Angry Bear

Over half the MAGA Murder Bill’s healthcare carnage will kick in Before the Midterms

Fellow Michiganer Charles Gaba has an excellent post on his site ACA Signups, “Head’s up: Over half the MAGA Murder Bill’s healthcare carnage will kick in BEFORE the midterms.” Brief introduction: Good place to go to for Tr__p’s Beautiful Bill Act information impact on healthcare. There is a large degree of developing uncertainty coming out […]

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AZ Tr__p Supporters Who Did Not Learn from the Last Time he was in Office

This is history and some whining also. But it it is worthwhile to look it over again. I read pieces like this and wonder. What the hell did you think Tr__p was going to do? Furthermore, what was wrong with Kamala Harris to cause you to vote for Tr__p? Tr__p has a history of lining […]

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New Deal democrats Weekly Indicators for August 4 – 8

 – by New Deal democrat My “Weekly Indicators” post is up at Seeking Alpha. There is a strong divergence between the high frequency data, which is very positive, and the monthly data, which has caused me to go on “recession watch.” Needless to say, this is very unusual, suggesting there may be some special factors at work; […]

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Trump’s Economy

Paul Krugman among others has started to warn about “stagflation”, a term coined by Paul Samuelson in the 1970’s. Samuelson was a Nobel Prize winner who is known to a lot of college students for his book Economics: An Introductory Analysis. The term is most often associated with the Carter Administration although it was present […]

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Careful what you wish for

It its quest to eliminate diversity in America, the Trump Administration is demanding admissions data from colleges and universities to hunt for evidence of discrimination against white kids and kids from red states. In fact, there’s a history of affirmative action for white kids in admissions that goes back a century: In the early 20th […]

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Cost of Healthcare – Yearly Premium Changes

I broke Section 1 into two parts. The first part discussed the various types of plans available for single employees and employees needing family coverage. This part of Section 1 discusses premiums for sigle employees and employees with families. There is a match according to salary increases, inflation growth, and earnings. As you can see […]

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Seems like Robert Changes his Mind on Flu Vaccine

Quiet on Vaccine Endorsements, Loud on Vaccine Attacks HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. last month quietly endorsed recommendations from his hand picked vaccine advisors that everyone in the U.S. ages 6 months and older receive a flu shot for the upcoming season. The backdated notice appeared this week on the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices’ (ACIP) recommendations page without […]

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BLS BS

Trump fired BLS commissioner Erika McEntarfer for allegedly manipulating statistics to make him look bad. In support of the firing, he pointed to what he said were exaggerated jobs numbers in the Biden administration that had to be revised downward by—wait for it—BLS commissioner Erika McEntarfer! “How could downward revisions released during Biden’s presidency have […]

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The Witnessing

For some years now, unbeknownst to some of us, we have been witness to a 100 year (and more) flood of historical events.  For some months now, we’ve been watching a slow-motion implosion of one of these events from these front row seats.  Slow, in our time —  a flash, in history’s eons.  Watching with […]

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Questions to a Secretary of State

“Five Questions with Maine Secretary of State Shenna Bellows,” Civil Discourse Shenna Bellows is Maine’s 50th Secretary of State and the first woman to serve in that role. She’s led implementation of reforms like automatic voter registration and online voter registration in her state and has taken strong stands against Donald Trump—she ruled that he wasn’t […]

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Cost of Healthcare Insurance by Commercial and Government

Healthcare is expensive as it is. You have copays, etc. to shell out money for when required. It becomes even more expensive if you do not have healthcare insurance of some type. Even if you have healthcare insurance, it may not cover everything. The plus side of the insurance being, you will pay the negotiated […]

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Applying Prof. Edward Leamer’s pre-recession progression paradigm to the present

 – by New Deal democrat Twenty years ago, Prof. Edward Leamer gave an important speech at the Fed’s Jackson Hole, WY, retreat called “Housing IS the Business Cycle.” In that speech he discussed the fact that, historically, private residential construction as a share of GDP on average peaked 7 quarters before the onset of recessions, followed […]

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Prophecy

As my AB peeps know, I loves me some prophecy. As a consumer, not a producer. My wife and I play this little game. If I make a prediction, she grabs a post-it note and writes it down, then dates it and makes me sign it. She saves them and we review them periodically. The […]

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Simple answers to simple questions

The Fed has two jobs: (1) control inflation and (2) maximize employment. So how’s that going? “That’s a change in tone from last week, when most Fed policymakers voted to leave their influential interest rate unchanged for the fifth time this year. Fed officials had been content to wait and see how tariffs were moving […]

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Student Loan Access and Pay Backs

In support of Alan Collinge of Student Loan Justice, I have been writing in support of his efforts to seek loan forgiveness which commercial business enjoys as well as US citizens. Student loan debt is the second-highest consumer debt category after mortgages. Student loan debt in the United States totals $1606.7 trillion; annual growth resumed in 2024 following […]

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Design, Growing Old, and the Impact

This is stuff I do not even think about. I am on the precipice of it happening as I age into it more and more. I am already there. “How Dangerous Design in our cities and homes is killing our olders,” Carbon Upfront! The Wall Street Journal recently published Seven Ways to Track Your Risk of […]

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Open Thread with a Topic

Or you can talk about something else. We used to do this in the past and sometimes it was very successful. As a subscriber. I am posting part of a Paul Krugman commentary. It may interest you. You can always use your own topic. as a start of a discussion too. ~~~~~~~ Part of a […]

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The contradictory signs from initial and continuing jobless claims: what do they mean?

– by New Deal democrat As I wrote earlier this week, the positive trend in initial jobless claims is one of the most important data points indicating there is no imminent threat of recession. That continues, but what is increasingly disconcerting is the completely contrary signal from continuing claims. Let’s deal with the weekly numbers first. […]

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Insurer Financial Performance in 2023

You will read more on the profitability of healthcare plans as detailed by KFF. A brief introduction to this issue in an article by KFF. In 2023, per enrollee gross margins were highest in the Medicare Advantage market, and medical loss ratios were lowest in the individual insurance market. While both gross margins and medical […]

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2026 Healthcare Insurance Rate Changes – North Carolina

Charles Gaba at ACA Signups is reviewing Affordable(?) Care rate changes for 2026. We have been reading quite a bit about the new rate forthcoming for 2026. From the looks of it, I suspect many people will be going without healthcare insurance in North Carolina, etc. I will grab certain states I know some people […]

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