Zero Hedge

Gold Signals War - Martin Armstrong Warns Of "Panic Cycle In 2026"

Gold Signals War - Martin Armstrong Warns Of "Panic Cycle In 2026"

Via Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com,

Less than two weeks ago, legendary financial and geopolitical cycle analyst Martin Armstrong warned his “Socrates” predictive computer program showed a “100% Chance of Nuclear War.”  

Since then, a war of words has flared up between President Trump and Russia, and he said Russia “has entered very dangerous territory.”  President Trump then, “Orders US nuclear subs repositioned over statements from ex-Russian leader Medvedev.”  “After Trump sends nuclear subs near Russia, Putin responds with hypersonic threat — what Oreshnik missiles can do.”  If this is not enough to confirm some sort of nuclear exchange is coming soon, add what Secretary of State Marco Rubio just warned this past week.  Rubio said, “In case of war with the US, Russia will rely on tactical nuclear weapons due to the weakness of its army.”  A top Russian official also “Issues nuclear annihilation warning” and said Russia would “hit back with a devastating blow.”  Keep in mind, all this happened in the last few days.  On Friday, “gold signaled war” by exploding up $73 an ounce, up more than 2% in a matter of hours.  Is the gold market seeing this nuke war talk and responding? 

Armstrong says,Oh, yeah!   You look at gold, and you see what is happening..."

"Oil is pointing more towards September. . . . Gold keeps trying to get through the highs.  This is not the major high.  Hate to tell you, it’s not.   Gold is showing, Up. 

Every market I look at, it’s the same thing. 

We have a panic cycle, and it’s not just for war in 2026. 

Go to our site and look at the euro, and there is a panic cycle for 2026.  It’s everywhere. 

Why the computer has been correct is you cannot forecast any market in isolation.  You can’t.  It’s all connected.

Armstrong says you won’t have to wait until 2026 for his “Panic Cycle” to begin. 

His computer has long pointed to August 18, 2025, and that is about two short weeks away.  Armstrong says,

“Honestly, this is turning into a grade school fight.  I don’t know what Trump expects.  He’s hurling insult after insult, and there is no possibility of peace anymore.  

It’s one thing to do tariffs and sanctions against Russia.  Now, he is saying we are going to put sanctions on anybody that even deals with Russia. 

This is economic war.  It’s as simple as that. . .. We don’t even have anyone to negotiate on behalf of the West.  It’s dead, completely dead.”

Armstrong thinks neocons have built a wall around President Trump so nobody with different advice regarding NOT starting a nuke war can get through. 

Is Martin Armstrong being blocked by the neocons surrounding President Trump now?  Armstrong says, “I believe so..."

"  I even wrote to AG Pam Bondi, and I did not get a response.  I have written to presidents and heads of state, and I get responses.  Not this time. . .. This is escalating, and he (Trump) is not in a good position.  I don’t know what the hell he is doing.  He seems to have crossed to the other side.”

There is much more in the 48-minute interview.

Join Greg Hunter of USAWatchdog.com as he goes One-on-One with Martin Armstrong, who is still giving a red alert for a very destructive nuclear war coming soon for 8.2.25.

To Donate to USAWatchdog.com, click here

There is free information, analysis and articles on ArmstrongEconomics.com.

Views expressed in this article are opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of ZeroHedge.

Tyler Durden Mon, 08/04/2025 - 07:45

Tesla Board Approves 96 Million Share Stock Award To "Retain" Elon Musk 

Tesla Board Approves 96 Million Share Stock Award To "Retain" Elon Musk 

Tesla's Board approved a special interim equity award for Elon Musk to compensate and retain him for "extraordinary work". 

"As you know, Elon has not received meaningful compensation for eight years since the 2012 CEO Performance Award was last earned in 2017," Robyn Denholm & Kathleen Wilson-Thompson, Members of the Special Committee of the Board of Directors, wrote in a letter to shareholders on Monday morning. 

The Board continued, "Despite overwhelming support from you in 2018 and again in 2024, our legal efforts continue in the Delaware courts to reinstate the 2018 CEO Performance Award." 

The equity award of restricted stock, totaling 96 million shares, is equal to about one-third of the compensation he earned under the 2018 CEO Performance Award. 

The award provides the following conditions:

  • 96 million restricted shares of stock, subject to Elon paying a purchase price upon meeting a two-year vesting term, to be delivered after receipt of antitrust regulatory approval;

  • The purchase price will be equal to the split adjusted exercise price of the stock options awarded to Elon under the 2018 CEO Performance Award ($23.34 per share);

  • A requirement that Elon serve continuously in a senior leadership role at Tesla during the two-year vesting term; • A pledging allowance to cover tax payments or the purchase price;

  • A mandatory holding period of five years from the grant date, except to cover tax payments or the purchase price (with any sales for such purposes to be conducted through an orderly disposition in coordination with Tesla); and

  • If the Delaware courts fully reinstate the 2018 CEO Performance Award, this interim award will be forfeited or returned or a portion of the 2018 CEO Performance Award will be forfeited. To put it simply, there cannot be any "double dip." Elon will not be able to keep this new award in addition to the options he will be awarded under the 2018 CEO Performance Award should the courts rule in our favor.

Tesla is at a critical inflection point with slumping sales and Musk pivoting the company to focus on robotaxis, cheaper EV platforms, humanoid robots, and AI. 

"While we recognize that Elon's business ventures, interests and other potential demands on his time and attention are extensive and wide-ranging, including his leadership roles at xAI, SpaceX, Neuralink, X Corp., and The Boring Company as well as his other interests, we are confident that this award will incentivize Elon to remain at Tesla and focus his unmatched leadership abilities on further creating shareholder value for Tesla shareholders and attracting and retaining talent at Tesla," the Board said. 

.  .  . 

Tyler Durden Mon, 08/04/2025 - 07:20

UPenn Student Paper: School Caving To Trump Admin Over Men In Women's Sports Is "Fascism"

UPenn Student Paper: School Caving To Trump Admin Over Men In Women's Sports Is "Fascism"

By Dave Huber of The College Fix

The University of Pennsylvania student paper is very upset the school agreed to Trump administration demands regarding men’s participation in women’s sports — so much so it says UPenn is “descending into fascism” (its headline).

The Daily Pennsylvanian Summer Opinion Editor Ingrid Holmquist and her summer-session cohorts say their editorial is not about the UPenn (women’s) swim team (and surrounding Lia Thomas controversy) nor “NCAA guidelines” or “biological sex characteristics.”

Except that … it really is.

“In allowing the federal government to make a decision that belongs to our community, Penn has violated our trust in a way that may be impossible to restore,” the editors write. “Our administration could have said no, fighting in court to keep the government out of our athletic policies.”

Furthermore, UPenn made a deal with an administration that has “proven hostile to human rights,” and this agreement “affirmed the belief” for the university that Trump’s actions were “logical [and] legal.”

“Throughout history, authoritarian regimes have begun their crackdowns with an attack on universities — beacons of dissent and social progress,” the editors continue. “We can’t ignore the warning signs. Penn’s actions are exactly what it looks like to give in to extortion disguised as governance.”

Hostile to human rights? The Ivy Leaguers’ proof: a link to the notoriously centrist (ha ha) Amnesty International which claims Trump is “targeting immigrants,” “attacking freedom of expression and the right to protest,” and “marginalizing Black and other racialized communities.”

Logical? Remember when the geniuses in the academy and media lectured us about believing in science? Apparently there’s nothing logical or scientific about not wanting men to compete against women in sports.

Legal? Wait, it’s illegal to keep federal monies from entities which do not want to comply with federal desires? Ask states that had drinking ages under 21 how that worked out for them.

Authoritarian/fascist regimes? Yes, let’s buy into these budding journalists’ definition of “fascism”; meanwhile, Editor Holmquist (pictured) doesn’t believe downtown Philadelphia is a dangerous place and chides her peers for thinking otherwise (certain demographics, you see).

UPenn’s agreement with the Trump administration got it back $175 million. You know what the school’s endowment is worth? Over $22 billion. This means UPenn saved a whopping 0.8 percent of its endowment by conceding to Trump.

If it really needs to be pointed out, UPenn can give a middle finger to President Trump by forgoing all federal monies. This is precisely what Hillsdale College does to “maintain its institutional independence.”

Twenty-two billion is a helluva lot of money, UPenn. Just throw back that $175 mill (and more), and you’ll be free to not only let Lia Thomas and other men compete against women, but from the shackles of … FASCISM!

Tyler Durden Mon, 08/04/2025 - 06:55

Most Americans Won't Get COVID-19 Booster This Fall, Survey Says

Most Americans Won't Get COVID-19 Booster This Fall, Survey Says

Authored by Jack Phillips via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

A majority of Americans said they will likely not receive a COVID-19 booster vaccine this fall, according to a poll released Friday.

A woman receives a COVID-19 vaccine in Los Angeles, Calif., on March 25, 2021. Lucy Nicholson/Reuters

A survey from the health care organization KFF found that 59 percent of respondents said they either will not or likely will not receive the booster dose. Around 37 percent said they would “definitely not” receive the shot, while 23 percent said they would “probably not get” the shot.

According to the poll, 21 percent said they will “definitely” receive the booster, and 19 percent said they will “probably get” one.

The survey, meanwhile, indicated that 36 percent of Americans over the age of 65 said they “definitely” will get the updated COVID-19 vaccine when it becomes available. Around the same number of Democrats overall also said they would do so, according to the pollsters.

This comes as the U.S. Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has changed the COVID-19 vaccine policy since the Trump administration took over earlier this year. Last month, the HHS dismissed all 17 members of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) vaccine advisory panel, ordered the removal of mercury from influenza vaccines, and ended the CDC’s COVID-19 vaccine recommendations for pregnant women and healthy children.

The KFF survey found that most Americans say they are confused about the changes to U.S. vaccine policy that have been made in the last six months or so.

It also found that 33 percent of all adults surveyed are “very” or “somewhat” worried about whether COVID-19 vaccines will be available to them this fall. But most adults, or 67 percent, told KFF they are “not too” or “not at all” worried about that prospect, it found.

On Thursday, the CDC released data showing that vaccination rates for several diseases, including measles, diphtheria, and polio, decreased among U.S. kindergartners in the 2024–2025 school year from the previous year.

For the measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccine, coverage went from 95.2 percent in the 2019–2020 school year to 92.7 percent last year, before landing at 92.5 percent in 2024–2025. In Texas, the epicenter of the recent outbreak, MMR coverage has fallen to 93.2 percent from 96.9 percent in 2019.

The figures brought forth by the CDC did not include data for COVID-19 vaccines, but only included vaccines that are typically given during childhood.

In addition, exemptions from one or more vaccines increased to 3.6 percent in 2024–2025 from 3.3 percent the year before, the CDC website said. Exemptions, which can be granted on medical or religious grounds, increased in 36 states and the District of Columbia, with 17 states reporting exemptions exceeding 5 percent, it said.

And in a recent report, the CDC said that activity for COVID-19 was low nationwide. Respiratory illness activity, including RSV and influenza, was also described as “very low“ by the agency. ”Very high“ levels of the virus were being reported in Texas, Hawaii, and Alaska, while ”high” levels are occurring in California, Louisiana, Alabama, Florida, and Kentucky, according to a map provided by the agency for the week ending July 26.

Reuters contributed to this report.

Tyler Durden Mon, 08/04/2025 - 05:45

Go Ahead And Rage At Boomers, But The Problem Is The Entire Economic Order

Go Ahead And Rage At Boomers, But The Problem Is The Entire Economic Order

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog,

The entire economic order is bankrupt--ideologically, politically and financially.

A friend sent me a clip of Tucker Carlson going off on the Boomer generation, and I get it. Tucker's takedown was epic and entertaining (at least for me), but his disgust and rage were real. So let's dig into the sources of those emotions.

If you watch the clip, it's apparent that what really disgusts Tucker is the sanctimoniousness of the Boomers he references, the glibness of their virtue-signaling and claims to righteousness and significance. This extends to the financial level, where the sanctimony is expressed as a high-minded confidence that "we earned it," overlooking the trillions of dollars handed to them on a Federal Reserve / bubble-economy / entitlements platter.

I think we all get that, but the problem isn't the Boomers, it's the entire economic order. The Boomers were just the hitchhiker who were lucky enough to be picked up by the big-finned Cadillac on the way into Vegas.

Even if everyone were absolute saints, they'd still own most of the wealth. Here's why.

When Social Security was enacted in the 1930s, the retirement age was 65 and the average lifespan of Americans was 62. In other words, the program was intentionally designed to be self-funded (paid by a very modest tax on wages paid by both employer and employee) and act as a safety net for the fortunate few who lived long enough to collect it but who weren't lucky enough to be wealthy.

As the economy boomed in the postwar era, the age of retirement (at a lower percentage of full benefits) was lowered to 62 as the average lifespan increased to 70 by 1965, when Medicare and Medicaid were enacted. At their inception, these programs were mere fractions of federal spending, and appeared to be "good things" that were affordable.

The Boomers weren't born in the 1930s, and in 1965 they were kids. These entitlements were initiated in response to the grim reality that old age for the non-wealthy was generally a ticket to poverty.

Fast-forward to today, and the average lifespan is 80 (with millions of elderly living a decade longer) and 3/4 of adult Americans are at risk of lifestyle diseases / metabolic disorders due to an unhealthy diet and poor fitness. Over half of Americans are diabetic or prediabetic.

The entitlement programs to aid the elderly that were modest decades ago are now almost 50% of the entire federal budget, dwarfing all other spending. Entitlements aiding young families are so modest they aren't even a blip compared to the soaring budgets of Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid. (Disability entitlements were added to Social Security, greatly expanding the program's costs.)

The budgets of these entitlement programs are on unsustainable parabolic trajectories. Medicare:

And Medicaid: healthcare has soared from 5% of GDP to almost 20%. "Unlimited free money" tends to do that...

Now we come to the main course, neoliberal economic magic. The basic idea of neoliberal economics is if we just free market forces, that will permanently generate growth and wealth. The net result was an orgy of financialization that benefited the few, not the many, and so policy makers turned to inflating asset bubbles as the "cost-free" way to boost growth and wealth.

By lowering interest rates and flooding the economy with low-cost credit--monetary stimulus--assets will skyrocket, generating a wealth effect that loosens the purse strings of the asset owners as they see their wealth rise without them having to create any value whatsoever. Just sit back and watch your house and stock portfolio generate thousands of dollars of "free money."

The other neoliberal theory was "trickle-down economics": as the upper-middle class and wealthy spent freely, some of their immense gains in income and wealth would trickle down to the bottom 90%.

But since the vast majority of the economy's gains were flowing to capital/assets rather than wages, this didn't happen. What happened instead is the already-rich who owned most of the assets got richer while those depending on wages got poorer.

Add these forces together and what you get is extreme generational wealth inequality. Those who bought houses in the 1970s, 80s and 90s have profited immensely from housing bubbles #1 and #2 (the current bubble), and from stock bubbles #1 (dot-com), #2 (2007-08) and now #3 (The Everything Bubble).

The entire economic order is bankrupt--ideologically, politically and financially. If nothing changes at the fundamental level, the rich will continue to get richer at the expense of those priced out of the bubblicious assets, and the older generations will continue to accrue unearned wealth while younger wage earners are reduced to debt-serfdom and wage slavery.

It doesn't have to be this way, but we're going to have to change our values and the fundamental structures of our economy if we want a different outcome.

*  *  *

Check out my new book Ultra-Processed Life and my updated Books and Films.

Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com

Subscribe to my Substack for free

Tyler Durden Mon, 08/04/2025 - 05:00

German Military Sees 28% Surge In Recruits As Leaders Hype Russia Threat

German Military Sees 28% Surge In Recruits As Leaders Hype Russia Threat

Germany's historic reversal on its military posture and stregnth has long been on display since near the start of the Russia-Ukraine war. Berlin has been drastically expanding its military spending and is even recently mulling compulsory service for the nation's armed forces.

But even without this more dramatic action, the reality is that interest in joining the German Armed Forces has grown significantly, with military recruitment up 28% so far in 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, according to new Defence Ministry information published Thursday.

Via Reuters

By July 21, approximately 13,750 new recruits had joined the Bundeswehr, the defense miinistry said - which has involved fixed-term service contracts and voluntary military service.

This has apparently been an increasingly attractive route for young people after finishing school. Currently, the Bundeswehr has around 183,100 active personnel, which is an increase of about 2,000 compared to last year.

Voluntary service participation has also climbed by roughly 15%, reaching 11,350 recruits. While these numbers pale in comparison to the much larger militaries of the US, Russia, or even Ukraine - it marks the start of what could be a historic shift after the German military's post-WWII effective decimation.

The Defence Ministry credits the increase to focused recruitment efforts on growing concerns about global security, and of course the percieved threat to Europe by Russia as a result of the still raging Ukraine war which is not far away geographically.

The Kremlin has consistently denied allegations that President Putin has his eyes set on invading Europe or even a NATO 'eastern flank' country.

German officials have voiced their view that the rise in enlistment encouraging, particularly given the urgent need to expand the military's ranks. Later this month Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s Cabinet is expected to vote on a draft bill to reform military service.

All of this also of course makes NATO leadership happy, and is in the context of President Trump's serious push to get European members of the alliance to shoulder more of the common defense burden.

If passed, the changes could come into effect in early 2026, prioritizing voluntary enlistment and improved conditions, featuring for example better pay - with the aim of attracting up to 15,000 new conscripts annually, according to German media.

Tyler Durden Mon, 08/04/2025 - 04:15

Russia's Nuclear Ambitions Face Funding Crisis

Russia's Nuclear Ambitions Face Funding Crisis

Via Eurasianet.org,m

  • Russian energy entities, including Rosatom, are experiencing significant financing difficulties, raising doubts about their ability to fulfill international energy project commitments.

  • Kazakhstan has decided to independently build thermal power plants originally contracted to Russia's Inter RAO due to a lack of promised financing, and is increasingly turning to China for nuclear power plant construction.

  • Rosatom is seeking government financial support to maintain its global leadership in the nuclear energy market and carry out new projects, citing limited financing options due to international sanctions.

Russian energy entities are experiencing financing woes, raising questions about whether Rosatom, Russia’s nuclear energy agency, will be able to fulfill its obligations to build Kazakhstan’s first atomic power plant.

Already, financing troubles have caused another Russian state-controlled firm, Inter RAO, to lose out on constructing three thermal power plants in Kazakhstan. 

During a July 30 appearance before the Russian State Commission on Energy, Andrei Petrov, a top Rosatom official, openly acknowledged that Rosatom was seeking government support. The entity has the resources to complete ongoing work, but by 2027, it will need a financial injection to carry out new projects, Petrov indicated.

Rosatom officials have been somewhat cagey in specifying exactly what kind of support they are seeking and have shied away from specifying an amount. For example, Rosatom’s chief, Alexei Likhachev, recently stated the entity is seeking the “provision of special resources” from the government, according to a report published by the Interfax news agency.

In 2024, a Rosatom official, referring to a program to develop floating nuclear power plants, indicated that Rosatom had limited financing options due to international sanctions on Russia, and required state-subsidized low-interest loans in order for the company to maintain its industry lead in several areas. Rosatom presently enjoys a roughly 50 percent share of the global nuclear energy market, with operations even in several NATO member states, such as Turkey and Hungary.  

“The only way to maintain leadership with this product [floating nuclear power plants] is to subsidize exports even more than we already are,” Interfax quoted Vladimir Aptekarev, a top official at the Rosatom subsidiary Atomenergomash JSC, as saying in 2024, citing Chinese competition.

The Russian government, given the immense burden on the state budget imposed by its war effort in Ukraine, has so far resisted pleas from energy entities for increased support. Rosatom officials have acknowledged that the lack of assistance has hindered efforts to build new types of thermal and nuclear units, known as units Shelf-M and Elena-AM.

The Russian government’s cash crunch appears to be responsible for delays in construction of three planned Kazakh thermal power plants near Kokshetau, Semey and Ust-Kamenogorsk. Inter RAO signed a contract to build the three plants at an estimated cost of about $2.7 billion, with financing to be provided by Russian state-connected institutions. But the money never materialized.

On July 31, Deputy Kazakh Prime Minister Roman Sklyar confirmed that Kazakhstan was ditching the contract with Inter RAO, adding that it would build the plants on its own, according to media reports.

“When the company [Inter RAO] took on the obligation to build these facilities, it was supposed to receive export financing at a low rate. Unfortunately, they were unable to do this, so it was decided to build them independently,” he said.

The Kazakh government’s decision to move on from Inter RAO on the thermal plant projects instantly sparks questions about the fate of Rosatom’s deal to build Kazakhstan’s first nuclear power station. 

When Kazakhstan’s Atomic Energy Agency announced in June that Rosatom would lead the consortium to build the plant on the shores of Lake Balkhash, it indicated that the deal was contingent on the Russian entity’s ability to arrange financing. “Work on the issue of attracting state export financing at the expense of the Russian Federation has begun,” a KAEA statement announced at the time.

At the same time in June, Kazakh officials made the unexpected announcement that they were giving a contract to China’s National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC) to build a second nuclear power plant. At the time, observers saw the announcement as a shrewd move to keep Kazakhstan’s two powerful neighbors, Russia and China, happy. But in hindsight, the move can also be seen as a hedge.

On July 31, Kazakhstan appeared to give a vote of no-confidence in Rosatom’s ability to deliver on the nuclear plant. Sklyar, the deputy prime minister, announced that CNNC would lead construction of a third nuclear power plant in Kazakhstan. He declined to disclose a cost estimate for the projects, adding that the locations of both the second and third nuclear power stations had not been determined. 

Even so, it appears Kazakhstan has a backup plan already in place in case the Rosatom deal falls through.

Tyler Durden Mon, 08/04/2025 - 03:30

The Bureaucratic Tumor Killing Europe

The Bureaucratic Tumor Killing Europe

By Thomas Kolbe

Bureaucracy is flourishing in Germany and the EU like never before. Budget planning in Berlin and Brussels offers a clear glimpse into the state of the public sector—and at the same time, points toward the end of the economic cycle.

A saying is making the rounds on social media that captures the European relationship with the state: Europeans love to be governed so much, they’ve even installed a government for their governments in Brussels. It’s a reference to the European Union’s bureaucracy—a sprawling administrative apparatus that is gradually disempowering national governments and shifting the burdens of centralization onto the citizenry.

The latest example: a ruling by the European Court of Justice that weakens the definition of a “safe country of origin,” effectively removing any effective legal instrument EU states might use to stop the overwhelming wave of illegal migration.

Brussels’ ideological stubbornness and institutional detachment from reality are part of a relentless drive to subject ever-larger parts of European society to regulatory control. It’s as if an illegitimate stepchild has embedded itself into the family and is now trying to rob the rightful heirs of their inheritance.

The Mega-Budget of Madness

Case in point: the EU Commission recently unveiled its new seven-year budget, now inflated to a whopping €1.8 trillion—a runaway bureaucracy at a time when European economies are suffering a severe productivity crisis and member states are gasping for fiscal air.

Brussels is living proof that bureaucratic structures develop a life of their own from day one. Like all social organisms, they strive for growth, bigger budgets, and expanding regulation as a way of entrenching their power base. Their activity continues even as the host society weakens—until the host’s growth forces collapse entirely.

Argentina clearly reached that point two years ago, when libertarian Javier Milei was handed a literal chainsaw to hack through the jungle of regulations, bureaucracy, and senseless state interference. The result: an economic euphoria that remains completely alien to Germany. Here, bureaucracy continues to bloom in full.

Crushing Bureaucratic Burdens

German businesses groan under a bureaucratic burden that grows year after year. According to calculations by the Ifo Institute, bureaucratism costs the German economy €146 billion annually—wasted just to meet government documentation, compliance, and control mandates.

It’s an economic catastrophe, prescribed by the state to secure its own power. We are deep in the age of bureaucratic overkill.

No craftsman, no mid-sized entrepreneur can survive today without a dedicated admin department or pricey consultants—just to submit the next batch of paperwork or satisfy a new reporting obligation. Millions of working hours—hours that should serve innovation, productivity, and actual labor—are simply incinerated.

In what was once the land of inventors and visionaries, the biggest brake on growth—besides crushing taxes—is the regulatory jungle of forms and mandates. It’s a damning indictment of politics, whose will to control has exceeded all reasonable limits.

Against this backdrop, the Merz government’s bureaucratic-reduction promises are nothing short of an insult to those forced to endure the madness.

America Shows Another Way

But it doesn’t have to be this way. The U.S. is currently showing a radically different path. With the launch of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), AI is being deployed across the board. Its goal: to scrap roughly 100,000 federal regulations—about half of all existing ones—deemed unconstitutional or redundant.

At the heart of this push is the “DOGE AI Deregulation Decision Tool,” which may soon become the global standard for deregulation.

The U.S. government estimates annual savings of up to €1.3 trillion (~$1.5 trillion)—primarily through lower compliance costs for businesses and slashed administrative payrolls. AI is already being used at agencies like the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), where in just two weeks, 1,000 regulations were reviewed and marked for deletion.

The End of the Cycle

Reform is possible—but it demands a long runway. The political will for it must rise from deep societal crisis, build over time, and then strike suddenly to break the bureaucratic fortress.

Bureaucracies evolve in parallel with the society and economy that host them. Everything obeys the laws of growth, maturity, and decay. The question is: where does Germany stand in this cycle when we examine the structure and growth dynamic of its public administration?

Surely, it’s a long way from here to the Milei chainsaw. The end of that path involves severe economic and social turbulence.

Just look at Argentina: two currency collapses, hyperinflation, welfare-state implosion, and economic paralysis—the typical symptoms of a society in collapse.

At that point, political arguments about “more regulation” go silent. People begin to recognize the bureaucratic plunder for what it is. The media can no longer cover up economic reality. It’s the moment when society demands that those who’ve benefited from the labor of others finally pay the price—those who hid from life’s risks in government offices.

At that stage, redundant agencies are shuttered, civil service rights suspended, pensions slashed. In short, the state-private sector relationship is recalibrated.

Signs and Symptoms

So where does Germany currently stand?

The signs are everywhere. From the absurd climate-panic regulations emerged the biggest subsidy machine in European history. Between 2028 and 2034, EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen plans to pump €750 billion into this monster of capital destruction.

Hundreds of NGOs feed off this machine, inflating their own activity levels to secure budgets and influence. Think of climate protestors gluing themselves to roads, Extinction Rebellion, Fridays for Future—the pathological symptoms of a psychologically wounded society that has lost touch with its own values.

At the end of the economic cycle, Germany appears to have exhausted its integrative and stabilizing capacities—and is now stumbling through a process of economic and social disintegration.

German society—and much of Europe—finds it hard to activate the forces of self-healing. Internal conflict seems inevitable. The collapse of the climate narrative is only a matter of time, likely triggered by a United States that peels off its green-socialist mask and returns to its foundational ideals.

As bureaucratization reaches its end stage, the Kafkaesque degeneracy is impossible to ignore. Vast swaths of streets blocked off for cyclists, causing more emissions and fine dust due to induced traffic jams. Urban “green meeting points” in the middle of major roads. Gender-garbled language. Non-binary toilets. This is the grotesque overgrowth of an unhinged bureaucracy intoxicated by ideology.

Visible Decay

These often bizarre bureaucratic mutations point to Germany having entered a late stage of societal and economic decline. Crisis, catharsis, and reorientation are inevitable. The collapse of the economy is already so advanced that even left-wing state-socialists struggle to obscure it with climate hysteria or fairytales of a coming green utopia.

History moves in waves. Bureaucratism eats away at the private sector until it can no longer bear the metastasizing state. When the private sector collapses—as we now visibly see in Germany’s decaying public spaces and dismal economic data—the pressure on the political system intensifies.

At a Crossroads

Society then approaches a fork in the road. One path leads to total collectivism, as seen in the 20th century. The other returns to a bourgeois society grounded in free markets, family, and a lean state.

As Europe’s nations contemplate their future, the fog is lifting in Brussels. The political class has abandoned fiscal consolidation and now bets everything on debt acceleration. The question is no longer if there will be another sovereign debt crisis—but who will trigger it.

Right now, France looks poised to pull the plug on Brussels’ imperial ambitions. With a public debt-to-GDP ratio of 114% and a state share of 57%, it is trapped in its own fiscal nightmare. Political gridlock remains unresolved.

It will likely be Marine Le Pen and the Rassemblement National who, within two years, break the deadlock and send shockwaves through Europe by pivoting away from Brussels.

Whatever happens, every national government in the EU would be wise to have a Plan B when the reckoning in Brussels arrives.

* * * 

About the author: Thomas Kolbe is a German graduate economist who has worked for over 25 years as a journalist and media producer for clients from various industries and business associations. As a publicist, he focuses on economic processes and observes geopolitical events from the perspective of the capital markets. His publications follow a philosophy that focuses on the individual and their right to self-determination.

Tyler Durden Mon, 08/04/2025 - 02:45

"Forecast Models Perk Up": Atlantic Hurricane Season Enters Active Months

"Forecast Models Perk Up": Atlantic Hurricane Season Enters Active Months

Only three named storms (Andrea, Barry, and Chantal) have formed so far during this year's Atlantic hurricane season. While it's been quiet since hurricane season began on June 1, nearly 200 years of historical data suggest activity in the Atlantic Basin typically begins to ramp up around this time. 

The latest data from the National Hurricane Center shows an "area of disturbance" in the Atlantic Basin, with a 30% chance of forming over the next seven days. 

WPIX-TV Channel 11 New York's Senior Meteorologist Mike Masco noted on X:

The system comes as Atlantic remains quiet for now, but seasonal data suggests this could soon all change...

"We're already seeing longer-range forecast models start to perk up," WPLG-TV hurricane expert Michael Lowry told USA Today in a recent interview, adding, "The deep Atlantic tropical waves coming from Africa have been peppier this week, and July 24's long-range forecast models jumped from a generally quiet next 15 days to a much busier look for the first part of August."

Hurricane experts generally agree that September 10 is the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, with most of the storms expected from now to mid-September. The season runs through November 30.

Looking ahead, Masco noted that it's time to start analyzing long-range forecasts for the Lower 48's upcoming winter season...

. . . 

Tyler Durden Sun, 08/03/2025 - 16:55

No End To World Hunger By 2030

No End To World Hunger By 2030

2024 saw some progress in the fight against world hunger after the number of undernourished people rose once again between 2017 and 2021 due to global crisis like the Covid-19 pandemic.

Among worldwide disruptions like the war in Ukraine and the inflation crisis, Statista's Katharina Buchholz shows in the chart below that the number of people who cannot sufficiently feed themselves has remained high in 2024 and previous years, however.

 No End to World Hunger by 2030 | Statista

You will find more infographics at Statista

The report states that the countries with the largest numbers of people facing high levels of acute food insecurity were Nigeria, Sudan and the Democratic Republic of the Congo while the countries with the largest share of the people in this position were Palestine (Gaza Strip), South Sudan, Sudan, Yemen and Haiti. This also means that the UN is further now from its goal to end hunger by 2030 than it was in 2017.

At this week's release of the Food Security and Nutrition in the World report, World Food Programme director Qu Dongyu said:

“While it is encouraging to see a decrease in the global hunger rate, we must recognize that progress is uneven", urging more collaboration in areas where problems persist.

Last year, the number of undernourished people worldwide decreased for the third year in a row to a medium projection of around 673 million. This is equivalent to 8.2 percent of the world population.

Hunger was most widespread in Africa where it affects 20 percent of the population while 6.7 percent of people across Asia are also impacted by it. The estimation for people living in food insecurity stood at 2.3 billion, meaning that 28 percent of the world has issues to feed itself consistently and in a healthy and varied diet.

Tyler Durden Sun, 08/03/2025 - 15:45

In First, Ben Gvir Leads Settler Raid On Al-Aqsa Mosque Under Heavy Guard

In First, Ben Gvir Leads Settler Raid On Al-Aqsa Mosque Under Heavy Guard

Via Middle East Eye

Israel's far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir led hundreds of settlers in storming Al-Aqsa Mosque complex on Sunday, were they loudly performed Jewish Talmudic prayer, under a heavy police guard, and attempted to antagonise Muslim worshippers.

Videos seen by Middle East Eye showed hundreds of settlers storming the courtyards of Al-Aqsa Mosque where some could be seen dancing and shouting, seeking to disrupt the Muslim place of worship.

Via AFP

The status quo in Jerusalem has long maintained that Jewish prayer is forbidden on the raised plateau in occupied East Jerusalem's Old City, where Al-Aqsa Mosque stands.

However, over the past century, Zionist groups have repeatedly violated the fragile arrangement, launching unprecedented attacks on what's considered one of Islam's holiest sites. 

Residents in Jerusalem's Old City told MEE that before and after Ben Gvir's raid, the area had come to resemble a "military base" due to the "many checkpoints" that had been set up and the "heavy Israeli security presence".

They said that Israeli forces severely restricted Palestinians from accessing the mosque, with only a few local residents allowed to pass. Speaking to reporters after the raid, Ben Gvir said: "The Temple Mount is for the Jews, and we will remain here forever."

Since becoming a minister in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government, Ben Gvir has led at least 11 assaults on the mosque. Meanwhile, several other far-right politicians have advocated for the destruction of Al-Aqsa and the construction of a  temple where they claim Jewish temples once stood.

Among the hundreds of people to take part in Sunday's raid was right-wing Likud lawmaker Amit Halevi, who has repeatedly advocated for Israel to destroy all water, food and energy sources in Gaza.

In June 2023, he tabled a bill that would divide Al-Aqsa Mosque between Muslims and Jews, a plan that would see shared access from the courtyard of the Dome of the Rock to the end of the northern border of Al-Aqsa Mosque.

Palestinians fear that the incursions at Al-Aqsa, which have intensified since Israel went to war on Gaza in October 2023, are laying the groundwork for the mosque to be divided similar to how the Ibrahimi Mosque in Hebron was in the 1990s.

Muslims currently have limited access to that site, and just last month, Israel transferred the authority of the mosque from the Palestinian-run Hebron municipality to a settler council.

Aouni Bazbaz, the director of international affairs at the Islamic Waqf, the organisation that administers Al-Aqsa Mosque, described Sunday's raid as "painful and regrettable", telling MEE that it was a threat to the "historical status quo and an incitement to violence".

"There were terrifying numbers of people [Israeli settlers] present and some were important figures," he said. "This was part of a project. The extreme religious right seeks to undermine the status quo and to clearly follow the example of the Ibrahimi Mosque in Hebron.

"There are no worshippers here right now, the place is empty, the Old City is empty. It's a military barracks," he added.

The Jerusalem Governorate also decried the raid, and appealed to the international community, in particular Muslim states, "to take immediate action".

"What happened today is not just a traditional incursion. Rather, it represents a pivotal stage aimed at forcibly imposing Jewish sovereignty over Al-Aqsa Mosque and dividing it spatially between Muslims and settlers, after the occupation authorities have persisted in imposing a temporal division over the past years," it said.
 
"The Jerusalem Governorate considers this escalation to be a declaration of religious war against Islamic and Christian holy sites and a prelude to a comprehensive explosion whose flames could spread beyond the borders of Palestine, threatening security and stability in the region and the world," it added.
 
The Jordanian foreign ministry also strongly condemned the raid, calling it "an unacceptable provocation and an indecent escalation".

"The repeated entries of extremist settlers into Al-Aqsa Mosque constitute a serious violation of the existing historical and legal situation, an attempt to impose a division in time and space, and a desecration of the sanctity of the place," the Jordanian foreign ministry spokesman, Ambassador Sufyan al-Qudah, said.

Tyler Durden Sun, 08/03/2025 - 15:10

Revolution Camp: Unhinged White Liberals Spend Weekend Smashing Junk In Anti-Trump Fury

Revolution Camp: Unhinged White Liberals Spend Weekend Smashing Junk In Anti-Trump Fury

The permanent protest-industrial complex, bankrolled by dark-money leftist NGOs, was at it again Saturday, orchestrating yet another nationwide demonstration, this time branded "Rage Against the Regime," targeting President Trump. As with previous actions, the protests were primarily attended by crazed, elderly white liberals. The Democrats and their NGO machine have lost not just the narrative but are drifting deeper into irrelevance. 

50501 ("50 Protests, 50 States, 1 Movement") is part of the permanent protest-industrial complex and was behind the underwhelming demonstrations this weekend. The group's mission is to organize large-scale, nationwide color revolution-style operations against President Trump, including these previous events:

  • February 5: Anti-Trump kickoff rallies

  • February 17 (Presidents' Day): "No Kings on Presidents Day"

  • March 4: Third round of demonstrations

  • April 5: "Hands Off" protests, among the largest anti-Trump protests

  • June 14: "No Kings"

Each of the nationwide protests listed above has failed to generate enough momentum to shift public opinion and move the polls. The dark-money-funded NGOs behind the permanent protest-industrial complex have grown increasingly frustrated; so much so that they reportedly offered $20 million to a 'rent-a-protester' firm. 

Last month, Adam Swart, CEO of an activist group called "Crowds on Demand", called out one unnamed leftist entity ...

"We had to reject an offer worth around $20 million for nationwide, large-scale demonstrations across the country. Personally, I don't think it's effective. I'm rejecting the contract not because I don't want the business, but because, frankly, this is going to be ineffective and make us all look bad."

"One of the more bizarre highlights of this past weekend's failed protest operation was a 50501 staffer setting up what appeared to be a "smash room" for deranged white leftists in the parking lot of a retail center in Tim Walz's state.

"After smashing a watermelon, one attendee screamed "REVOLUTION" stating that the experience was "cathartic" and left her shaking," journalist Savanah Hernandez wrote on X. 

Hernandez said, "Live look at the full event, which includes a scream tent, smash room and about 80 senior citizens."

Related:

One alarming aspect of these ongoing color revolution operations by the Democrats and their NGO complex is the co-mingling of foreign interests. We suspect this will be addressed in due time. CC: Neville Roy Singham's network

*    *    * 

Private intel firm Forward Observer has a summary of what the Democratic Party's latest "new tactics" to spark a color revolution...

. . .

Tyler Durden Sun, 08/03/2025 - 14:35

Sen. Blackburn To Introduce Bills To Root Out 'Embedded' Foreign Interest

Sen. Blackburn To Introduce Bills To Root Out 'Embedded' Foreign Interest

Authored by Philip Wegmann via RealClearPolitics,

Tennessee Sen. Marsha Blackburn will soon introduce a trio of bills to counter the malign influence of foreign adversaries stateside and cement actions already taken by the Trump administration, RealClearPolitics is first to report.

The first bill would ban the purchase of “agricultural land” by any foreign individuals or businesses associated with an adversarial country. Chinese interests already own as much as 370,000 acres of farmland, according to one estimate, some of it near U.S. military bases. Fueling the bipartisan concern: fears that proximity to those sensitive installations could make them prone to drone attack or surveillance.

Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins announced last month that the federal government would move to ban sales of farmland nationwide to buyers tied to China. If signed into law, the Blackburn bill would deliver on that promise.

While China is the primary target, the legislation would also prohibit purchases from North Korea, Iran, and Russia.

The second bill focuses on the capital city: It would require the District of Columbia to end so-called “sister city” arrangements with adversarial nations. Washington, D.C., has entered into no less than 15 non-formal arrangements with cities around the world. Some are innocuous, such as Athens and Paris. One is a relic of hopes not realized.

Then-Mayor Marion Barry signed the Washington-Beijing Sister City Friendship agreement in 1984 when the U.S. still hoped that normalizing relations with China would lead to liberalization. It did not. Blackburn and other Republicans now warn that “sister city” arrangements, while informal, provide an adversarial regime a sort of soft power through diplomatic legitimacy and access to sensitive U.S. institutions.

The third bill would require the Department of Housing and Urban Development to work with state and local governments to assess whether and how foreign buyers, including those using shell corporations, “are distorting U.S. housing markets and threatening national security.”

The legislation comes as Trump shakes up the world stage through a series of new trade deals and reevaluated alliances. Even as the president insists that U.S. relations with China are improving, his administration has taken steps to gain an upper hand in the rivalry with the communist superpower. He has bolstered military spending. He has deregulated the artificial intelligence industry in order to maintain U.S. dominance in that field. He insists that the United States will remain preeminent.

Perhaps most significantly, Trump made a rising China a bipartisan concern. While previous administrations cast a wary eye on an increasingly bellicose Beijing, his first candidacy thrust the issue front and center nearly a decade ago. And former President Joe Biden did not throttle back during his time in office, notably keeping Trump’s tariffs on China in place and describing the coming century as a competition between autocracy and democracy.

Blackburn shares those concerns. Her current effort focuses on the domestic front.

“The United States cannot allow foreign adversaries like Communist China to quietly embed themselves in our communities and near our critical infrastructure,” the senator told RCP.

“We have a responsibility to identify and address these threats,” Blackburn added, before describing her legislative practice as an effort that “shines a light on these activities and will help protect American property and sovereignty.”

Tyler Durden Sun, 08/03/2025 - 14:00

Will Swiss Tariffs Drive Used U.S. Rolex Prices Higher 

Will Swiss Tariffs Drive Used U.S. Rolex Prices Higher 

Overnight chatter from UBS' market desk centered on how the Swiss government was "caught completely off guard" by President Trump's 39% tariff rate. European and U.S. equities tumbled (read pre-market note) this morning, but our focus here won't be on comments from stunned Swiss officials or market gyrations on either side of the Atlantic; instead, it's the Swiss watch market and where prices could be headed next. 

Switzerland's watch exporters will face one of the steepest tariff rates globally. One sign of the trade fallout came earlier when shares of Rolex reseller Watches of Switzerland Group plunged 9.2% in London, with traders focused on how the tariffs could impact new watch sales.

The rude awakening of 39% tariffs on all goods imported from the Alpine nation got us thinking:

  • What impact will this new trade policy have on the new and used watch markets in the U.S.?

  • More specifically, how much of the tariff cost will U.S. importers absorb?

If the tariffs are passed on to U.S. consumers, it would mean higher prices for new Rolex, Patek Philippe, Audemars Piguet, Vacheron Constantin, Omega, and other Swiss watch brands.

In our view, higher prices for new luxury Swiss watches would drive retail substitution demand toward the used market, and may even help support the recovery of the secondary market, which has been in a downturn since the post-Covid mania peak.

Even before the tariff announcement, Bloomberg Sundial data showed that Rolex prices were showing signs of a potential bottom. 

UBS analysts led by Zuzanna Pusz told clients last month that a meaningful recovery in the global luxury market might not occur until 2027. Read the report here.

Related:

. . . 

Tyler Durden Sun, 08/03/2025 - 08:45

Will Swiss Tariffs Drive Used U.S. Rolex Prices Higher 

Will Swiss Tariffs Drive Used U.S. Rolex Prices Higher 

Overnight chatter from UBS' market desk centered on how the Swiss government was "caught completely off guard" by President Trump's 39% tariff rate. European and U.S. equities tumbled (read pre-market note) this morning, but our focus here won't be on comments from stunned Swiss officials or market gyrations on either side of the Atlantic; instead, it's the Swiss watch market and where prices could be headed next. 

Switzerland's watch exporters will face one of the steepest tariff rates globally. One sign of the trade fallout came earlier when shares of Rolex reseller Watches of Switzerland Group plunged 9.2% in London, with traders focused on how the tariffs could impact new watch sales.

The rude awakening of 39% tariffs on all goods imported from the Alpine nation got us thinking:

  • What impact will this new trade policy have on the new and used watch markets in the U.S.?

  • More specifically, how much of the tariff cost will U.S. importers absorb?

If the tariffs are passed on to U.S. consumers, it would mean higher prices for new Rolex, Patek Philippe, Audemars Piguet, Vacheron Constantin, Omega, and other Swiss watch brands.

In our view, higher prices for new luxury Swiss watches would drive retail substitution demand toward the used market, and may even help support the recovery of the secondary market, which has been in a downturn since the post-Covid mania peak.

Even before the tariff announcement, Bloomberg Sundial data showed that Rolex prices were showing signs of a potential bottom. 

UBS analysts led by Zuzanna Pusz told clients last month that a meaningful recovery in the global luxury market might not occur until 2027. Read the report here.

Related:

. . . 

Tyler Durden Sun, 08/03/2025 - 08:45

Orbán Says Visegrád Four Can Block EU Budget With United Front

Orbán Says Visegrád Four Can Block EU Budget With United Front

Authored by Thomas Brooke via Remix News,

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has declared that a reinvigorated alliance of Central European nationalist leaders — including Poland’s Mateusz Morawiecki, Slovakia’s Robert Fico, and the Czech Republic’s Andrej Babiš — could collectively stop the European Union’s next long-term budget in its tracks.

In a televised interview with Polish journalist Michał Karnowski for Telewizja wPolsce24, Orbán stated that the Visegrád Group — made up of Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, and Czechia — has the power to block the upcoming EU financial framework if they act together.

“The next European budget must be approved unanimously by EU member states,” Orbán said.

“We have elections in April next year. President Kaczyński and Prime Minister Morawiecki will return to power [in Poland]. Andrej Babiš will win in the Czech Republic in October, and Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico is strong enough to stay. Then the four of us, as the Visegrád Group, will be able to stop the crazy ideas contained in this project.”

Orbán’s opposition to the EU’s proposed 2028–2034 budget is rooted in his fierce resistance to what he calls its “Ukraine-centered” focus. Nearly one third of the proposed spending, he argues, would either go directly to Ukraine or be used to service EU debt accumulated to support Kyiv. In a recent speech, Orbán described it as “not a European budget, but a Ukraine budget,” and warned that its approval would divert vital resources away from EU member states.

He also reiterated that Hungary will not support the new EU budget unless frozen funds owed to his country are released. Those funds have been held up by Brussels over concerns about alleged rule-of-law violations in Hungary, which Budapest insists are fabricated because the Orbán administration will not conform to Brussels’ liberal agenda.

“Hungary will block the European Union’s proposed seven‑year budget unless the EU releases suspended funds,” Orbán told reporters earlier this month.

The Hungarian premier also repeated his warning that EU efforts to bring Ukraine closer to membership could drag Central Europe into direct conflict.

“If we admit Ukraine, we admit the war,” he said, arguing that current foreign policy thinking in Brussels is a threat to Hungary’s survival.

Speaking about Poland, Orbán praised former Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki and expressed hope that he would soon return to power.

“During the Law and Justice government, you achieved fantastic economic results,” Orbán said. “Prime Minister Morawiecki was one of the best Polish prime ministers I’ve ever known, also an excellent financial expert. Therefore, the Polish government has all the tools to build the greatest era of Polish success in history. If I were Polish, thinking about the future, I would be optimistic.”

He added that Poland’s size and political strength under the Law and Justice Party had helped shield Hungary from EU pressure in previous years. “Poland is larger than Hungary. Its political strength during the rule of President Jarosław Kaczyński’s party and Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki’s government helped, for a time, reduce pressure from Brussels on Hungary. I remember this very well.”

Orbán also spoke positively about Czech politics, predicting a return to power for Andrej Babiš and his ANO party. The Czech Republic will hold parliamentary elections on October 3 and 4, and polls currently show Babiš’s party well ahead of its rivals. ANO has consistently led national surveys by double-digit margins, and Babiš, a former prime minister, is expected by many analysts to regain the premiership after the vote.

With a Law and Justice revival in Poland, Fico maintaining power in Slovakia, and Babiš likely to win in the Czech Republic, Orbán believes the Visegrád alliance could be reborn. “This election opens up an opportunity to renew Central European cooperation,” he said. “We call it the Visegrád Group, but we can call it whatever we want. The key is the cooperation, which has been a great success.”

He added that past V4 cooperation had served as a counterweight to the dominance of France and Germany in EU affairs, and said he welcomed recent developments, including Karol Nawrocki’s presidential election victory in Poland, as signs that the regional alliance is on the brink of revival. “We’ve opened a huge, powerful bottle of champagne. This is a historic victory,” he said.

Read more here...

Tyler Durden Sun, 08/03/2025 - 08:10

'A Living Skeleton Buried Alive': Hamas Releases Images Of Hostages In The Tunnels

'A Living Skeleton Buried Alive': Hamas Releases Images Of Hostages In The Tunnels

After it became clear this past week that ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas have totally collapsed once again, with little hope of getting the warring sides back to the negotiating table, Hamas and Islamic Jihad have released more proof of life videos showing they still have captives who are alive.

Hostage Evyatar David appeared very emaciated in a clip that his family approved for publication (in Israeli media) on Saturday, which his family says is evidence that he is being deliberately starved.

Evyatar David: before and amid captivity

David was kidnapped Reim-area Nova music festival during the Hamas/PIJ terror onslaught of October 7, 2023. This means he's been in captivity over 660 days.

Times of Israel describes, "In the new footage, David is seen in a tunnel with a ceiling roughly as high as he is tall, crossing off dates on a calendar on the tunnel’s wall. He is unkempt and unshaven, and appears skeletal even in comparison with the February video, which was filmed during the last ceasefire-hostage deal with Hamas, as Israel increased the flow of aid into Gaza. That deal collapsed in March."

The prior aforementioned video shows that in comparison to the newest images his health and nutrition has declined rapidely. Probably his captors are deliverately starving him in order to 'make a point' about the mass hunger currently gripping the Gaza Strip.

Hamas featured David in a propaganda video saying "They eat what we eat, they drink what we drink."

Separately, days ago Isalmic Jihad published a video of hostage Rom Braslavski, who has been held just as long as David, showing him looking pale and extremely thin while addressing the camera in an unknown location in Gaza.

Alarmingly, Islamic Jihad said the video was taken just before command leadership lost contact with those immediately in charge of Braslavski's captivity. This suggests his fate is currently uknown, despite the proof of life video.

The same hostage was featured in an April video where he described experiencing "hell" - in which which he looked sickly.

From the newest video released showing Braslavski lying down, appearing in pain:

These newly released videos, clearly intentionally timed for maximum political and psychological impact, have spurred new outrage among hostage victims' families, who have been demanding meetings with PM Netanyahu and top Israeli leadership, in order to pressure the government to make a deal for an exchange.

Tyler Durden Sun, 08/03/2025 - 07:35

Masking Our Schoolchildren Was Child Abuse – A Rare Chance To Stop It Returning

Masking Our Schoolchildren Was Child Abuse – A Rare Chance To Stop It Returning

Authored by Dr. Gary Sidley via DailySceptic.org,

While more and more people are becoming aware that masking healthy people is both ineffective and harmful – as illustrated by the current rarity of face coverings in community settings – pockets of pro-mask zealotry remain smouldering in certain sections of our society, constituting an ongoing risk of re-ignition in the future.

Health and social care is one such example – a hazard addressed in Smile Free’s recent film, Masking Humanity.

Another is our education system, where, for prolonged periods during the Covid event, headmasters and teachers cruelly muzzled our kids in schools.

Now, as a result of the sterling endeavours of the ‘Declaration of Dumfries’ (DoD) team – a fellowship of people promoting common law principles of truth, rights and sovereignty – a rare opportunity has arisen to land a telling blow against those in authority and thereby deter any future imposition of masks on our schoolchildren.

The Actions of the ‘Declaration of Dumfries’ Fellowship

In brief, what the ‘Declaration of Dumfries’ (DoD) people have accomplished is to force a local council to explicitly admit that they never had the authority to mask children, nor to punish pupils for non-compliance. 

By doing so, there is now an opening for parents of children who were victims of the unlawful mask impositions during the Covid event to sue their local councils and, by doing so, land a blow that will ensure that those in positions of power within our education system think twice before ever pulling such a stunt on our nation’s children again. 

To achieve this victory required 17 months of dogged determination and persistence.

The sequence of events is detailed in a DoD flowchart.

The timeline can be summarised as follows:

  • 14th of February 2022: The DoD submit a Freedom of Information request to Dumfries & Galloway Council asking for, “documented evidence of their authority to mask children

  • 4th of March 2022: Dumfries & Galloway Council respond that they had “complied with… regulations and guidance from the Scottish Government… and refutes any contention to the contrary

  • 30th of March 2022: Following a DoD request for a review, the Council reiterate its position that “it has followed all appropriate guidance & regulation” and provide links to several government documents. Given that these publications did not address their questions, DoD request arbitration from the Scottish Information Commissioner

  • 18th of October 2022: The Council deny that any “enforcement” of masks had taken place

  • 10th of August 2023: The Council accept that they did not hold information confirming their authority “to impose masks on other people’s children” and also acknowledge there was “no policy/guidance that permitted (granted authority) to headmasters/teachers… to ask pupils to leave school if they did not wear a face mask

  • 11th of August 2023: Following prompts (from the DoD) for further clarity, the Council also accepts that they had no authority to impose any other kinds of punishment for non-compliance with their mask requirements

The Implications of This Admission by Dumfries & Galloway Council

The rising number of us who recognise that the generic masking of healthy people does far more harm than good have been increasingly frustrated by the failure of our political elite to openly acknowledge this fact, and to provide the general public with reassurance that this restriction will for ever be condemned to reside in that cupboard labelled, ‘Crazy public health restrictions, never to be repeated’.

Unfortunately, this admission has not been forthcoming; it seems that the Government and their ‘experts’ hope we will all forget about this shameful period in our history. But now – thanks to the tenacity of the DoD team – there is a unique opportunity to land a telling blow against the establishment. 

The explicit recognition by Dumfries & Galloway Council that the imposition of masks onto other people’s children was an illegitimate act now renders every local authority in Scotland (and probably in the rest of the UK) vulnerable to being sued by the victims of this inhuman practice.

A legal precedent such as this would go a long way to ensuring that our children are never again bullied into wearing de-humanising masks by headmasters and teachers.

If you are a parent of a child who was harassed (or even harmed) by these policies, you may have the chance to prosecute your local council and – if successful – go a long way to protecting our future youngsters from this cruel restriction.

Is anyone out there willing to grasp the nettle?

Those interested in suing those culpable of muzzling our kids can find further details here, or they can email dod@declarationofdumfries.co.uk to discuss potential options. 

Tyler Durden Sun, 08/03/2025 - 07:00

Media PSYOP 'Operation Mockingbird' Still Targeting Americans: Gabbard

Media PSYOP 'Operation Mockingbird' Still Targeting Americans: Gabbard

Via JonFleetwood.com,

The CIA’s infamous Cold War propaganda and psychological operation (PSYOP) program never died—it just turned inward...

The question isn’t whether the government is manipulating Americans, but how they’re doing it right now—through intelligence leaks, media collusion, psychological tactics, and taxpayer-funded propaganda.

That was the warning from U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard during a searing July 31 interview, where she confirmed that intelligence insiders are actively using corporate media to manipulate the American people and sabotage President Donald Trump’s agenda—echoing the tactics of ‘Operation Mockingbird.’

Every major news organization or its parent companies, from FOX News to CNN, are owned by globalist-aligned asset managers like BlackRock, an offical partner of the anti-American-sovereignty World Economic Forum (WEF).

“There are people within the intelligence community who believe that their will is more important than the will of the American people,” Gabbard told conservative host Benny Johnson. “[They] will weaponize intelligence by leaking it to their friends within the mainstream media with the intent of undermining President Trump’s agenda.”

Mockingbird Reloaded: Intelligence Tools Aimed at Americans

Once a covert CIA program used to plant propaganda in foreign and domestic media, Operation Mockingbird infiltrated major U.S. newsrooms throughout the 1950s–1970s.

It was exposed during the Church Committee hearings, where Congress revealed that the agency maintained relationships with hundreds of journalists to shape public perception.

Today, Gabbard says, that same playbook is being deployed against Americans.

Only now, it’s fully digital, algorithmic, and taxpayer-funded.

“They are subverting the will of the people and therefore undermining the Constitution,” Gabbard warned.

From CIA to CDC: Government Propaganda Is Now a Domestic Industry

Gabbard’s warning comes as Congress continues to uncover a parallel propaganda apparatus inside U.S. health agencies.

A damning House Energy and Commerce Committee report released in October 2024 found that the Biden Administration spent $900 million in taxpayer funds on a COVID-19 propaganda campaign that intentionally misled the public.

“The Biden-Harris administration caused Americans to lose trust in the public health system,” said Committee Chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-WA), accusing the CDC and NIH of using ads containing “erroneous or unproven information.”

The report revealed that:

  • The CDC exaggerated the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines beyond FDA authorization.

  • Messaging about mask effectiveness and COVID risk to children was “deeply flawed.”

  • Federal funds went to Big Tech companies to “track and monitor Americans,” prompting calls for stronger data privacy protections.

Representative Morgan Griffith (R-VA) slammed the administration’s “Stop the Spread” campaign as scientifically baseless, saying it “misled the American public” and triggered a broader collapse in trust across all vaccine programs.

“American trust in the CDC is at an all-time low,” said Subcommittee Chair Brett Guthrie (R-KY).

Fear as a Weapon: Scientists Admit Psychological Manipulation

Further validating Gabbard’s claims, behavioral scientists who advised governments during the COVID crisis have since admitted to weaponizing fear to coerce compliance—describing their actions as “unethical,” “dystopian,” and “totalitarian.”

Members of the UK’s ‘Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Behaviour’ (SPI-B), who advised the government’s COVID response, revealed that officials deliberately ramped up fear to push lockdowns the public might otherwise reject.

“Clearly, using fear as a means of control is not ethical. Using fear smacks of totalitarianism. It’s not an ethical stance for any modern government,” said SPI-B psychologist Gavin Morgan.

“[P]sychologists didn’t seem to notice when it stopped being altruistic and became manipulative. They have too much power and it intoxicates them,” another member confessed.

One warned that “people use the pandemic to grab power and drive through things that wouldn’t happen otherwise… We have to be very careful about the authoritarianism that is creeping in.”

Gabbard: ‘This Is Why Trump’s Mandate Is Critical’

Gabbard said her fight is not just about cleaning up rogue intelligence operators—it’s about reversing the normalization of psychological warfare on the American public.

“To be able to turn the light on in places that have been dark for far too long, expose the truth, and drive accountability—that’s the only way we can actually shift this,” she said.

She affirmed that Trump is fully aware of the deep-state sabotage being conducted through the media.

“President Trump is enacting the very thing he promised the American people he would do in this election.”

You can watch the segment posted on Benny Johnson’s Twitter/X account (@bennyjohnson) below:

From Psy-Ops to Policy: The Full-Spectrum Control Grid

The Church Committee once warned that Mockingbird undermined the very idea of a free press.

The playbook didn’t end, it just upgraded.

Today’s propaganda apparatus now includes:

  • Leaked narratives from intel to legacy media

  • AI-powered censorship tools on social platforms

  • CDC-funded influencer campaigns targeting youth

  • Federal surveillance partnerships with tech giants

  • Coerced public health compliance through fear psychology

The same government that once planted editorials in The Washington Post now quietly curates your news feed, flags dissent as misinformation, and suppresses debate under the guise of “public health.”

Bottom Line

Tulsi Gabbard’s confirmation is historic: the top U.S. intelligence official has publicly stated that agencies under her own leadership are using media to manipulate Americans.

Operation Mockingbird didn’t end.

It simply changed targets.

The American people are no longer just the audience of government propaganda.

They’re the enemy.

Tyler Durden Sat, 08/02/2025 - 23:20

'No One Is Above The Law': Jack Smith Under Investigation Over Hatch Act Violations

'No One Is Above The Law': Jack Smith Under Investigation Over Hatch Act Violations

The Office of Special Counsel (OSC) has launched an investigation into Jack Smith, a DOJ lawyer who led two criminal investigations into President Donald Trump during the Biden administration - one, into Trump's handling of classified documents, and the other, which sought to prove that Trump's actions on Jan. 6, 2021 were an attempt to overturn the 2020 election. Both cases were ultimately tossed. 

According to an email reviewed by the NY PostSmith is being investigated by the Hatch Act Unit, which enforces a law that restricts government employees from engaging in political activities. The email was written by Senior Counsel Charles Baldis at OSC. 

"I appreciate the Office of Special Counsel taking this seriously and launching an investigation into Jack Smith’s conduct. No one is above the law," Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AK) said in a statement to The Post. "Jack Smith’s actions were clearly driven to hurt President Trump’s election, and Smith should be held fully accountable."

OSC launched the investigation following a letter from Cotton which accused Smith of taking blatantly political actions to undermine President Trump during his 2024 White House run. 

Smith notably resigned from his post as Special Counsel in January, after President Trump's inauguration. 

Smith’s actions as prosecutor have been widely criticized by Republicans who saw the prosecutions as an effort to weaponize the justice system against Trump and hobble his election chances in 2024.

In his letter to OSC, Cotton explains how Smith’s actions undermined Trump’s political efforts.

Jack Smith’s legal actions were nothing more than a tool for the Biden and Harris campaigns. This isn’t just unethical, it is very likely illegal campaign activity from a public office,” Cotton said. 

Many of Smith’s legal actions seem to have no rationale except for an attempt to affect the 2024 election results – actions that would violate federal law.”

"These actions were not standard, necessary, or justified," Cotton wrote. "They were the actions of a political actor masquerading as a public official."

Smith, meanwhile, has been mum on the allegations - though he has maintained that during his time as Special Counsel he followed legal protocols and was untainted by political influence (lol). 

Tyler Durden Sat, 08/02/2025 - 22:45

Pages