoes onto other vessels outside the Strait of Hormuz in the past month, a move that’s highly unusual for LNG cargoes but one that could raise the crippled LNG shipments from the region.

LNG traffic at the Strait of Hormuz nevertheless remains at a standstill, even though oil flows are estimated to have rebounded in recent weeks.

However, unlike crude oil, it’s much more difficult to shuttle-ship LNG through Hormuz and then reload it via a ship-to-ship (STS) transfer as Persian Gulf producers, including Qatar, have been doing in recent months to ship oil to customers.

The UAE and Qatar appear to have done this with three LNG cargoes in August, Reuters reported on Wednesday, citing vessel-tracking data from Vortexa and Kpler.

The three LNG carriers in question include Greek-owned GasLog Shanghai, which was involved in an “incident” in the Strait of Hormuz at the end of July, and transferred its cargo onto GasLog Savannah offshore Oman outside the Strait in late August.

Qatar-owned Al Rekayyat, hit by a projectile near the Strait of Hormuz in early July, also conducted an STS transfer with Qatar-owned tanker Tembek in mid-August, according to the data compiled by Reuters.

The cargo on the Tembek was delivered to India on August 31.

ADNOC’s Mraweh LNG carrier also made an STS onto LNG Enugu outside the Strait offshore Oman in the middle of August, and is en route to deliver the cargo to Japan, according to the data.

The lack of meaningful recovery of LNG flows from the Persian Gulf and Qatar’s extended force majeure on deliveries combined with the U.S.-Iran re-escalation to hike Asia’s spot LNG prices to a five-month high and Europe’s benchmark natural gas prices to a three-and-a-half-year high this week.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 22:35

Xi In Rare Egypt Visit Blasts 'External Interference' In Mideast, As Iran War Drags On

Xi In Rare Egypt Visit Blasts 'External Interference' In Mideast, As Iran War Drags On

Chinese President Xi Jinping in a rare trip to the Cairo told his Egyptian counterpart on Wednesday that "external interference" in the Middle East should be opposed, Chinese state media reported.

Talks in the Egyptian capital between Xi and Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi were a first in a decade. Interestingly, Xi at one point pledged Beijing was willing to help protect maritime shipping - though it's anything but clear what specifics would look like, or what bodies of water he had in mind.

via Reuters

"China stands ready to work with countries in the region to safeguard the security of international shipping lanes, advance development cooperation… and eliminate the breeding grounds for conflict," Xi said as quoted in Xinhua.

Ironically the 'offer' comes months after President Trump urged international powers to do just that, but which was met by resounding silence, even among European leaders. Naturally they don't want to get bogged down in yet another US foreign adventure, especially when there's been lack of strategy coupled with repeat contradictions along the way.

As for his remarks about non-interference, Xi clearly had in mind the still-raging US-Iran war, which has turned into a bit of a quagmire for the US, having hit the six-month mark just this week:

"We must uphold the principle that the people of the Middle East are the masters of their own affairs, oppose external interference [and] support regional countries in strengthening dialogue on peace and security."

The other irony on display is that Egypt's is essentially a military government which is bought and paid for by the United States to the tune of around $2 billion or more in bilateral foreign assistance each year. This goes back to the historic peace with Israel, and the Egyptian 'deep state' has been closely cooperative with US intelligence ever since.

Along with talk of how to advance diplomacy related to the Iran war, the two sides signed a significant Suez Canal investment deal:

The talks covered the six-month US-Iran conflict, with both presidents urging "diplomatic solutions" to reach a "comprehensive agreement to end the war", according to a statement from Sisi's spokesperson.

Sisi's office also said the two BRICS members signed an agreement to launch the third phase of the Egyptian-Chinese industrial zone at the Suez Canal, which officials say already hosts 200 companies and investments worth around $4 billion.

The new investments – for which Egypt has not announced a figure – give Beijing even greater influence in the canal zone, a critical artery of global trade, as conflict in the region chokes other conduits.

Regarding the White House's Economic D-Day sanctions on Iran, Beijing last month rejected cooperation with the policy meant to strangle the Islamic Republic.

Egypt stays committed to 'One China'...

China has been pushing back against Trump administration pressure to be part of the "toughest sanctions in history" which has marked a new phase of conflict focused on extended economic warfare, as a military solution has proven increasingly unrealistic and unlikely.

"Regarding the Iran issue, sanctions and pressure do not help resolve the problem," Reuters quoted a representative of the Chinese Embassy in Washington as saying in late August. The White House's recent plan hinges on on external countries imposing extreme isolation on the Islamic Republic.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 22:10

ICE Arrests More Than 120 Illegal Immigrants At Memphis Nightclub

ICE Arrests More Than 120 Illegal Immigrants At Memphis Nightclub

Authored by Kimberly Hayek via The Epoch Times,

Federal immigration officers arrested 121 illegal immigrants on Aug. 30 at a Memphis nightclub during a targeted multiagency enforcement action, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) said.

New Orleans field office for U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) led Operation Corral Light at the El Corralon nightclub, in which officers executed federal and state warrants, DHS said in a statement on Sept. 1.

The DHS said that those taken into custody included people with criminal histories involving larceny, drug possession, domestic violence, driving while intoxicated, assault, child endangerment, and prostitution.

DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin tied the arrests to broader efforts to fight crime in the Tennessee city.

"Thanks to President Trump's leadership, crime in the city of Memphis has plummeted. A big part of that success comes from arresting and deporting illegal aliens in the city," Mullin said.

"Through Operation Corral Light, ICE arrested more than 120 illegal aliens in a single day, including child abusers, drug traffickers, and violent assailants."

Scott Ladwig, acting field office director for ICE Enforcement and Removal Operations in New Orleans, described the effort as a priority.

"This criminal enforcement operation to arrest illegal aliens and eliminate drug activity in our community is part of the highest priorities of this administration," Ladwig said.

"Our officers remain committed to enforcing the law professionally, protecting the public, and upholding the trust placed in us by the American people."

Among those arrested were Ricardo N. Rodriguez Arteaga, a Honduran national with a conviction for larceny and an arrest for commercial sex involving homosexual prostitution. Sergio Vieyra Torres, from Mexico, faced prior arrests for child endangerment and driving under the influence of liquor. Maryari Pamela Lopez Urivina, also from Honduras, had an arrest for aggravated assault. Jeronima Giron Cisneros, another Honduran, was arrested for domestic violence. Miguel Galeas Rodriguez, from Honduras, had a conviction for cocaine possession.

The operation fits into ongoing federal work in Memphis, where the Memphis Safe Task Force, established after a presidential memorandum in September 2025, has tackled the city's high violent crime rates.

FBI data for 2024 showed Memphis with the highest per-capita violent crime rate among all major U.S. cities. The task force had reached 10,000 arrests by June, with more than 1,700 illegal firearms recovered. The group's responsibilities include immigration enforcement alongside other public-safety measures.

The city had a violent crime rate roughly six times the national average in 2024.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 21:45

MIT Student Claims To Make One Of The World’s Deadliest Chemicals, Sparking HAZMAT Response

MIT Student Claims To Make One Of The World’s Deadliest Chemicals, Sparking HAZMAT Response

A potentially dangerous laboratory incident at MIT triggered a hazmat response last week after a graduate student told medical personnel he believed he had created dimethylmercury, a highly toxic mercury compound, according to the NY Post.

The student, who has not been publicly identified, went to a local emergency room and reported the possible synthesis. That claim was serious enough to prompt MIT to close Building 18, part of its chemistry complex, while emergency crews and university officials assessed the situation.

MIT later said the student was not authorized to work with dimethylmercury and that the substance was unrelated to his approved research.

As a precaution, the university also took steps outside the laboratory. Shared spaces in the student’s residence hall were professionally cleaned, while the student’s own room was sealed during the investigation.

The NY Post writes that by Saturday, however, the situation had become less clear. MIT said new information had raised doubts about whether dimethylmercury had actually been produced. The university also said the student’s first blood test showed no evidence of mercury exposure, although the student remained under medical observation.

Testing and investigative work continued through the weekend, with Building 18 remaining closed through Sunday.

Dimethylmercury is considered an exceptionally hazardous substance because even a very small exposure can be deadly. The chemical is perhaps best known for the 1997 death of Dartmouth chemistry professor Karen Wetterhahn, who was exposed when a tiny amount reached her hand despite the gloves she was wearing.

The compound has also surfaced in at least one criminal case. It was reportedly used in the 2012 killing of a German labor union official.

MIT has not yet said definitively whether the student succeeded in making the chemical, leaving the central question of the incident unresolved even after the emergency response and cleanup.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 21:20

Trump's New Foundry School Aims To Train America's Manufacturing Workers Of The Future

Trump's New Foundry School Aims To Train America's Manufacturing Workers Of The Future

Authored by Kimberly Hayek via The Epoch Times,

The Trump administration will launch Foundry School on Thursday, a national training program meant to prepare entrepreneurs, engineers, technicians, and industrial leaders for a rebuilding of U.S. manufacturing.

Vice President JD Vance is set to headline the event, according to a State Department press release. Foundry School falls under Pax Silica, the department's multilateral effort to lock down trusted supply chains for technologies expected to shape the coming decades.

Officials say President Donald Trump's reindustrialization push has already drawn trillions of dollars in investment to American soil. Foundry School's focus will be to convert that capital into actual employment.

American manufacturers will need an estimated 3.8 million skilled workers by 2033 across semiconductors, defense, energy, and related fields, according to the press release. The program is designed to put American workers first by giving them the skills to bring those jobs home and build careers in sectors tied to economic security.

The launch starts at 8:20 a.m. at the Donald J. Trump Institute of Peace in Washington. Senior administration officials, university leaders, and industry executives are scheduled to speak.

Foundry School was first announced as a Pax Silica project by Under Secretary Jacob Helberg at the Pax Summit on June 25. It is structured as a workforce partnership with Stanford University, which developed the core advanced manufacturing curriculum for American students.

Keystone lectures will come from seven other universities that collaborated with Stanford. They are Arizona State University, Georgia Tech, Ohio State, Penn State, the University of Cincinnati, the University of Kansas, and Vanderbilt.

Across the eight campuses, the program will run 17 sessions. Founders and CEOs from advanced manufacturing firms will teach. Those leaders will come from the United States and from Pax Silica partner countries such as South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, and India.

The sessions are meant to cover everything required to build and run a top-tier manufacturing operation. Officials describe it as a single course aimed at making sure the American workforce shares in the industrial expansion.

"The entire Trump economic agenda is about making it easier to do business in America, to create jobs in America, to hire American workers, and to build your factories here in America, not in China, or any other country," Trump said in April 2025.

Studies have shown a skills shortage in the United States. A 2024 Deloitte study estimated 3.8 million new manufacturing positions would open by 2033, with only about half likely to be filled without major training efforts.

The jobs of the future in the modern manufacturing sector are expected to include highly technical and specialized roles, such as in robotics, artificial intelligence, and 3D printing. Experts say that the young generation of workers lack the skills to perform these tasks.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 20:55

Take-Two Slides Into Correction As Grand Theft Auto Leak Investigation Intensifies

Take-Two Slides Into Correction As Grand Theft Auto Leak Investigation Intensifies

Take-Two Interactive, whose Rockstar Games studio is developing Grand Theft Auto VI, was hit by a series of leaks last month ahead of the fall release. Bank of America analysts described the leaked footage as "impressive, but unlikely to surprise," while TTWO shares have tumbled into a correction since the leaks surfaced online.

The leaked clips reportedly expose plot details, character scenes, and gameplay mechanics, prompting Rockstar Games to call the leaks "gut-wrenching" and warn that some of the game's surprises may have been spoiled.

According to the Dutch news publication TorrentFreak, TTWO has intensified its search for the person who leaked GTA VI, asking a federal court to seal its latest demand for Discord user data, as the company describes its investigation as "rapidly evolving."

The new filing came Friday, one day after Rockstar Games streamed an extended GTA 6 preview on Netflix and months before the blockbuster title's planned November 19 release.

In mid-August, an account named "Cyberleek" began circulating the leaks. TTWO responded with takedown notices and a series of Digital Millennium Copyright Act subpoenas targeting Discord, Microsoft, X, and YouTube.

Unlike a conventional lawsuit, a DMCA subpoena allows a copyright holder to seek identifying information from an online platform before suing the alleged infringer.

In the new subpoena, filed Friday in the US District Court for the Southern District of New York, TTWO said its "investigation of the infringement at issue is rapidly evolving and ongoing," adding, "Take-Two has identified one additional Discord user and obtained additional identifying information for a previously identified Discord user, as well as additional information concerning the community servers identified in its prior subpoena for which it now seeks more targeted information."

On Monday, the SDNY granted the subpoena request. Last month, Take-Two requested four subpoenas seeking information from Discord, Microsoft, Google, and X as the GTA VI leaks went viral on social media.

TorrentFreak pointed out that TTWO withdrew its YouTube request after facing pushback from a judge.

US technology publication PCMag reported that the leaker, CyberLeek, "has gone silent after posting what appears to be the prologue to GTA 6."

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 20:30

OpenAI Hits Back At Apple In Trade Secrets Lawsuit

OpenAI Hits Back At Apple In Trade Secrets Lawsuit

Authored by Bill Pan via The Epoch Times,

OpenAI has pushed back against Apple's accusations that it stole the iPhone maker's hardware secrets, blaming the dispute on Apple's own handling of departing employees.

In a court filing on Monday, OpenAI asked a federal judge to deny Apple's request for a preliminary injunction, which would bar the ChatGPT maker and two former Apple employees from accessing, using, or disclosing alleged trade secrets while the case proceeds.

"This dispute is a mess of Apple's own making, and it is trying to blame everyone else," OpenAI said in the filing.

Apple sued OpenAI in July in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California.

The company accused OpenAI and former Apple employees Tang Tan and Chang Liu of misusing confidential information related to hardware design, manufacturing, and supply-chain operations.

Tan, who spent 24 years at Apple and previously served as vice president of product design for the iPhone and Apple Watch, is now OpenAI's chief hardware officer.

Liu, a former senior systems electrical engineer at Apple, now serves on OpenAI's technical staff.

In its complaint, Apple alleged that Tan used confidential project code names during interviews. It also claimed he asked at least one candidate to bring "actual parts" they had worked on at Apple for a "show and tell" session.

Apple further alleged that Liu continued to access company files after leaving by exploiting what it described as a "rare, previously unknown authentication bug."

OpenAI has denied those allegations.

In Tan's case, OpenAI said he returned Apple prototypes before leaving and kept only nonconfidential material.

It also said any components brought to interviews were either old or publicly available and were used only as "demonstration aids."

OpenAI also defended Liu, saying any Apple files he accessed after leaving were retrieved at the request of former colleagues.

According to OpenAI, those employees contacted him for help locating documents or answering questions about his previous work.

The Epoch Times has requested comment from Apple regarding OpenAI's latest filing.

Apple Cites New Evidence

Earlier on Monday, Apple submitted what it described as new evidence against Liu as it sought expedited discovery in the case.

Apple alleged that Liu accessed Apple's confidential "power-converter circuit" schematic while working at OpenAI, and that he used proprietary Apple information to train an AI agent in March.

Apple said the evidence emerged from a MacBook that OpenAI provided to the company on Aug. 21 as part of the legal proceedings. Much of the underlying evidence remains redacted from public view.

"The MacBook represents the very limited information Defendants provided so far (and only after weeks of delay), and shows Apple is not conducting 'fishing expeditions' but that its trade secrets are being used and evidence is being destroyed," the filing states.

OpenAI, however, said the episode only shows Apple's own shortcomings when it comes to offboarding.

According to OpenAI, Apple encourages employees to use personal iCloud accounts for work, making it more difficult to separate personal and company files when they leave.

The company also argued that Apple's practice of immediately escorting some departing employees from its offices can leave little time to return devices, transfer files, or hand over responsibilities.

"Apple blames employees who left the company for taking their personal accounts with them - even though Apple encouraged them to use personal accounts for work," OpenAI said.

The competing filings mark the latest escalation in a lawsuit that could provide an unusual look inside the two tech giants.

As the case moves deeper into the discovery phase, both sides could be required to disclose more details about how they recruit talent, develop hardware, and control who has access to what level of secrets.

From AI Partners to Hardware Rivals

There have been days when Apple and OpenAI enjoyed a less contentious relationship.

The two announced a partnership in June 2024 that brought ChatGPT into Apple products, allowing Siri and other Apple Intelligence features to tap into OpenAI's chatbot for some requests.

But OpenAI has since expanded aggressively into consumer hardware.

In May 2025, OpenAI acquired io Products, a hardware startup founded by former Apple design chief Jony Ive.

The deal, valued at $6.5 billion, brought Ive and his team into a close partnership with OpenAI as the company sought to develop a new generation of AI-powered devices.

Tan left Apple before joining io and later became OpenAI's chief hardware officer. Apple's lawsuit does not name Ive individually as a defendant.

Apple, meanwhile, has broadened its own AI partnerships.

In January, the company struck a multiyear deal to use Google's Gemini models as the foundation for future Apple Intelligence features, including its revamped Siri.

The legal fight erupted in July, when Apple accused OpenAI of using former Apple employees to obtain confidential information that could help it develop competing consumer hardware.

Apple has also alleged that OpenAI approached some of Apple's business partners using confidential information.

OpenAI has denied wrongdoing and portrayed the lawsuit as Apple's attempt to slow a potential competitor and discourage employees from leaving.

It said in Monday's filing that roughly 400 former Apple employees have joined its hardware efforts.

The ChatGPT maker argued that California law allows workers to move freely between competing companies, and that Apple cannot characterize ordinary employee departures as unlawful just because they join a rival.

"Apple cannot stop the next 400 employees from leaving by filing baseless lawsuits," OpenAI said.

"They can leave a company like Apple that has struggled to adopt AI and move to an exciting startup that builds innovative products," it continued.

"Apple may not like those choices. But it cannot claim those choices are unlawful."

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 20:05

Russia Accused Of Helping Iran Develop Carrier-Killing Supersonic Cruise Missiles

Russia Accused Of Helping Iran Develop Carrier-Killing Supersonic Cruise Missiles

Yet another major allegation against Russia has emerged this week in the pages of the London-based Financial Times, which says that Moscow has been helping Iran develop supersonic cruise missiles, in a clandestine program that has been ongoing throughout the war with the US and Israel.

Early in the conflict, it was widely reported that advanced and ultra-fast weapons were used against Israel, which might help explain why the small Mediterranean country suffered so much damage.

The FT cited as part of its journalistic investigation internal Russian evidence it has uncovered including correspondence, travel records and military patents.

The secretive program is being described as "one of the most significant known transfers of strategic military technology from Moscow to Tehran."

At the center of the new reporting is Russia’s state arms exporter Rosoboronexport, overseeing a project codenamed "C430L" - and also involving the US-sanctioned NPO Mashinostroyenia, a rocket design company.

Officials from both entities reportedly started frequently traveling to Iran in 2023, with the program having continued into June 2026 - though it's unclear whether the war with the United States has paused or halted it.

The missile reportedly under development would fly at multiple times the speed of sound, and could be an 'aircraft killer'. It should be noted there are entire Reddit threads focused on questions like: Is there any realistic way for a carrier to destroy a super-sonic “carrier killer” cruise missile?

Jim Lamson, a former CIA military analyst focused on Iran, issued a statement to FT explaining, "For the Iranians, this would give them a qualitatively new strategic weapon system that could threaten US Navy vessels."

Another interesting insight is from Fabian Hinz, a senior analyst with Conflict Armament Research. "This is the transfer of a highly strategically sensitive military technology from Russia that the Iranians have wanted to acquire for decades," he told the FT.

"A program like this would require political clearance from the very top in Russia," he added.

There of course remains the looming question of whether this is all propaganda, designed to put even more Western pressure on so-called 'rogue' actors Moscow and Tehran. It could be, but sharing such technology would also be consistent with recent defense and economic pacts the two sides have inked. This part has been no secret. They are also already deeply involved in drone transfers.

Already Russia witnessed a many years-long push to topple the Assad government in Syria, leading to a broad Russian troop withdrawal from the Levant, and certainly the Kremlin doesn't want to see US-imposed regime change in Tehran as well.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 19:40

Dallas Police To Shut Down Hundreds Of Flock Cameras

Dallas Police To Shut Down Hundreds Of Flock Cameras

Authored by Jack Phillips via The Epoch Times,

The police department in Dallas has announced it will shut down hundreds of Flock cameras due to a funding pause, making it another U.S. city to remove the controversial camera system.

Two Flock Safety cameras in a neighborhood in Jessup, Md., on Aug. 26, 2026. Madalina Kilroy/The Epoch Times

The department said in a social media post on Sept. 1 that it received a notice that Texas Gov. Greg Abbott issued a directive ending funding for Flock camera use.

Flock cameras are artificial intelligence (AI)-driven, automated license plate reader systems that capture vehicle details and license plates, with more than 120,000 cameras found throughout the United States. They have drawn online controversy over concerns regarding data privacy, surveillance overreach, and their potential misuse.

"These cameras remain an important investigative tool and are used daily by detectives and officers to develop leads, identify vehicles associated with criminal activity, and assist in solving crimes," the Dallas Police Department said on X.

It added that it will "continue evaluating available resources and technology to ensure our officers and detectives have effective tools to support investigations and enhance public safety."

Dallas Police officials said that 321 Flock cameras supported by grant funding will no longer be eligible, meaning they will be canceled effective Sept. 15. After the move, the department "will continue to have more than 300 Flock cameras operating throughout Dallas," according to its X post.

Last week, Abbott's office ordered all state agencies to pause funding to Flock camera systems, his spokesperson confirmed to the Texas Tribune.

"To the extent that cities get any funding for those cameras, most of it comes from the federal government. To the extent any funding comes from Texas agencies, those agencies are clarifying that those funds cannot be used for Flock cameras," Abbott spokesperson Andrew Mahaleris told the outlet.

Aside from Texas, Florida said on Monday that it would stop allowing Flock cameras on state highways. Meanwhile, two Arizona cities, Tempe and Cave Creek, said days before that they were canceling their Flock contracts.

Will Watts, chief operating officer of the Florida Department of Transportation, sent a memo on Aug. 31 stating that the state agency would revoke approvals for license plate readers, including Flock cameras.

Watts noted there was a "recent exponential increase" in deployments of law enforcement cameras and "concerning reports of misuse, data privacy concerns, and surveillance schemes" associated with those systems, according to the one-page memo.

Regarding the decision in Tempe, a Flock spokesperson told The Epoch Times in a statement last week that the company respects "the City's decision, even though Tempe has acknowledged that Flock helped officers do their jobs and found no improper use by its own police department."

"Flock has built the most accountable tool in police technology, and our technology gives communities control over how their systems are used, including the ability to adopt shorter data retention periods, strong access and auditing policies, and safeguards specifically designed to catch potential misuse," the spokesperson added.

More than 100 jurisdictions have canceled contracts with Flock and other automated license plate reader providers, according to a database from the Institute for Justice, a nonprofit law firm that says it aims to end government abuse of power.

The Epoch Times contacted Flock Safety for further comment but did not receive a response by publication time.

Zachary Stieber contributed to this report.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 19:15

US Mint Starts Selling $1 Trump Coins

US Mint Starts Selling $1 Trump Coins

Authored by Jack Phillips via The Epoch Times,

The U.S. Mint has started selling a $1 coin bearing President Donald Trump's image to commemorate the 250th anniversary of the founding of the United States.

A new $1 coin features President Donald Trump's image. Treasury Department/AP Graphic

The U.S. Mint stated in an X post on Sept. 2 that the Trump coins would be available for purchase starting at 12 p.m. ET on Sept. 2.

"These coins are also in circulation, so check your pocket change. Collect them today," the agency said in an X post.

On one side is an image of Trump with the text, "LIBERTY," "1776-2026," and "IN GOD WE TRUST." The other side has a seal with the writing, "UNITED STATES OF AMERICA," "250," and "E PLURIBUS UNUM," which is Latin for "out of many, one."

The U.S. Mint website initially had a message saying, "due to extraordinarily high traffic, we are using a virtual waiting room" with an estimated waiting time listed. It took an Epoch Times reporter more than 20 minutes to access the website initially, but the waiting time declined to two minutes later in the day.

A 25-coin roll is listed at $61, and a 100-coin bag, "currently unavailable" on Wednesday, costs $154.40.

"Whether you collect modern dollars, commemorative issues, or milestone coinage, the Semi-Quincentennial $1 coin represents an important chapter in United States numismatic history," the Mint's website said. "Own a piece of American history."

The coins are composed of 5 percent zinc, 3.5 percent manganese, 2 percent nickel, and the rest is copper, according to the web page.

Last October, Treasury officials announced plans to include Trump's image on a $1 coin.

The new coin is intended "to honor the enduring legacy of liberty and a lasting symbol of patriotism," wrote Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in a post on X earlier this year. "Featuring President Trump, it celebrates the strength of American values, and the promise of a nation dedicated to preserving freedom for all."

The Treasury Department also announced in March that it would be putting Trump's signature on all new U.S. paper currency.

"Printing his signature on the American currency is not only appropriate, but also well deserved," said U.S. Treasurer Brandon Breach in a statement.

Meanwhile, the Treasury stopped producing pennies for general circulation last November after 230 years of coinage. Officials said that it costs around 4 cents to manufacture a single penny and that stopping production would save taxpayer dollars.

Although new pennies won't be made anymore, the Federal Reserve will continue to recirculate about 114 billion pennies for as long as possible, the Treasury said on its website.

"How long existing pennies remain in circulation depends largely on consumer behavior," the department stated last December.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 18:25

Brazil's Socialist President Sees Lead Evaporating, New Poll Shows

Brazil's Socialist President Sees Lead Evaporating, New Poll Shows

Brazilian socialist President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's lead over right-wing Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro continues to narrow, according to new polling data released early Wednesday. The latest polling extends the trend we highlighted last week, showing that the narrowing margin between the two candidates has transformed October’s presidential election a coin toss.

Lula (Left); Bolsonaro (Right)

According to a Quaest poll commissioned by TV Globo, Lula leads Bolsonaro 42% to 41% in a potential runoff. The one-point gap is within the survey’s two-point margin of error and marks a decline from Lula’s three-point advantage in the previous poll released in mid-August.

A separate BTG Pactual/Nexus poll published at the start of the week also placed Lula ahead by only one point. An AtlasIntel survey conducted for Bloomberg showed the president leading by 4.5 points, although that advantage narrowed slightly from July.

The shrinking gap comes as federal authorities investigate allegations of corruption and influence peddling involving Lula’s son, Fábio Luís Lula da Silva, known as Lulinha. The probe focuses on cannabis programs linked to Brazil’s Health Ministry.

Lulinha has denied wrongdoing. Lula has not been implicated and has said he will not shield his son from investigators, although he believes Lulinha is innocent.

AtlasIntel’s findings show that the corruption probe has inflicted political damage on the socialist president, threatening to turn the election into a coin toss.

Last Friday, Alexandre de Ázara, a managing director and chief economist for Brazil at UBS, told clients that “the gap is closing” in Brazil’s presidential race as Bolsonaro pulls within striking distance of President Lula.

Polymarket odds show that Bolsonaro is closing in on Lula.

A Flávio Bolsonaro win in October would not start a right turn in South America. It would effectively close it.

By mid-2026, South America had already flipped. Argentina (Milei), Chile (Kast), Colombia (de la Espriella), Peru (Keiko Fujimori), Ecuador (Noboa), Bolivia (Paz), and Paraguay (Peña) sit on the right.

The remaining large left-wing governments are Brazil and Uruguay. Brazil accounts for about half of South America’s GDP and population. If Brazil goes right, the region would be entirely aligned with the Trump administration and would be on track to rid itself of nation-killing socialism and other failed progressive experiments.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 18:00

Another ActBlue Official Pleads Fifth In House Probe of Alleged Foreign Donations

Another ActBlue Official Pleads Fifth In House Probe of Alleged Foreign Donations

Authored by AG News Staff via American Greatness,

Another senior figure at Democratic fundraising platform ActBlue invoked the Fifth Amendment during congressional testimony Tuesday as House Republicans investigate allegations of fraudulent and foreign political donations.

Kimberly Peeler-Allen, a member of ActBlue's board of directors, invoked her constitutional right against self-incrimination while appearing before the House Administration, Judiciary and Oversight committees, according to sources familiar with her testimony.

Kimberly Peeler-Allen, pictured second from the left, attending the 35th Annual Celebrating Women® Breakfast at New York Marriott Marquis Hotel on May 11, 2022, in New York City. Peeler-Allen pleaded the Fifth Amendment on Sept. 1, 2026, during a probe into Democratic fundraising platform ActBlue, for which she is a member of the board of directors. (Monica Schipper/Getty Images for The New York Women's Foundation)

Her decision follows similar moves by other ActBlue officials.

ActBlue co-founder Matt DeBergalis invoked the Fifth during a closed-door deposition Aug. 20, while CEO Regina Wallace-Jones asserted the same right during congressional questioning in June.

The House Administration Committee began investigating ActBlue in 2023 following concerns that the fundraising platform's fraud-prevention procedures were inadequate to prevent illegal foreign donations.

Committee Chairman Bryan Steil, R-Wis., has focused in part on ActBlue's previous practice of not requiring donors to provide credit card CVV security codes.

"We have an entity here with ActBlue, that has raised roughly $20 billion since its creation," Steil told Fox News.

"We want to make sure that they have the fraud prevention protocols in place to make sure that foreign funds are not coming into U.S. elections."

Steil acknowledged that witnesses have a constitutional right to invoke the Fifth Amendment but said their refusal to answer questions has frustrated lawmakers seeking information about ActBlue's operations.

The investigation intensified after The New York Times reported in April that ActBlue's attorneys had warned internally that Wallace-Jones may have provided Congress with a misleading description of the organization's procedures for detecting foreign donations.

Wallace-Jones had described ActBlue's screening system as "multilayered." According to the Times, however, the organization's attorneys warned that ActBlue did not always follow the procedures she described, creating what they characterized as "a substantial risk for ActBlue."

Republicans have denied accusations that the investigation is politically motivated, arguing that foreign money entering American elections would present a serious threat regardless of which party benefits.

ActBlue has denied wrongdoing and has previously said it maintains safeguards against fraudulent and foreign contributions.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 17:40

Apple Maps Changes Name Of Lake Ontario To Lake America

Apple Maps Changes Name Of Lake Ontario To Lake America

Update (1700ET): President Trump has voiced his approval of this change as "complete, ratified, and binding"...

As Kimberly Hayek detailed earlier for The Epoch TimesApple has changed the name of Lake Ontario to "Lake America" on the web version of its Apple Maps service, following an executive order from U.S. President Donald Trump that renamed the body of water located on the U.S. - Canada border.

The update appeared Sept. 1 for users in the United States. It came days after Alphabet's Google Maps made a similar switch for U.S. users late Aug. 29.

Interior Secretary Doug Burgum said Aug. 31 that Trump had contacted Apple directly about the change.

"I know that the president reached out to Apple directly," Burgum said on Fox Business. "So I'm sure that we may be seeing that change coming up soon to Lake America."

Apple updated Apple Maps so that people in the United States now see the Great Lake labeled Lake America, after the U.S. Geographic Names Information System recorded the new official name.

Users in Canada still see Lake Ontario. Everyone else sees both names. Apple used the same country-based labeling after the Gulf of Mexico was renamed the Gulf of America.

Trump signed the executive order on Aug. 27, directing the Interior Department to update the U.S. Geographic Names Information System. The move came amid collapsed trade talks with Canada and new tariffs on both sides.

"Canada has been ripping us off for a long time on trade, very sadly," Trump told reporters in the Oval Office after signing the order. "Even the military ... You know, we defend Canada for nothing. We don't get anything."

He added that Canada doesn't "pay for anything" but wants to be treated like a state, though "it's not a state."

The lake, one of the five Great Lakes, sits halfway along the border of New York state and Canada's province of Ontario. Its name dates to the 1640s, long before either nation formed, and inspired the province's name in 1867.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney rejected the renaming the same day Trump signed the order.

The lake's historic name is Lake Ontario and will remain the same "then, now and always," Carney said in a statement. He noted it comes from the Wendat word "Ontari'io," meaning "the lake is beautiful, the lake is big."

"The name is more than 400 years old, predating both the Confederation of Canada and the Declaration of Independence of the United States of America," Carney said. "We know that America is changing. Their trading relationships, their foreign policies, their national monuments, their hydronyms."

Ontario Premier Doug Ford holds a similar view. He unveiled a lakeside sign in Winona, Ontario, reading "Lake Ontario, Now and Always" in English and French.

"President Trump can call it whatever he wants, but I can tell you, the rest of the world will always call it Lake Ontario," Ford told reporters.

New York Gov. Kathy Hochul also declined to adopt the new name on state maps.

"New York won't be calling it that," she posted on X.

Google explained its update in a weekend statement, saying it follows official government sources such as the Geographic Names Information System. U.S. users now see "Lake America." Canadian users continue to see "Lake Ontario." Users elsewhere see both, it also explained.

Apple did not immediately respond to requests for comment when the request was first reported. The company previously updated Apple Maps for the Gulf of America after Trump's 2025 order renaming the Gulf of Mexico.

MapQuest, a free online mapping service owned by California-based System1, an AI-powered customer-acquisition company, has refused the change. "We're not changing it," the company posted to X. It surged to the top download on the U.S. Apple App Store charts upon its announcement.

Some Ontario government websites briefly displayed "Lake America" after Google's update because they pulled map data from the service. Hydro One, Metrolinx, Infrastructure Ontario, and the Liquor Control Board of Ontario sites showed the new label.

Officials corrected them quickly. Ontario minister of public and business service delivery and procurement Stephen Crawford said the province was reviewing all sites "to make sure they all identify Lake Ontario by its correct name: Lake Ontario."

The trade talks between the countries collapsed on Aug. 21. The United States imposed 50 percent tariffs on nearly $20 billion of Canadian goods. Canada announced matching retaliatory tariffs set to take effect Sept. 8. Trump also announced plans for 50 percent tariffs on Canadian vehicles and auto parts beginning in 2027.

Burgum ordered the Interior Department to implement the name change for the lake on Aug. 27 and posted, "Make the Great Lakes Great Again!"

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 17:00

Pennsylvania Data Center Project Offers Residents $10,000 "Benefits Package" For Community Rebuilding

Pennsylvania Data Center Project Offers Residents $10,000 "Benefits Package" For Community Rebuilding

With half of all proposed data centers unlikely to materialize amid mounting local resistance, potentially amplified in some cases by foreign influence operations, and intensifying power-grid constraints, developers are adopting more creative strategies to secure community support.

In Pennsylvania, one proposed data center campus is offering $10,000 payments to residents, alongside broader investments to rebuild local communities, strengthen public services, and reduce household costs.

Local outlet PennLive recently reported that NorthPoint Development is offering $10,000 to every eligible Hazle Township household to help revive the 1,300-acre data center project, which was rejected last November.

The $10,000 grants are part of a $165 million offer made by NorthPoint Development to establish a township police department, lower garbage-collection bills, fund community programs, and pay residents directly, the local outlet reported.

Residents would receive the money after the first data center building secures an occupancy certificate, potentially by late 2027.

"The $165 million community-benefits commitment represents an unprecedented level of direct financial investment in a Pennsylvania municipality," Missouri-based NorthPoint said in a recent press release.

Our latest note on the data center revolt from earlier this year showed that nearly half of the nation's planned 16 gigawatts of capacity is at risk of cancellation or delay, while only 5 gigawatts are currently under construction. This comes amid surging negative sentiment toward these facilities.

The latest Economist/YouGov poll finds that nearly half of all Americans think data centers are bad for communities...

... prompting developers to adopt community-benefits packages to appease nearby residents:

The gold standard for data centers moving forward will most certainly be direct payments to residents and investments in rebuilding communities.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 16:40

Market Valuation: Expensive CAPE Or Cheap PEG?

Market Valuation: Expensive CAPE Or Cheap PEG?

Authored by Michael Lebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,

The S&P 500’s Shiller CAPE ratio just hit 41. Since 1881, the market valuation has been more expensive under CAPE only once. That was during the final months of the dot-com bubble. At the same time the CAPE is ringing warning bells, the PEG ratio, which measures price relative to expected earnings growth, is at its lowest level in at least three decades, possibly its cheapest reading ever.

One market valuation says run for cover while another says bargain. Both market valuation tools use data from the same 500 S&P companies but interpret the market completely differently.

Confusing, yes, but the disagreement between the two charts comes down to one question: Is the past a better predictor of the future than the wisdom of Wall Street?

To answer our question, we’ll first summarize what each ratio measures, then dig into expected growth versus historical growth, the culprit behind the big difference in the two graphs.  

CAPE Isn’t Perfect

The P/E ratio is one of the most quoted market valuation gauges for stocks and stock indexes. While valuable, it rests on one bold and often wrong assumption: future earnings will match past earnings. In other words, it doesn’t capture how earnings may change.

For the CAPE valuation, the assumption is similar, but instead of using the most recent one year of earnings to assess value, it uses ten years of earnings. This better smooths earnings, reducing the impact of short periods of economic volatility.  But it has the same vulnerability, assuming the future will be just like the past.

P/E tends to be most useful for comparing companies with similar earnings growth, but it is less useful when analyzing high-growth companies or those with the potential to change their growth trajectory.

Despite its flaws, the CAPE valuation strongly correlates with future market returns, as shown in the graph below comparing CAPE valuations and forward ten-year S&P 500 returns. While the CAPE provides a good indicator of expected returns over the full next ten years, it doesn’t provide a roadmap for the monthly and annual returns that make up the period.

The PEG Ratio

The PEG ratio builds on the P/E ratio framework but uses future earnings growth estimates instead of prior realized earnings. Because it uses estimates, it can change rapidly.  

The PEG ratio calculation is the forward P/E divided by the expected 3–5-year earnings growth.

To better appreciate today’s PEG ratio, we break down the numerator, forward P/E, and the denominator, G (3-5-year growth estimates).

Forward P/E

The numerator in the PEG ratio is the forward P/E. Instead of using the trailing twelve months of earnings as in the traditional P/E ratio, the forward P/E uses earnings estimates for the coming twelve months. Thus, its value depends heavily on how well Wall Street can predict earnings for the coming 12 months.  

We can analyze the effectiveness of one-year earnings forecasts in a couple of different ways.

First, we can compare the trailing 12-month P/E to the forward P/E and imply expected earnings for the next year. We can then compare the implied earnings with actual earnings. Using this method, the top two charts below show that Wall Street almost always overestimates earnings and by a wide margin at times.

The second way to grade Wall Street’s forecasting ability is to compare final one-year forecasts with those made at the start of the period. The graph below reinforces the graphs above: Wall Street tends to overestimate earnings.  EPS estimates were reduced in nine of the ten years spanning 2016 through 2025.  However, the trend has changed with 2026 and 2027 estimates trending higher than original forecasts.

G: 3- 5 Year Expected Earnings Growth

Forecasting earnings for just 12 months forward is extremely difficult for Wall Street professionals. Accordingly, forecasting three- to five-years of earnings growth (G in the PEG ratio) is much trickier and more error-prone.

(Note: for this article, we use four-year expected earnings growth to balance out the three-to-five-year range of estimates.)

To assess the effectiveness of longer term forecasts, we can use historical PEG and forward P/E ratios to back out an implied four-year growth rate. As we did with one-year estimates, we then compare that to the actual four-year growth that ensued.

The graph below shows there is very little correlation between four-year earnings growth estimates and actual growth. As we saw with one-year estimates, the market overestimated earnings far more often than it underestimated them.

Deciphering Today’s PEG Ratio

The graph below shows the market PEG valuation and its two components- forward P/E and 3-5 year earnings estimates.

The middle graph shows the forward P/E (the numerator) is stretched, indicating a relatively expensive valuation. Despite the forward P/E, the PEG ratio in the top graph is cheap because the longer-term earnings growth estimate shown in the bottom graph is at its highest level since at least 1995. The takeaway is that the PEG ratio is cheap entirely because of strong earnings-growth forecasts.

The G Is Concentrated

The hardest part of analyzing the “G” in the PEG ratio is the abnormal divergence in recent earnings trends and earnings expectations between a few large tech companies and the large majority of other S&P 500 companies.

Second-quarter earnings results exemplify this problem. In a mid-July summary of the quarter, with roughly a third of the stocks in the index still to report, FactSet reported the Magnificent 7 was growing earnings 31.1% year over year versus a blended rate near 25% for the index. Only a few weeks later, on August 7, the quarter’s growth rate more than doubled to 50.4%.

Most of that acceleration traced back to two companies. Alphabet and Amazon, both large earnings contributors, reported significant non-operating gains. Alphabet reported a $98 billion mark-up in its equity portfolio primarily due to SpaceX, and Amazon added a $53 billion gain largely from Anthropic. Strip out those gains, and FactSet’s blended growth rate for the S&P 500 falls from 50.4% to 32.0%. Two companies, out of five hundred, are worth eighteen full percentage points of index earnings growth.

This leads to a big question. Can ten or so large-cap technology companies carry earnings growth for a 500-company index? Hyperscalers are on pace to spend roughly $700 billion on AI infrastructure in 2026 and are projected to top $1 trillion in 2027. That spending shows up today as reported capex and, eventually, as revenue for a small number of companies selling the chips, the cloud capacity, and the construction and power systems supporting it. It does not contribute much to the earnings growth for the other companies in the index.

Is The Market Rich Or Cheap?

Think of this market valuation conundrum between PEG and CAPE like your favorite sports team that’s been mediocre for a decade. Ten years of results argue that your expectations for next season should be minimal.  But during the offseason, the team signed a few all-stars, and a reasonable fan would bump up their expectations regardless of the last ten years.

The historical losing record is real, and so is the upgraded roster. The substantial growth estimates are making a big bet that the new players will significantly help the team. The question investors need to ask is whether they will help generate more wins than the market expects.

So, how should investors think about today’s stock market valuations? The answer likely sits between rich and cheap. If earnings keep growing rapidly alongside AI spending, the market, in aggregate, may be fairly priced despite CAPE’s warning. But a recession, or a slowdown in planned AI spending, is a real risk to that outcome.

That said, while the optimism embedded in the PEG ratio carries downside risks, we must also consider that AI’s productivity gains will eventually spread to other S&P 500 companies. The open questions are when, how much, and most importantly for pricing today’s market, how that eventual payoff compares to what’s already priced in.

Summary

CAPE uses historical realized data to value stocks.  You can debate whether the past decade is a fair guide for valuing stocks, but you can’t debate whether the earnings in CAPE’s denominator are real; they are.

PEG asks you to rely on one-year and three-to-five-year earnings estimates.  This leaves the obvious question of how much current forecasts deserve to be trusted. The historical answer, as we showed, is not very much.

Nine of the last ten annual EPS estimates were revised lower before they were finished. Thirty years’ worth of four-year growth estimates show no statistical relationship to the growth that followed.

However, today’s outlook is trickier than in the past, as the expected growth making today’s PEG ratio look so cheap is disproportionately concentrated in a small handful of companies. That earnings growth concentration hinges on AI, a powerful innovation that could be an economic game changer.

PEG says market valuations are cheap while CAPE says they are expensive. CAPE is a report card on what already happened. PEG is a bet on what happens next. Keep that distinction in mind, and the two market valuation charts stop contradicting each other.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 15:05

'Operation Rotten Apple': Nearly 2,200 Illegal Immigrants Arrested In New York

'Operation Rotten Apple': Nearly 2,200 Illegal Immigrants Arrested In New York

Authored by Jill McLaughlin via The Epoch Times,

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) arrested nearly 2,200 illegal immigrants during an enforcement sweep in New York dubbed "Operation Rotten Apple," officials announced Sept. 1.

Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers participated in the operation from from July 27 to Aug. 29, arresting 2,197 illegal aliens across the state, including murderers, rapists, pedophiles, drug traffickers, and violent assailants, according to DHS.

"Thanks to the hard work of the men and women of ICE and our federal partners, Operation Rotten Apple did what sanctuary politicians in New York City and the state of New York refuse to do: made the Empire State safer," said Secretary Markwayne Mullin said in a statement.

New York Field Office Director Kenneth Genalo said federal immigration officers were harassed, threatened, targeted, and terrorized during the operation by local residents and community members.

The state's sanctuary policies allow criminals to be released back into the community instead of being handed over to federal immigration agencies, Genalo said during a press conference on Sept. 1. This forces federal immigration officers to locate the immigrants in their neighborhoods, at work, or in public spaces, he said.

"Local and state politicians continue to stand at podiums like this one and mislead the public about what these policies do," Genalo said. "And when elected officials excuse, minimize, or even celebrate the behavior, as they did in this case, they place a target on the back of the officers doing their jobs. ICE officers will not be intimidated by political rhetoric, sanctuary policies or street-level threats. Public safety is not optional. It is our duty."

New York's sanctuary policies have resulted in the release of 13,621 criminal illegal immigrants back onto the streets of New York, according to DHS.

Gov. Kathy Hochul rejected the accusations made by federal officials.

"New York works with federal law enforcement every day to take dangerous criminals off the streets," Hochul posted on X. "So spare us the theatrics."

Hochul also accused the federal government of not fully funding law enforcement in the state.

The illegal immigrants arrested included Bogdan Detrovich Gren from Ukraine. Gren was convicted of kidnapping, abduction resulting in death, criminal possession of a weapon, and murder.

Columbia national Andreas Bernal Chiquito was also arrested. His criminal history includes arrests for sexual conduct against a child and injury to a child less than 17.

Noel Celestino Lopez Martinez, an illegal alien from Mexico, was arrested. Martinez's history includes an arrest for first-degree rape and forcible compulsion.

Palvinder Singh, an illegal immigrant from India, was arrested during the operation as well. His criminal past includes a rape conviction in Germany.

Carlos Mendez-Acosta, an illegal alien from Venezuela, was arrested. His has been convicted of rape in the past.

Also arrested was Chhun Kim Pril, a Cambodia national who has a past conviction for drug trafficking.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 12:20

Dersh V Dave: Lawyer And Libertarian To Face Off Tonight On Iran War

Dersh V Dave: Lawyer And Libertarian To Face Off Tonight On Iran War

LIVE NOW: 

*****************************

Tonight at 7pm ET, two prominent voices on opposite ends of the Iran debate will face off as constitutional lawyer and professor Alan Dershowitz debates  the world’s most famous libertarian, Dave Smith, over the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran.

Just days ago was the six month-mark for the conflict that has become considerably larger than the initial strikes on Iran's nuclear program in June of last year during “Midnight Hammer”.

After Israel and the United States launched their offensive in February, with major reporting (including in Israel) suggesting that it was Israel who killed Iran's Supreme Leader, the conflict has expanded into a prolonged war that has severely disrupted shipping out of the Strait of Hormuz for now over half a year. While actual bombing intensity has fluctuated as several peace attempts lapsed, it has picked up in recent days.

Dershowitz: "Bomb Iran"

Dershowitz had been making the case for military action against Iran’s nuclear facilities well before the current war began.

He argued on his podcast “Dershow” in April 2025 (before Midnight Hammer) that bombing Iran’s nuclear facilities was "absolutely essential to saving lives and to promoting peace in the Middle East and around the world."

Dershowitz argued that allowing Iran to acquire nuclear weapons would trigger a regional arms race and that Israel could not safely rely on deterrence. While he preferred a negotiated agreement, he ultimately concluded that military action was the only realistic alternative if Iran would not accept a deal permanently eliminating its nuclear capabilities.

"Bomb, bomb Iran. Not the people of Iran, not the people of Tehran, just the military targets, just the areas where they're developing nuclear weapons."

Months later, that debate is no longer hypothetical, so we look forward to hearing from Dershowitz specifically what Trump should do now?

Dave Smith And Anti-war Crowd Break With Trump

Smith backed Trump in 2024, in significant part because he believed Trump represented a better alternative to the interventionist foreign policy establishment (exemplified by Liz Cheney campaigning with Kamala Harris). But the Iran war fractured the coalition of anti-war voters who supported Trump.

By March, Smith was publicly arguing alongside Joe Rogan and Tucker Carlson that Trump had betrayed his base by taking the country into another Middle Eastern war.

For Smith, Iran was the final break. For Dershowitz, it was not only justified but something he had explicitly advocated before the first bombs fell.

Tonight at 7pm ET, they'll debate whether the war was necessary, what it has accomplished, and where President Trump should go from here. Watch live on the ZeroHedge homepage, X feed, and YouTube channel.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 12:00

House To Vote On Locking Supreme Court At 9 Justices As Democrats Float Expanding It

House To Vote On Locking Supreme Court At 9 Justices As Democrats Float Expanding It

Authored by Chase Smith via The Epoch Times,

The House is expected to vote this week on a proposed constitutional amendment that would fix the size of the Supreme Court at nine justices. The number of justices is currently set by statute, which Congress can change by simple majority. If ratified, the amendment would place the figure in the Constitution, where changing it would require another amendment.

The measure, H.J. Res. 1, was introduced by Rep. Andy Biggs (R-Ariz.) and consists of a single sentence: "The Supreme Court of the United States shall be composed of nine justices consisting of one chief justice and eight associate justices."

Under Article V of the Constitution, a proposed amendment must pass both the House and the Senate by a two-thirds vote before going to the states. The resolution gives states seven years from the date of submission to ratify it, and ratification requires the legislatures of three-fourths of the states - 38 of 50.

Some Democrats have been pressing for a larger court. Rep. Al Green (D-Texas) introduced legislation on May 4 to increase the court from nine justices to 13, and other prominent Democrats such as former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-S.C.) have all recently floated a larger court.

Green's bill has no cosponsors and has not moved out of the Judiciary Committee. Earlier versions of the Judiciary Act, sponsored by Rep. Hank Johnson (D-Ga.) in 2021 and 2023, also proposed a 13-justice court and did not receive a committee vote. The committee report on H.J. Res. 1 cites those bills as the reason for acting, saying a recent set of expansion proposals makes it necessary to fix the number in the Constitution.

House Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R-La.) listed the resolution among the week's floor items in his weekly schedule preview, alongside a separate resolution from Rep. Jeff Crank (R-Colo.) condemning socialism and the Democratic Socialists of America.

"Radical left Democrats and the [Democratic Socialists of America] want to politicize and restructure the Supreme Court, effectively destroying the constitutional safeguards our Founders put in place," Scalise's office wrote in the preview. "For years, Democrats have called for packing the Supreme Court with more left-wing judges and now the [Democratic Socialists of America] is going even further by calling to abolish the Supreme Court and replace it with a judicial system subordinate to Congress."

Biggs said in a June statement after the resolution cleared committee that the court had become a target.

"Our nation's founders built a system of checks and balances to protect citizens from concentrated power - a central part being the U.S. Supreme Court, whose duty is to defend the rights and freedoms of every American, not to serve as a political tool for any party," Biggs said. "The judiciary was designed to be the quiet guardian of liberty, insulated from the passions of the moment. Unfortunately, special interests have been increasing their attacks on the Court, threatening to pack this iconic American institution to ensure favorable outcomes for their causes."

House Democratic Caucus Chair Pete Aguilar (D-Calif.) told reporters on Tuesday that he would vote against the resolution and characterized it as a message vote timed to the midterm elections.

"This is such a fake issue that Republicans are putting on," Aguilar said. "The American public aren't asking about this. I went around the country, the vice chair did a bunch of travel, I did a bunch of travel. Nowhere, ever, are people saying, 'You know what we should do? We should cap the number of Supreme Court justices.'"

Aguilar said he expected the resolution to reach the floor on Wednesday and that he would oppose it.

"I understand that Republicans are gonna try to put up votes - socialism vote, Supreme Court justices," he said. "These are all just kind of show votes. Assuming that this passes a rule, I'll vote no, because this is just a complete show vote."

Asked whether Democrats who have called for adding seats put the party at odds with its own leadership, Aguilar said expansion is not what the caucus is pushing.

"The argument among folks in our party is we want to reform the court, but we've said very clearly that that should be a code of ethics that they actually follow," he said. "There needs to be real reform within the government side of what we do, and that's every branch of government. Democrats have been loud and clear about that, and we continue to advocate for that, and we will when we're in the majority."

Aguilar's framing tracks what House Democratic leaders said in May, when Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) and Caucus Vice Chair Ted Lieu (D-Calif.) each said judicial reform would be a priority if Democrats win the majority in November. Lieu said at the time that a Democratic majority would "usher in massive Supreme Court reform," and Jeffries listed "massive judicial reform" alongside electoral and campaign finance reform. Neither specified what changes they would seek.

Judiciary Committee Debate and History

The House Judiciary Committee approved the resolution on June 3 by a vote of 15-8. No Democrat on the committee voted to report the resolution to the floor.

In dissenting views filed with the committee report, Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.), the committee's ranking Democrat, criticized the vote as being about giving up congressional power rather than the number of justices.

"The question H.J. Res. 1 presents is not really about whether nine should suddenly become a magic number of justices for the Supreme Court," Raskin wrote. "It's about whether this Republican-controlled Congress - which has already surrendered congressional war powers, congressional taxing and tariff powers, and congressional spending powers to a president desiring to be a king - should now permanently relinquish another constitutional power that the Framers gave to us in Article I."

Raskin also accused the Supreme Court of being "profoundly partisan and lopsided" and wrote that the measure is meant to freeze the current court in place, pointing to the handling of two vacancies during President Barack Obama's and President Donald Trump's first terms.

He said that the amendment has no realistic path to becoming part of the Constitution.

Congress has changed the court's size several times, according to a Congressional Research Service report cited by the Judiciary Committee.

The Judiciary Act of 1789 created a six-member court. Congress voted in 1801 to reduce it to five, but that change never took effect - the law applied only once a seat came open, and Congress repealed it before any vacancy occurred.

Several statutes over the following decades changed the number again, reaching 10 justices during the Civil War, the largest the court has ever been. Congress cut the number to seven in 1866, again through attrition rather than removing sitting justices, then set it at nine in 1869. That was the last time Congress changed the court's size.

The report, "'Court Packing': Legislative Control over the Size of the Supreme Court," says scholars disagree about why Congress made those changes, with some pointing to practical needs such as caseload and others arguing they were driven by political considerations.

The committee report says that during the period when the court's size moved with the number of circuits, justices were also responsible for hearing cases in the lower federal courts, and that once that practice ended, there was no longer a reason to change the court's size as new lower courts were created.

Tyler Durden Wed, 09/02/2026 - 11:40

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