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troy-bilt bronco service manual pdf

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Troy-Bilt Bronco Service Manual PDF: An Overview

A Troy-Bilt Bronco Service Manual PDF offers comprehensive instructions for maintaining and repairing your equipment․ It covers various models like the Super Bronco, Bronco 12180, 644H-Bronco, and Tuffy 630CN, ensuring users have essential service guidelines for optimal performance and longevity․

What is a Service Manual?

A service manual is a comprehensive technical document designed to guide users through the intricate processes of maintaining, repairing, and troubleshooting a specific piece of machinery or equipment, such as a Troy-Bilt Bronco․ Unlike a basic operator’s or owner’s manual, which primarily focuses on safe operation and fundamental care, a service manual delves much deeper into mechanical and electrical systems․ It provides detailed, step-by-step instructions for tasks ranging from routine upkeep, like oil changes and spark plug replacements, to more complex repairs involving engine components or transmission systems․ These manuals typically feature exploded diagrams, wiring schematics, precise specifications, torque settings, and diagnostic flowcharts․ For instance, while a Troy-Bilt Super Bronco Operator Manual provides operational details, a true service manual offers the depth required for professional-level servicing․ Its purpose is to empower both trained technicians and mechanically inclined owners to perform accurate diagnostics, execute repairs correctly, and ensure the equipment operates at peak efficiency, thereby extending its lifespan and preserving its value․ Accessing a Troy-Bilt Bronco service manual in PDF format makes this invaluable information readily available, facilitating informed and effective equipment care․

Importance of the Troy-Bilt Bronco Service Manual

The Troy-Bilt Bronco service manual is an indispensable resource for any owner, crucial for ensuring the longevity and optimal performance of their equipment․ Unlike basic operator guides, this comprehensive document provides detailed, technical insights necessary for proper maintenance and repair․ It empowers users, whether dealing with a Super Bronco, Bronco 12180, or other models, to confidently tackle various tasks․

Its importance lies in several key areas․ Firstly, it outlines essential service procedures, including engine service guidelines and off-season storage instructions, which are vital for preventing wear and tear․ Secondly, the manual offers an invaluable troubleshooting guide, helping owners diagnose and resolve common issues efficiently, thereby minimizing downtime and costly professional repairs․ Furthermore, it clarifies the function of controls and features, such as brake pedal functionality, ensuring safe and effective operation․ Detailed specifications and information on power composting features also enable users to fully understand their machine’s capabilities․ By adhering to the precise instructions within, owners can maintain their Troy-Bilt Bronco in peak condition, safeguarding their investment and maximizing productivity for years to come․ This manual transforms complex mechanical challenges into manageable tasks․

Locating Your Specific Manual

To find the correct Troy-Bilt Bronco service manual PDF, it’s essential to identify your specific model․ Owners of a Super Bronco, Bronco 12180, 644H-Bronco, or Tuffy 630CN will need different operator manuals for accurate information․

Troy-Bilt Super Bronco Operator Manual

The Troy-Bilt Super Bronco Operator Manual is an indispensable resource for anyone owning or operating this particular model of garden tiller․ Available often in PDF format, such as on platforms like ManualsLib․com (manual/939331/Troy-Bilt-Super-Bronco), it provides critical information essential for safe and efficient use․ Owners can navigate the manual starting with its detailed Table of Contents, typically found on page 2, which outlines the entire document’s structure and helps users quickly locate specific sections․ For instance, understanding the machine’s functionality is made easy with dedicated sections on Controls and Features, including crucial details about the Brake Pedal functionality, often located around page 50․ Beyond basic operation, the manual delves into vital maintenance aspects․ Comprehensive Service procedures are usually detailed around page 26, guiding users through routine checks and preventative care to ensure the Super Bronco’s longevity and peak performance․ Furthermore, for common issues, a dedicated Troubleshooting Guide is provided, often on page 30, offering practical solutions to diagnose and resolve operational problems without needing professional assistance․ This manual empowers owners with the knowledge required for effective self-service and optimal machine management․

Troy-Bilt Bronco 12180 Owners Manual

Furthermore, the manual offers comprehensive “Off-Season Storage” instructions, also found around page 24․ This guidance is indispensable for preparing your Bronco 12180 for periods of inactivity, preventing damage and ensuring it starts smoothly when needed again․ Critical information regarding the machine’s “Specifications” is also included, often highlighted on Manualzz․com, detailing engine size, dimensions, and operational capacities․ Owners will also find sections on unique features like “Power Composting,” explaining how to maximize the tiller’s capability for soil enrichment․ Adhering to these manual directives helps users maintain their 5 hp roto-tiller, ensuring reliable and efficient garden work for years to come․

Troy-Bilt 644H-Bronco Operators Manual

Moreover, the manual delves into the practical aspects of operating the 644H-Bronco, including how to maneuver the tiller across various terrains and adjust it for different gardening tasks․ It highlights essential safety warnings and precautions, empowering users to work securely and minimize risks․ Understanding the machine’s specific controls and features, as explained within the manual, is vital for precise handling and maximizing productivity․ This resource provides valuable tips for optimizing performance during everyday use, helping to achieve desired results․ Consulting this manual is fundamental for every 644H-Bronco owner to maintain optimal functionality and ensure a long, productive life for their equipment․

Troy-Bilt Tuffy 630CN Operators Manual

Furthermore, it covers the proper assembly of the Tuffy 630CN, which is particularly useful for new owners or after any disassembly for transport or repair․ Users will find detailed explanations of the tiller’s various controls and features, enabling them to operate the machine efficiently and effectively for different soil conditions and tasks․ Basic operational tips are included to help maintain peak performance and extend the lifespan of the equipment․ This manual acts as a fundamental reference for routine checks, offering guidance that helps prevent common issues․ Consulting this official manual is key for unlocking the full potential and ensuring the longevity of your Troy-Bilt Tuffy 630CN․

Understanding Your Bronco’s Operation

To ensure safe and efficient use of your Troy-Bilt Bronco, a thorough understanding of its operation is paramount․ This involves familiarizing yourself with all controls, features, and specific functionalities to maximize performance and maintain the equipment․

Table of Contents Navigation

Navigating the Troy-Bilt Bronco service manual PDF effectively begins with a comprehensive understanding of its table of contents; This crucial section, often found at the beginning, serves as your roadmap to all the vital information concerning your equipment․ For instance, in the Troy-Bilt Super Bronco Operator Manual, the table of contents is meticulously organized to guide owners through various operational and maintenance aspects․ Users can quickly locate chapters dedicated to understanding their machine’s controls and features, ensuring they grasp the fundamentals of its functionality․ Furthermore, specific entries for brake pedal functionality provide direct access to safety-critical information, while sections detailing specifications offer crucial technical data․ Power composting features, if applicable to your model, will also have their dedicated entries, allowing for efficient use of this capability․ Beyond operation, the table of contents facilitates finding essential service and maintenance schedules․ This includes general service procedures, detailed engine service guidelines, and critical off-season storage instructions to preserve the machine’s condition․ Lastly, a well-structured table of contents will prominently feature a troubleshooting guide, enabling swift diagnosis and resolution of common issues․ Utilizing this navigational tool proficiently saves time and ensures that operators can readily access the precise information needed for any task, from routine checks to more complex repairs, enhancing both safety and equipment longevity․

Controls and Features

The “Controls and Features” section within your Troy-Bilt Bronco service manual PDF is an indispensable resource for mastering the safe and efficient operation of your machine․ This part of the manual, frequently found on pages like page 50 of the Super Bronco Operator Manual, meticulously outlines every lever, button, and indicator on your equipment․ It guides you through the functions of the steering mechanism, throttle control, and ignition system, ensuring you understand how to start, stop, and maneuver the Bronco safely․ Additionally, it explains the operation of the deck height adjustment, power take-off (PTO) engagement, and any other implements or attachments your specific model may feature․ Understanding these controls is paramount for efficient and safe operation, preventing accidents or damage from misuse․ The manual also describes various integrated safety features, such as interlock systems that prevent the engine from starting or operating under unsafe conditions․ Familiarity with these features allows operators to quickly identify and utilize the correct controls for specific tasks, including mowing, tilling, or other landscaping duties․ This section includes clear diagrams and illustrations, providing visual references to help users locate and comprehend each control’s purpose and proper use, ensuring confident management of Troy-Bilt Bronco․

Brake Pedal Functionality

The brake pedal is a crucial safety and operational component on your Troy-Bilt Bronco, and its functionality is thoroughly explained within the service manual․ Typically detailed in sections alongside controls and features, such as those found on page 50 of the Troy-Bilt Super Bronco Operator Manual, understanding its proper use is vital for safe operation․ The primary purpose of the brake pedal is to bring the machine to a controlled stop, providing immediate deceleration when needed․ Beyond simple stopping, it often serves a dual role by engaging the parking brake mechanism, which is essential for securing the equipment when stationary, especially on inclines or during maintenance․ The manual will outline the correct procedure for depressing the pedal to activate the brakes and how to engage the parking brake lock, ensuring the Bronco remains immobile․ It also advises on checking the brake’s effectiveness and adjusting it if necessary, a critical maintenance step to ensure responsive braking․ Regular inspection of the brake system, including cables and pads, is generally recommended to maintain optimal stopping power and prevent wear-related issues․ Following these guidelines ensures the longevity of your brake system and, more importantly, the safety of the operator and surrounding environment․

Specifications Overview

A service manual’s “Specifications Overview” section provides critical data about your Troy-Bilt Bronco, essential for proper operation and maintenance․ This segment details key measurements, capacities, and technical characteristics specific to your model, whether it’s a Bronco 12180 or another variant․ For instance, the Bolens 12180 and Bronco 12180 manuals will clearly list engine horsepower, which for some roto-tiller models is noted as 5 hp․ It also includes information on fuel tank capacity, oil type and volume, tire pressure recommendations, and dimensions such as width, length, and height․ This section often covers specific component details, like spark plug gap settings, fuse ratings, and battery specifications․ Knowing these precise figures helps in ordering correct replacement parts and performing accurate adjustments, ensuring your equipment operates within its designed parameters․ The manual for a Troy-Bilt Bronco 12180, for example, provides a detailed breakdown of its powertrain, including transmission type and gear ratios․ Understanding these specifications is fundamental for troubleshooting and ensuring any service performed adheres to manufacturer guidelines, preventing damage and maintaining warranty validity․ Always refer to your specific manual for the most accurate, model-appropriate specifications․

Power Composting Features

The “Power Composting Features” section within a Troy-Bilt Bronco service manual, particularly for models like the Bronco 12180, highlights the equipment’s specialized capabilities for organic material processing․ These features are designed to efficiently break down garden waste, crop residues, and other organic matter directly into the soil․ This process, often referred to as “tilling in” or “soil conditioning,” enriches the earth, improving its structure and nutrient content․ Typically, power composting involves the tiller’s robust tines aggressively chopping and mixing organic debris into the top layers of soil․ This accelerates decomposition, turning green waste into valuable compost quickly and effectively․ Features might include adjustable tilling depths, allowing users to incorporate materials at various levels, and powerful engine designs that maintain consistent tine speed even when processing dense loads․ The design often emphasizes optimal tine rotation and spacing to ensure thorough mixing and aeration, creating an ideal environment for microbial activity․ Utilizing these features helps gardeners and landscapers recycle organic waste on-site, reducing the need for external fertilizers and contributing to sustainable land management practices․ The manual will guide users on how to best engage these features for maximum composting efficiency, detailing proper techniques for integrating different types of organic materials into the soil․

Essential Service and Maintenance

To ensure the longevity and optimal performance of your Troy-Bilt Bronco, following the essential service and maintenance guidelines is crucial․ Regular upkeep, as detailed in the service manual, prevents issues and preserves your equipment’s efficiency for years of reliable operation․

General Service Procedures

Adhering to the general service procedures outlined in your Troy-Bilt Bronco service manual is fundamental for maintaining its operational efficiency and extending its lifespan․ These routine checks and tasks form the backbone of proper equipment care, preventing minor issues from escalating into major repairs․ Typically, general service includes a thorough cleaning of the unit, removing accumulated dirt, grass, and debris from the deck, engine cooling fins, and other critical areas to prevent overheating and corrosion․ Lubrication of all moving parts, such as pivot points, cables, and linkages, with appropriate grease or oil, is essential to reduce friction and wear․ Regularly inspecting and tightening fasteners, nuts, and bolts across the entire machine ensures structural integrity․ Furthermore, checking tire pressure, inspecting the condition of tires for cuts or excessive wear, and verifying proper brake pedal functionality are all vital for safe and effective use․ The manual will also guide you through the inspection of drive belts for cracks or fraying and their correct tension, along with ensuring the proper functioning of all safety interlock systems․ These systematic procedures collectively contribute to reliable performance, helping you to identify and address potential problems proactively, minimizing downtime and costly professional interventions․ Consistent application of these general service steps will keep your Troy-Bilt Bronco running smoothly season after season․

Engine Service Guidelines


Maintaining the engine of your Troy-Bilt Bronco is paramount for its longevity and reliable operation․ The service manual provides detailed engine service guidelines, which typically begin with regular oil changes․ It is crucial to check the engine oil level before each use and change the oil according to the recommended intervals, often specified in hours of operation or seasonally․ This ensures proper lubrication and prevents premature wear․ Another key aspect is the air filter; inspect it frequently and clean or replace it when dirty to maintain optimal engine performance and prevent contaminants from entering the engine․ A clogged air filter can significantly reduce power and increase fuel consumption․ Spark plug maintenance is also vital; check the spark plug for wear and proper gap, replacing it as needed to ensure efficient ignition․ The fuel system requires attention too․ Use fresh fuel and consider a fuel stabilizer for periods of non-use to prevent fuel degradation and carburetor issues․ Periodically inspect fuel lines for cracks or leaks and ensure the fuel filter is clean․ For models with a battery, check its terminals for corrosion and ensure it holds a charge․ Following these specific engine service guidelines from your Troy-Bilt Bronco manual, such as those found in the Bronco 12180 Owners Manual page 24, will help prevent common engine problems and ensure your equipment remains in top working condition for years to come, offering consistent power for all your tasks․

Off-Season Storage Instructions

Proper off-season storage is crucial for your Troy-Bilt Bronco’s longevity and reliable starting․ Consult your manual, like the Troy-Bilt Bronco 12180 Owners Manual Page 24, for specific steps․ First, address the fuel system: drain all fuel or add a stabilizer, then run the engine briefly․ This prevents degradation and gumming, common starting issues․ Thoroughly clean the machine, removing all dirt, grass, and debris from the engine, deck, and tines to prevent corrosion․ Change the engine oil and filter; inspect or replace the spark plug for optimal ignition․ Lubricate all grease points and moving parts to inhibit rust․ If equipped with a battery, remove it, clean terminals, and store in a cool, dry place, ideally trickle-charging․ Finally, store your Bronco in a dry, protected area, covered with a breathable cover․ These instructions ensure your equipment remains in excellent condition, ready for spring․

Troubleshooting Guide

When your Troy-Bilt Bronco encounters an issue, the troubleshooting guide in its service manual is an invaluable resource for diagnosing and resolving problems efficiently․ Manuals, such as the Troy-Bilt Super Bronco Operators Manual, often dedicate specific sections, like page 30, to help users identify the root cause of malfunctions․ This section typically outlines common symptoms, such as an engine that won’t start, inconsistent power, or unusual noises, alongside potential causes and recommended solutions․

The guide provides a systematic approach, often presented in a question-and-answer format or as a diagnostic chart․ For instance, if your Bronco fails to start, the guide might walk you through checking the fuel level, spark plug condition, or battery charge․ It empowers owners to perform basic diagnostics and minor repairs, potentially saving time and money on professional service․ By following these structured steps, you can often pinpoint whether a problem is simple to fix, like replacing a clogged air filter, or requires more advanced attention․ It’s an essential tool for maintaining operational readiness and preventing small issues from escalating into major repairs․

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Wall Street Starts Off 2026 With a Bang!

Pension Pulse -

Rian Howlett , Karen Friar and Ines Ferré of Yahoo Finance report Dow, S&P 500 jump to records, Nasdaq surges as stocks end 2026's first week with big gains: 

US stocks rose to all-time highs on Friday as investors assessed the December jobs report to end a jam-packed first full trading week of 2026.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) gained 0.6%, notching a new record. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose around 0.5% to also post an all-time high close. The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) jumped 0.8%, marking a winning week for all three major averages.

Markets on Friday were focused on two potential catalysts: the December jobs report and the chance of a decision from the Supreme Court on the legality of Trump's sweeping tariffs.

The nonfarm payrolls report, which returned to its normal cadence following disruptions from the government shutdown, showed the US added 50,000 jobs in December. Payroll growth fell short of economists' expectations of about 70,000 positions added, sealing bets that the Federal Reserve will stand pat on interest rates in less than three weeks.

The unemployment rate declined to 4.4%, from 4.6% in November, carrying 2025's labor market theme of a “no-hire, no-fire” economy through the end of the year.

Wall Street was also on alert for a tariffs ruling from the Supreme Court, which could carry huge implications for US economic strategy if the levies are found to be unlawful. Friday came and went without a decision. The court indicated its next opinion day would come Wednesday, Jan. 14.

Meanwhile, investors are weighing the latest developments in the US moves on Venezuela. Trump said he has canceled a second wave of attacks in the country, citing cooperation over US plans to rebuild its crumbling energy infrastructure. The White House has called a meeting with global oil majors on Friday to discuss the fate of Venezuela's huge reserves.

On the home front, Trump said he has directed Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae to buy $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities, in a bid to lower mortgage rates and address growing affordability concerns. Markets are assessing the potential fallout, given details around that plan remain unclear. 

Sean Conlon and Pia Singh of CNBC also report the S&P 500 ends Friday with another record close, scores a winning week: 

The S&P 500 rose to new highs on Friday, notching a weekly gain, following the release of the latest jobs report.

The broad market index closed up 0.65% to 6,966.28, a fresh record close. It also notched a new all-time intraday high in the session. The Nasdaq Composite gained 0.81% to 23,671.35. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 237.96 points, or 0.48%, to end at 49,504.07, scoring a new closing record as well.

The three major averages posted a winning week. The S&P 500 is up more than 1% week to date, while the Dow and Nasdaq have each jumped roughly 2%.

The December jobs report showed nonfarm payrolls increasing by 50,000 last month, less than the 73,000 that economists polled by Dow Jones had estimated. That data, though slightly weaker than expected, showed a U.S. economy that’s still trudging along, with investors anticipating that growth will ramp up.

The unemployment rate inched down to 4.4%, while economists had forecast 4.5%. Traders took that as a sign that improvement in the economy would happen soon.

Considering the latest payrolls data alongside the JOLTS and ADP reports released this week, Anthony Saglimbene of Ameriprise Financial believes the consensus around the U.S. employment backdrop is that it has “softened” but is also “remaining firm.” This reflects a “low-hire, low-fire” environment, he added.

“What could have been a risk is that you could have seen employment fall off a little bit more than expected, and I think that would have maybe kind of concerned investors,” the chief market strategist said. “We get through the week on the employment side with mostly as-expected numbers, which I think is a positive.”

The December report was the first month of jobs figures unaffected by the record-setting U.S. government shutdown. That stoppage posed data collection challenges for the Bureau of Labor Statistics with regards to October and November: The agency said that a full October jobs report wouldn’t be released, and the November report was delayed.

“This nonfarm payrolls report is the first report in a couple months that the data is clean,” Saglimbene said. “Looking at these numbers, it suggests that the Fed probably doesn’t need to cut in January, and maybe they don’t need to cut in March as well.”

Shares of homebuilders supported the broader market Friday after President Donald Trump directed “representatives” to buy mortgage bonds as a way to drive rates down for homebuyers. D.R. Horton jumped more than 6%, as did PulteGroup. Lennar advanced more than 7%. Home improvement stocks such as Home Depot also gained.

Stan Choe of the Associated Press also reports Wall Street rises to more records after unemployment rate improves:

U.S. stocks hit records Friday following a mixed report on the U.S. job market, one that may delay another cut to interest rates by the Federal Reserve but does not slam the door on it.

The S&P 500 climbed 0.6% and topped its prior all-time high set earlier in the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 237 points, or 0.5%, and likewise set a record, while the Nasdaq composite led the market with a 0.8% gain.

The moves came after the U.S. Labor Department said employers hired fewer workers during December than economists expected, though the unemployment rate improved and was better than expected. It reinforced how the U.S. job market may be in a “ low-hire, low-fire” state and may hopefully avoid a recession.

On Wall Street, power company Vistra soared 10.5% to help lead the market after signing a 20-year deal to provide electricity from three of its nuclear plants to Meta Platforms. Big Tech companies have been signing a string of such deals to electrify the data centers powering their moves into artificial-intelligence technology.

Oklo jumped 7.9% after saying it also signed a deal with Meta Platforms that will help it secure nuclear fuel and advance its project to build a facility in Pike County, Ohio. 

Homebuilders and other companies involved in the housing market were strong in their first trading after President Donald Trump announced a plan to lower mortgage rates. Trump on late Thursday called for the purchase of $200 billion in mortgage bonds, similar to how the Fed in the past has bought bonds backed by mortgages to bring down mortgage rates.

Builders FirstSource, a supplier of building products, jumped 12% for one of the biggest gains in the S&P 500 along with Vistra. Among homebuilders, Lennar rallied 8.9%, D.R. Horton climbed 7.8% and PulteGroup rose 7.3%.

They helped offset a 2.7% drop for General Motors. The auto giant said it will take a $6 billion hit to its results for the last three months of 2025 related to its pullback from electric vehicles. That’s on top of the $1.6 billion in charges GM took in the prior quarter. Fewer tax incentives and easier fuel-emission regulations have been eating into demand for EVs. 

WD-40 tumbled 6.6% after reporting a weaker profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected. Chief Financial Officer Sara Hyzer said the soft numbers were primarily because of timing issues, not weaker demand from end customers, and the company stood by its financial forecasts for the upcoming year.

All told, the S&P 500 rose 44.82 points to 6,966.28. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 237.96 to 49,504.07, and the Nasdaq composite climbed 191.33 to 23,671.35.

In the bond market, Treasury yields were mixed.

Friday’s improvement in the unemployment rate was enough to get traders to ratchet back expectations for a cut to interest rates at the Fed’s next meeting, which is scheduled for later this month. Traders are now forecasting just a 5% chance of that, down from 11% a day before, according to data from CME Group. 

But traders nevertheless still largely expect the Fed to cut rates at least twice this upcoming year.

Whether they’re correct carries high stakes for financial markets. Lower interest rates can goose the economy and push up prices for investments, though they can also worsen inflation at the same time. And inflation has stubbornly remained above the Fed’s 2% target.

“Until the data provide a clearer direction, a divided Fed is likely to stay that way,” according to Ellen Zentner, chief economic strategist for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. “Lower rates are likely coming this year, but the markets may have to be patient.”

The yield on the 10-year Treasury eased to 4.16% from 4.19% late Thursday. It tends to track expectations for longer-term economic growth and inflation.

The two-year Treasury yield, which more closely tracks forecasts for what the Fed will do with short-term interest rates in the near term, rose to 3.53% from 3.49%.

A separate report released Friday morning suggested sentiment among U.S. consumers is strengthening, particularly among lower-income households. Perhaps more importantly for the Fed, the preliminary report from the University of Michigan also said expectations for inflation in the coming 12 months may be at their lowest level in a year. That could give it more freedom to cut interest rates. 

Hopes for both lower interest rates and a solid economy have helped other areas of the stock market climb recently, wresting leadership away from the Big Tech and AI stocks that dominated the market for years. The smaller stocks in the Russell 2000, for example, climbed 4.6% this week, much more than the 1.6% rise of the S&P 500.

In stock markets abroad, indexes rose across much of Europe and Asia.

The French CAC 40 climbed 1.4%, and Japan’s Nikkei 225 jumped 1.6% for two of the world’s bigger gains

Alright, busy first week of trading so let me get right to it.

First,  as shown below, the Consumer Discretionary sector led the S&P sectors this week, surging 5.8%, followed by Materials (+4.8%) and Industrials (+2.5%):


Amazon (AMZN) makes up 23% of the Consumer Discretrionary sector (Tesla makes up 21%) and it surged 9% this week, inching closer to its 52-week high:

Remember, Amazon was a laggard last year among the Mag-7 and almost everyone on Wall Street expects it to come back strong this year.

While Amazon's performance this week was impressive, there were other more impressive top performing US large cap stocks over the past 5 sessions:


Once again, Chinese biotech Regencell Biotech Holdings led the pack higher after gaining a jaw-dropping 17,500% last year, but many other stocks caught my attention this week.

Like what? Like Kratos Defense (KTOS), Oklo (OKLO), Bloom Energy (BE), Sandisk (SNDK), Applied Digital Corp (APLD), Nuscal Power Corp (SMR), Victoria's Secret (VSCO), Lam Research Corp (LCRX), Microchip Technology (MCHP) and Intel (INTC) (see full list here).

Interestingly, despite the whole Venezuela attack, energy stocks were not among the very top gainers but some did very well like SLB (SLB), Valero (VLO) and Haliburton (HAL).

Basically, oil service stocks and refiners that will benefit as Venezuela fixes its decrepit oil infrastructure.

If anything, this week was a strong week for a number of industries as performance was spread out among a number of them: defense, homebuilders, mining, tech, etc.

I truly believe 2026 will be a stock picker's year but it will not be easy and I expect a lot of volatility.

Once again, this year will reward nimble traders who know how to navigate the noise.

And you can't just look at US large caps this year, check out this week's top performing mid and small cap stocks (full list here and here):


 

A lot of biotechs I track closely took off this week, powering the small cap Russell 2000 index up almost 5%.

In fact, the 5-year weekly charts of the S&P Biotech ETF (XBI) and Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) are making new highs and looking great here (buy every dip as long as it remains above 10-week exp moving avg):


 

There are a lot of biotechs that don't figure into the indices and doing spectacular already and I foresee others taking off as news comes in, so be mindful that it's an industry where experts perform best.

I'll give you one example that took off this week, MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX) after the FDA cleared existing SLK data For HS BLA Path. Stock was trading at cash levels after the huge dump back in October:


Didn't take a genius to take risk at those levels (welcome to the wacky world of biotech). 

Alright, let me end this comment by stating I didn't feel like writing a long Outlook 2026 this year mostly because I've been spectacularly wrong in previous years and so have many others.

We know this year will be a continuation of last year, AI will remain a dominant theme, expect a fever pitch when OpenAI goes public.

We also know SpaceX will file for an IPO and that too is positive for Risk On markets. 

But as the first week of the year taught us, there are many unknowns including the Supreme Court's decision on tariffs due out next week and a lot more in geopolitics and markets.

Remember my advice, stay nimble and sweep the table when up big (trim positions).

Also, as far a the broadening trade, keep an eye on the S&P Equal Weight ETF (RSP) as it keeps making a new high (extremely bullish): 


 Below, former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the December jobs report, impact on the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.

Also, CNBC's "Closing Bell" team discusses markets, investment strategy and more with Rich Saperstein, founding principal and chief investment officer of Treasury Partners.

Third, CNBC’s “Power Lunch” team discusses markets and the AI trade with Julian Emanuel of Evercore ISI.

Fourth, CNBC’s “Power Lunch” team discusses health care and pharma stocks as momentum in the sector builds with Jared Holz of Mizuho.

Lastly, CNBC's "Closing Bell" team discusses whether the market technicals indicate that stocks can go higher and more with Jeff deGraaf, chairman and head of technical research at Renaissance Macro Research.

December jobs report shows a decidedly weaker labor market than a year ago

EPI -

Below, EPI senior economist Elise Gould offers her insights on the jobs report released this morning, which showed 50,000 jobs added in December. Read the full thread here

 

Today’s #JobsReport tells us the economy is decidedly weaker than a year ago:
-unemployment rate is 4.4%, up from 4.1% last Dec
-payroll employment up 50k; total gain this year only 585k compared to 2.0 million in 2024
-federal employment is down 277k since Jan, a loss of 9.2% federal jobs
#EconSky

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— Elise Gould (@elisegould.bsky.social) Jan 9, 2026 at 7:47 AM

The slowdown in job growth this year is stark compared to 2024. The average monthly gain was only 49,000 in 2025 compared to 168,000 in 2024. Over the last three months, average job growth was actually negative, meaning there are fewer jobs now than in September.

#NumbersDay #EconSky

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— Elise Gould (@elisegould.bsky.social) Jan 9, 2026 at 8:05 AM

Leisure and hospitality gained 47k jobs in Dec after falling in Nov. Health care and social assistance continue to add jobs. Retail jobs fell along with construction, professional and business services, and manufacturing. Manufacturing has lost jobs every month over the last 8, down 72k since April.

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— Elise Gould (@elisegould.bsky.social) Jan 9, 2026 at 8:20 AM

Attacks on the federal workforce were astounding in 2025. Federal employment has shrunk an alarming 277,000 since January. The vital services federal employees provide cannot be done without these essential workers. The cost of these losses are only beginning to be felt.
#EconSky #NumbersDay

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— Elise Gould (@elisegould.bsky.social) Jan 9, 2026 at 8:29 AM

The unemployment rate is higher than at the start of the year (4.4% vs 4.0%). Black unemployment (7.5%) is far higher than any other group and up since in Jan (6.2%). Unemployment rise was worst for Black women (7.8% in Dec vs 5.4% in Jan). See www.epi.org/blog/whats-b… for more context.
#EconSky

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— Elise Gould (@elisegould.bsky.social) Jan 9, 2026 at 8:49 AM

 

The unemployment rate for U.S. born workers is up over the last year as well, from 3.7% in December 2024 to 4.1% in December 2025, evidence against the myth that the slowdown in the labor market in 2025 was limited to immigrants.

— Elise Gould (@elisegould.bsky.social) Jan 9, 2026 at 9:03 AM

La Caisse Teams Up With Oakley Capital, Takes a Minority Stake in GLAS

Pension Pulse -

Private Equity Insights reports Oakley Capital takes majority stake in GLAS alongside La Caisse:

Oakley Capital has agreed to acquire a majority stake in Global Loan Agency Services, strengthening its exposure to infrastructure supporting the fast-growing private credit market

The investment will be made alongside a minority stake from Canadian pension fund La Caisse.

The UK-based private equity firm said its fund will contribute up to £55m, equivalent to about $73.9m, for its share of the transaction. Financial terms and the overall valuation of GLAS were not disclosed. However, Reuters reported last year that a sale of the business could value the company at around £1bn, or approximately $1.34bn.

The stake is being acquired from US buyout firm Levine Leichtman Capital, which confirmed it has sold its holding in GLAS for an undisclosed sum. Levine Leichtman acquired its stake in the business in 2022 and will retain a small shareholding following the transaction.

Founded in 2011 and headquartered in London, GLAS provides administration services across the debt markets, including private credit, leveraged finance, capital markets, and bankruptcy proceedings. The company administers more than $700bn of assets, according to its website.

Oakley said GLAS founder and chief executive Mia Drennan will continue to lead the company alongside the existing management team. Commenting on the transaction, Drennan said: “Oakley has a strong track record supporting global market leaders, and we are excited about the opportunities this partnership, alongside La Caisse, will unlock for GLAS.”

The deal underscores continued private equity interest in specialist services businesses linked to private credit and leveraged finance, as assets under management across alternative lending strategies continue to expand globally.

La Caisse issued a press release stating it is investing alongside Oakley Capital in institutional debt administration provider GLAS:

Oakley Capital, a leading mid-market private equity investor, is pleased to announce it is acquiring a majority stake in GLAS (“Global Loan Agency Services”), a leading, global provider of loan administration and bond trustee services. Oakley is investing alongside La Caisse (formerly CDPQ) which has acquired a minority position, as well as Levine Leichtman Capital Partners who will retain a small stake in the business.

Founded by Mia Drennan and Brian Carne in 2011, London-headquartered GLAS offers a wide range of administration and trustee services for the credit markets, including private credit and leveraged finance. The company oversees the lifecycle administration of debt instruments, including transaction execution, interest determination, cash flow coordination and stakeholder communications, underpinned by regulatory and structural requirements for independent agency providers. Operating with over 450 employees across 16 offices in Europe, America, APAC and Middle East, GLAS services a portfolio of over $750 billion across its global platform.

The global private credit market which GLAS serves today exceeds $2.4 trillion in AUM and is expected to surpass $4.5 trillion by 2030, supported by healthy fundraising momentum into the asset class from a wide array of institutional and retail investors, as well as continued diversification into broader credit segments, including infrastructure, asset-backed and specialty finance. Against this backdrop, GLAS benefits from high barriers to entry and strong recurring revenues, driven by regulatory licensing requirements and the rising need for sustained investment in technology.

In recent years, GLAS has enjoyed 40% organic revenue growth thanks to its premier service, its global tech-enabled platform, and strong relationships with leading lenders and law firms. The company has also benefitted from its ability to support complex transactions, including restructurings and multi-jurisdictional mega loans.

GLAS will continue to be led by CEO and Founder Mia Drennan, alongside her existing executive management team, Ethan Levner CFO and Joanne Brooks, CCO. Oakley will support GLAS to accelerate growth through international expansion, M&A and the continued development of the company’s technology and AI offering.

Peter Dubens, Oakley Capital Co-Founder and Managing Partner, said: “Mia has successfully built a global leader in the market for debt administration, a market with strong and attractive growth characteristics. We are pleased to be partnering with such an accomplished entrepreneur and look forward to supporting the next phase of GLAS’ growth.”

Martin Longchamps, La Caisse Executive Vice-President and Head of Private Equity and Private Credit, said: “GLAS sits at the heart of the fast-growing private credit ecosystem. Its global presence, technology leadership, and deeply embedded relationships with leading clients make it an asset well positioned for continued growth. We look forward to partnering with Oakley and GLAS to support the platform’s next successful chapter.”

GLAS Founder and CEO Mia Drennan, said: “We wanted to work with a like-minded partner with an entrepreneurial approach and a reputation for working successfully with founders. Oakley has a strong track record supporting global market leaders, and we are excited about the opportunities this partnership, alongside La Caisse, will unlock for GLAS.”

ABOUT OAKLEY CAPITAL

Oakley Capital was founded 20 years ago to be the partner of choice for exceptional founders and entrepreneurs. We back private, pan-European businesses with an enterprise value from €100m to €1bln+, acquiring control or co-control stakes and supporting complex deals such as carve‑outs.

We have a diverse team of over 200 professionals working across five locations, including London, Munich, Milan, Madrid, and Luxembourg, offering us genuine European reach and local cultural expertise.

Our unique origination capabilities help us unearth attractive opportunities across our four core sectors: Technology, Business Services, Digital Consumer and Education. We focus on building long-lasting, repeat partnerships with exceptional founders, many of whom go on to invest in our funds. www.oakleycapital.com

ABOUT LA CAISSE

At La Caisse, formerly CDPQ, we have invested for 60 years with a dual mandate: generate optimal long term returns for our 48 depositors, who represent over 6 million Quebecers, and contribute to Québec’s economic development.

As a global investment group, we are active in the major financial markets, private equity, infrastructure, real estate and private credit. As at June 30, 2025, La Caisse’s net assets totalled CAD 496 billion. For more information, visit lacaisse.com or consult our LinkedIn or Instagram pages. 

GLAS also issued a press release stating it entered 2026 with two new strategic partners: 

London (5th JANUARY, 2025)

GLAS enters 2026 with two new strategic partners: Oakley Capital, a leading European mid-market private equity firm, and La Caisse, one of Canada’s largest institutional investors (formerly CDPQ). This partnership sets the stage for GLAS’ next phase of growth.

Under the agreement, Oakley has acquired a majority stake in GLAS from Levine Leichtman Capital Partners (LLCP). La Caisse takes a minority position, and LLCP retains a small stake. Together, the investors will help GLAS accelerate international expansion, pursue M&A, and continue enhancing its technology and AI capabilities.

Founded with just £6,000 of capital in late 2011 by Mia Drennan and Brian Carne, GLAS is a global provider of loan administration and bond trustee services. With an international platform spanning the UK, Europe, the Americas, APAC, and the Middle East, GLAS manages over $750 billion in assets.

The private credit market it serves exceeds $2.4 trillion and is expected to surpass $4.5 trillion by 2030.

We wanted a like-minded partner with an entrepreneurial approach and a reputation for working successfully with founders and management teams,” said GLAS CEO and Founder Mia Drennan. “Oakley’s track record in supporting global market leaders, alongside La Caisse’s expertise, will unlock exciting opportunities for GLAS to become a multi-billion-pound platform in the future.” 

Peter Dubens, Oakley Capital Co-Founder and Managing Partner, added: “Mia has successfully built a global leader in the market for debt administration, a market with strong and attractive growth characteristics. We are pleased to be partnering with such an accomplished entrepreneur and look forward to supporting the next phase of GLAS’ growth.” 

Martin Longchamps, La Caisse Executive Vice-President and Head of Private Equity and Private Credit, commented: “GLAS sits at the heart of the fast-growing private credit ecosystem. Its global presence, technology leadership, and deeply embedded relationships with leading clients make it an asset well positioned for continued growth. We look forward to partnering with Oakley and GLAS to support the platform’s next successful chapter.” 

GLAS will continue to be led by Mia Drennan, alongside the existing executive team, including Ethan Levner, Chief Financial Officer, and Joanne Brooks, Chief Commercial Officer.

More information can be found on Oakley Capital’s announcement here.

Oakley Capital’s full press release can be found here.

La Caisse’s announcement can be found here.

Levine Leichtman Capital Partners’ full announcement can be found here.

About GLAS

GLAS was established in 2011 as an independent provider of institutional debt administration services. The company was originally created to provide the market a willing participant in complex loan restructuring transactions where many large institutions are reluctant to take swift and cooperative action. It offers a wide range of administration services developed specifically for the debt market.

GLAS is recognised as the premier independent, non-creditor, conflict-free provider of loan agency and bond trustee services, with excess of $700bn of assets under administration on a daily basis. For more information, contact media@glas.agency.

This is another excellent co-investment by La Caisse, taking a minority stake in a fast-growing company in a red hot segment of the debt market.

GLAS is a quite an impressive company. From its press release:

Founded with just £6,000 of capital in late 2011 by Mia Drennan and Brian Carne, GLAS is a global provider of loan administration and bond trustee services. With an international platform spanning the UK, Europe, the Americas, APAC, and the Middle East, GLAS manages over $750 billion in assets

Its founder, Mia Drennan (see top of post), was featured in the Times stating she wanted to be a fighter pilot but instead set up one of the biggest global loan agencies. 

Ms. Drennan is the founder and  CEO, has an impressive resume and a list of accomplishments which you can read here including EY Entrepreneur of the Year (2025).

The company is set to grow as the private debt market takes off. 

From La Caisse's press release:

The global private credit market which GLAS serves today exceeds $2.4 trillion in AUM and is expected to surpass $4.5 trillion by 2030, supported by healthy fundraising momentum into the asset class from a wide array of institutional and retail investors, as well as continued diversification into broader credit segments, including infrastructure, asset-backed and specialty finance

The addition of these two strategic investors will allow GLAS to expand its global presence and operations. 

Martin Longchamps, La Caisse Executive Vice-President and Head of Private Equity and Private Credit, commented: 

“GLAS sits at the heart of the fast-growing private credit ecosystem. Its global presence, technology leadership, and deeply embedded relationships with leading clients make it an asset well positioned for continued growth. We look forward to partnering with Oakley and GLAS to support the platform’s next successful chapter.”  

Well done, Oakley and La Caisse will help GLAS realize its next growth trajectory.

Below, GLAS founder and CEO Mia Drennan sits down with AccessFintech's Cory Olsen to discuss setting up a business in the world of fax's and women within the industry (August, 2024).

Also, in this episode of the London Fintech Podcast, host Tony Clark sits down with Mia Drennan, co-founder and executive chair of GLAS, to discuss leadership and innovation in global financial services (July 2025).

Lastly, Georgie Frost of Business reporter sits down with Mia Drennan to discuss GLAS's success (November 2025). 

Very interesting discussions, this lady and the company she founded is quite impressive.

HOOPP Appoints Chantale Pelletier as Head of Global Infrastructure

Pension Pulse -

On Tuesday, HOOPP announced on LinkedIn the appointment of Chantale Pelletier as Senior Managing Director & Head of Global Infrastructure.

With more than 25 years of experience in infrastructure investing and financial services, Chantale will lead our infrastructure investment program and play an important role in advancing our investment approach, helping to deliver long-term value for members.

There was no formal announcement on HOOPP's website, only on LinkedIn.

However, HOOPP did put a profile of Chantale on its website as she already started working there:

Chantale Pelletier joined HOOPP in January 2026 as Senior Managing Director and Head of Global Infrastructure. In this role, she leads the Fund’s global infrastructure investment program and plays a key role in advancing HOOPP’s Total Portfolio Approach, supporting integrated, long-term value creation across the portfolio.

Chantale brings more than 25 years of experience as a senior investment executive in infrastructure and private markets, with a career spanning global institutional investing and asset management platforms. She has been involved in building, scaling, and managing global infrastructure portfolios across renewables and energy transition, transport and mobility, digital infrastructure, utilities, and other essential services. Her experience includes portfolio construction, capital allocation, risk management, governance, and value creation.

Prior to joining HOOPP, Chantale held senior executive roles with global asset management firms, including Global Head of Infrastructure at Fidelity International and President and Chief Executive Officer of Schroders Capital Management (France), with responsibility for global infrastructure investment strategy and oversight.

She previously spent more than 20 years at Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec (CDPQ), where she held senior leadership roles and contributed to the development and growth of the organization’s global infrastructure investment platform.

Chantale brings extensive board and governance experience across infrastructure and industrial sectors, including board service at Keolis, Eurostar, Fluxys, Plenary Group, London Array, Budapest Airport, Pomerleau and Previan.

Chantale began her career at Deloitte as a Consultant in Financial Services. She holds a Bachelor of Business Administration in Finance from HEC. 

This is a big nomination for a very important and rapidly growing asset class at HOOPP so it deserves my full attention and yours as well.

Let me begin by congratulating Chantale for this appointment. She has a very impressive background and is now responsible for a very important asset class at HOOPP. 

She looks awfully familiar to me from my days at La Caisse years ago but I'm getting old and my mind plays tricks on me sometimes so I'm not sure if we crossed paths.

Chantale is replacing Stephen Smith who is retiring form the organization after 15 years there and helped build HOOPP Infrastructure from nothing via partnerships and co-investments.

Importantly, prior to the pandemic, HOOPP hardly invested in infrastructure and  was a huge laggard in the asset class compared to its Maple 8 peers.

It didn't detract from its performance which is stellar and leads the Maple 8 over a 20-year period but HOOPP was always known as a massive LDI/ liquid absolute return shop with a huge fixed income portfolio and decent real estate and private equity portfolio, not for its infrastructure portfolio which took hold under former CEO Jeff Wendling's watch.

And now that Annesley Wallace is the CEO, given her experience in running one of the best and biggest infrastructure portfolios in the world at OMERS, I'm not surprised she is keenly focused to take this portfolio to another level.

I'm certain it was Annesley who hired Chantale for this position even if she will be reporting to CIO Michael Wissell (all investment heads report to him, unless Chantale reports to Annesley).

Why? Because Michael previously worked at OTPP and if he was the person hiring, I pretty much know who he would have chosen, a former colleague of his that we both respect.

But Annesley is the boss and she knows infrastructure extremely well and knows where she wants to take it. I'm certain she chose Chantale because she trusts her and feels confident this is the right person with the right experience and qualifications to deliver on the mandate.

From HOOPP's 2024 annual report:

Infrastructure investing encompasses the facilities, services and installations considered essential to the functioning and economic productivity of a society. HOOPP Infrastructure (HI) aims to deliver attractive, sustainable returns through high-value and long-duration investments in sectors such as communications and data, power generation and transmission, energy, transportation and utilities. HI is executing on this mandate through a combination of direct deals, a small number of private infrastructure funds and related co-investments.

In 2024, HI delivered an annual hedged return of 12.3%. Net asset value grew $1.8 billion, reaching $7.6 billion or approximately 6% of the Fund by year end

HI’s largest and longest-held assets in the transportation, utilities and communications and data sectors were key contributors to the $776 million return. HI’s fund investments performed consistently, and in line with expectations, with each fund’s respective development stage, delivering solid returns from a highly diversified portfolio of assets.

The infrastructure asset class continues to evolve and be influenced by major changes in capital flows and increases in the capital needs of infrastructure businesses. Over time, these changes should lead to more favourable investment conditions in the asset class.

Now, $7.6 billion out of $123 billion at the end of 2024 represents 6% of the total fund which is decent but still way below its peers that typically have 15% or more in infrastructure.

For example, OMERS Infrastructure now headed up by Michael Hill manages close to $40 billion in assets out of a total $140 billion for the fund (see 2024 figures here).  That represents just under 30% of total assets and is a huge contributor to OMERS' long-term success.

I clearly remember a conversation I had a years ago with former CEO Jim Keohane where he praised OMERS' infrastructure portfolio saying it was one of the best in the world but he also told me that valuations in the asset class were sky high and he didn't want to rush in there, choosing his spots selectively.

Jeff Wendling who succeeded Jim had a more concrete plan for infrastructure and worked closely with Michael Wissell and Stephen Smith to scale up that asset class. 

But now it has to go from 6% of total assets to 15% over time so I'm interested in chatting with Annesley when I get the opportunity to see how they will grow that asset class. 

Again, Annesley Wallace had a lot to do with the success of OMERS' infrastructure portfolio, it's an asset class she knows extremely well and one of the reasons HOOPP's board of directors appointed her CEO, so it's normal that she wants to be implicated in that portfolio along with Michael Wissell and now Chantale Pelletier who will be directly responsible for it.

[Note: I was told Annesley didn't move into Jeff Wendling's old office, preferring a smaller one where she initially worked on the same floor with the investment team. She wants to be close to the investment group.] 

I suspect partnerships and co-investments will continue in the near term but as the asset class grows, expect more direct deals there.

It takes time, infrastructure is an asset class that can't be scald up over night, and you need the right strategy.

Alright, let me wrap it up, hope my comments weren't too controversial, I call it like I see it and cut to the chase (if I'm wrong or overstepping/ over-conjecturing, Scott White will put me in my place). 

Lastly, HOOPP recently issued a press release stating it has surpassed the 500,000-membership mark, an important milestone that reflects HOOPP’s growth and ongoing evolution with Ontario’s healthcare sector:

“For over 65 years, HOOPP has been helping our members retire with confidence,” said Annesley Wallace, HOOPP’s President and CEO. “Surpassing 500,000 members reflects the trust the healthcare community has placed in us, and it underscores the value the Plan delivers. We remain committed to our pension promise and building a stronger financial future for Ontario healthcare workers.”

The half million membership includes more than 300,000 active members – one of the highest active-to-retired ratios among Canada’s major pension plans. These numbers reinforce the strength and long-term stability of HOOPP and its ability to deliver secure, reliable pensions for decades to come. It also marks important progress toward the goals in HOOPP’s Strategic Plan, including having more than 600,000 members and 1,000 employers by 2030.

HOOPP surpassed 500,000 members in late December when the Hospital for Sick Children (SickKids) officially joined the Plan, meaning every hospital in Ontario is now a participating employer. HOOPP ended 2025 with more than 850 participating employers and remains the pension plan of choice for the province’s health care sector.

The addition of SickKids welcomed more than 6,500 new members. Registered Nurse Erica O’Keefe represents the 500,000th member. “I became a nurse because I wanted to make a real difference for people when they need it most,” she said. “The people who work at SickKids are what makes the hospital exceptional. HOOPP gives my colleagues and me peace of mind about our future, so we can focus on taking care of our patients today.”

HOOPP members benefit from portability within Ontario’s healthcare sector – meaning they can move between HOOPP participating employers with the confidence of knowing their pension will remain secure and continue to grow. As more members join the Plan, HOOPP becomes even better positioned to deliver long-term value while maintaining strong funding levels. At the same time, increased enrollment supports the broader healthcare system by providing workforce stability, while enhancing employers’ ability to attract and retain top talent.

“We know that a strong pension offering is crucial to a healthy, happy and productive workforce,” said Ivana Zanardo, HOOPP’s Head of Plan Services. “By knowing their retirement security is in safe hands with HOOPP, healthcare professionals can focus their energy on delivering exceptional care to patients and communities across Ontario.” 

Quite a milestone, HOOPP members are very lucky, I tell all my physician friends working in Ontario to look into whether getting a HOOPP pension makes sense for them, it certainly does for younger doctors looking to retire in dignity and security.

Below, a conversation with Annesley Wallace, President & CEO of HOOPP, on the critical role HOOPP plays in securing the financial futures of its members. As HOOPP’s new leader, Annesley is charting an ambitious strategic plan to maximize the value of the Plan, strengthen the resilience of its investment portfolio, and adapt with the healthcare community to remain its pension plan of choice (Canadian Club Toronto, September 2025).

La Caisse CEO on Moving Canada's Infrastructure Projects Along

Pension Pulse -

Barbara Shecter of the National Post reports why Caisse CEO Charles Emond thinks Canada is close to getting the infrastructure formula right:

Spurred by the looming trade renegotiation with the United States, institutional investors and the Canadian government are finally on the same page and ready to push ahead with multi-billion-dollar projects in priority areas such as infrastructure, critical minerals and housing, says Charles Emond, chief executive of one of the country’s biggest pension funds.

“The government (is) actually getting more synchronized with what private investors are looking for,” said Emond, who leads the $496-billion Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec. “You can sense a momentum.  That is a big difference from before.” 

Ottawa is pushing to “catalyze” hundreds of billions of dollars in private investment to shore up government spending on projects that can boost the economy and reduce dependence on the U.S., and Emond said the renegotiation of the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) in 2026 is galvanizing both sides to find ways to get such deals done.

The Quebec pension is already participating in a nation-building infrastructure project to expand capacity at Montreal’s port — one of five fast-tracked by Mark Carney’s government in September. And that is just the tip of the iceberg when it comes to the size and scale of what could be on the agenda in the next year or two.

“We’ve got a pretty big pipeline of several projects in the tens of billions (of dollars), whereby we hope to be able to actually keep pushing the dialogue and get something going,” said Emond, whose fund’s infrastructure arm is also part of a consortium co-developing a high-speed rail line between Toronto and Quebec City alongside the federal government.

“We’ve talked to the federal government about a lot of these projects that are in (or run through) Quebec, and there’s interesting things (ahead), whether it’s in critical minerals, housing and transportation.”

As 2025 brought a wave of U.S. tariffs and other economic threats that reverberated in countries around the world, some Canadian pension executives were sufficiently spooked by the rising global risks to begin speaking openly about wanting to participate in domestic projects.

Emond said the roadmap since provided by Carney — which includes five priority areas including energy transportation and export, critical minerals development and port expansion, alongside a centralized Major Projects Office — puts a solid framework in place. That could eventually see deals of the size and scale of a £38 billion nuclear project in the United Kingdom, driven by a need for energy security there, that the Caisse is backing with a $3.2-billion investment, he said.

The palpable shift comes after a decade of Ottawa’s largely failed attempts to entice private funds to back pet projects and, more recently, pensions pushing back against any government pressure to devote a greater share of their investment dollars and expertise to Canada.

The federal government has been pushing Canada‘s globe-trotting pensions to invest more in Canada since at least 2016, with pressure amped up again in the waning years of Justin Trudeau’s nine-year stint as prime minister. For the most part, however, there was a mismatch between what the government wanted to promote and build and what pensions were willing to fund.

Some of the projects put on offer weren’t large or scalable enough to justify the management time, while others lacked the appropriate risk and return formulas to fulfill fund mandates and meet obligations to pensioners.

But there are significant signs things are different this time. Instead of dreading a threat of quotas, pension funds are now bringing their ideas to the government.

“They are having an open dialogue with investors like us as to what is needed to attract capital,” said Emond, whose fund is unique in Canada with a dual mandate that pairs the objective of investment returns with the pursuit of projects to boost Quebec’s economy.

There is also a new willingness in Ottawa to discuss adopting models that have been successful abroad, he said, such as Australia’s “asset recycling” program from the late 2010s. 

Under the program, the Australian government raised more than $23 billion AUD to fund new infrastructure projects by selling or leasing assets that were already producing returns to pension funds. Some of the proceeds were earmarked for new projects that might not yield a return for years. Notably, the Caisse de dépôt and another Canadian pension fund, the Ontario Municipal Employees Retirement System (OMERS), participated in the Australian program, buying stakes in assets from electricity transmission to ports.

“So there’s a way to sell us stabilized assets that will provide capital (while the) government gets new capital and can re-inject it in the other project that they wish to launch in spite of the fact that they may be more difficult to invest in for pension funds,” Emond said. “The reality is, there’s often a way to align interests and meet the objectives of both governments and investors in combining all that, as opposed to taking them separately.”

That doesn’t mean there’s a one-size-fits-all formula to meet the government’s objectives of combining public and private funding to back big projects that boost Canada’s economy and reduce reliance on the United States, he said. But even a modest asset recycling program in Canada with no more than five per cent of all government assets opened up to private investors could generate between $25 billion and $50 billion to be redeployed into riskier assets, according to economists at the Bank of Nova Scotia.

“A more ambitious push could exceed $100 billion,” Rebekah Young, a Scotiabank vice-president and economist, said in a June report. “And that’s before factoring in reinvestment ripple effects.”

By her estimate, about half of Canada’s government-owned infrastructure  — the roads, rail, bridges, ports, airports, utilities, and pipelines totaling $470 billion on public balance sheets — would be a fit for the pensions.

Canadian pension fund holdings of domestic infrastructure are far lower than those of their counterparts in the United Kingdom, Europe and the United States, as well as Australia, because there has been limited monetization of such assets by all levels of government in the country, she noted.

“A disciplined asset recycling agenda across all levels of government (in Canada) could redeploy capital from mature assets into the riskier and potentially transformational new investments — without an over-reliance on new borrowing,” the economist wrote, adding that this would bolster both fiscal resilience and long-term economic growth.

Many government-owned assets are in provincial and municipal hands, but Young’s analysis includes the federal government’s holdings in Canada’s largest airports. Ottawa leases 23 airports, including Toronto Pearson International Airport, to not-for-profit airport authorities that have operated them since the early 1990s. But November’s budget indicated that the government will now consider options for privatizing airports. The idea was studied but then shelved nearly a decade ago by the previous Liberal government. Transport Canada also owns and operates a number of smaller airports in British Columbia, Manitoba, Quebec and Newfoundland. 

Airports are among the global infrastructure investments made by Canadian pension funds over the past couple of decades, including the Caisse de dépôt, which was part of the consortium that bought London’s busy Heathrow Airport in 2006.

“This is a sector where we have deep experience,” a spokesperson for the Caisse said when asked about potential interest in airports in Quebec or elsewhere across the country. “But it is up to the federal government to identify its options.”

The Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan and the Public Sector Pension Investment Board (PSP) have also been keen investors in airports, even establishing dedicated divisions to manage the investments.

Deb Orida, chief executive of the PSP Investments, said earlier this year that her fund is looking for more ways to invest at home and would welcome an opportunity to parlay international infrastructure expertise into ownership of Canadian assets, including airports and data centres.

“We continue to be on the lookout for good opportunities to leverage our ‘home ice advantage’ and explore new investment opportunities,” a spokesperson for the fund, which has $68.7 billion invested in Canada, said via email. “We are excited to continue to leverage our global expertise here, in Canada.”

Ella Plotkin, leader of the global infrastructure and projects group at Fasken Martineau DuMoulin LLP, said she, like Emond, is feeling the momentum to get large public-private projects off the ground in the coming year. Her phone has been ringing more since Carney’s election in April. With a corresponding buzz at conferences and even her 14-year-old son suddenly finding infrastructure “cool,” she said she is feeling optimistic.

“If now is not the moment, I don’t know when it will be,” she said. “I absolutely see this as a moment in time for Canada to grab on to the need that’s there (and) the funding that is looking for good projects.”

Emond stopped short of predicting liftoff in the next 12 months. But he said the CUSMA trade negotiations in 2026 will undoubtedly keep the pressure on the government and pensions to play ball after a decade of misalignment.

“If there’s no renegotiation, or if it’s bumpy along the way, even a delay can certainly bring the economy under its full potential,” he said. “We need to keep thinking about these big projects to fill in the gap.”

Let me begin by wishing everyone a happy & healthy new year.

Good article to kick off things in 2026 as Charles Emond and others provide excellent insights here. 

I agree with general sentiment of the article, Carney's government is dead serious about getting mega projects going and this is the time to seize on opportunities to create winning conditions for everyone to accelerate investments in infrastructure.

Keep in mind Mark Carney was a senior exec at Brookfield before coming into politics, knows all the players well, didn't waste time to appoint Timothy Hodgson, his trusted confidant, to be Minister of Energy and Natural Resources, appointed Marc-Andre Blanchard  to be his Chief of Staff, appointed Michael Sabia as Head of the Public Service, and just recently appointed Mark Wiseman to be the next Ambassador of Canada to the United States.

It's no accident the former head and former senior exec of La Caisse and former head of CPP Investments are part of the entourage, Carney chooses his close entourage carefully and he has an ambitious agenda to fulfill.

His government is diametrically opposed to the Trudeau government in every way, shape and form.

But here is where my flattery ends and some criticism begins.

The honeymoon is over, we have heard a lot of talk on mega projects and attracting the private sector to invest in Canada's infrastructure but very little in terms of meaningful action. 

I'm not blaming Carney for this or his entourage, there is a sclerotic bureaucracy in Ottawa and relations with the civil service aren't great after the announced worker buyouts (how exactly they are funding this remains a mystery).

I'd love to think we have all the time in the world but as Mr. Trump taught us this week, we don't, we better get going or risk being left behind as the Trump administration moves fast to implement an aggressive America first policy.

Should we use the Australian model to fund new infrastructure projects by selling or leasing assets that were already producing returns to pension funds?

Sure, why not, and while we are at it, let's also look into what Australia is doing right in healthcare (number one system in the world with right private/ public mix) and pension coverage (way ahead of us there too).

I don't care what model we use, I want to read in the papers tomorrow the federal government is privatizing Pearson International and that monstrosity of an airport we have in Montreal (Trudeau Airport, the laughingstock of North American airports). 

So, while I welcome the "dialogue," enough talk already, "Just do it" like the Nike commercials used to say and "show us the beef" already.

We are losing precious time, time we don't have because Trump moves like a hurricane, he invaded Venezuela and got rid of Maduro and now he's even threatening to take over Greenland for strategic reasons. 

Whatever you think of his tactics, the man moves fast and resolutely.

Sometimes I wish our Canadian politicians did the same, time to move past polite dialogue and get to it already.

Below, Prime Minister Mark Carney said Tuesday the removal of Venezuela's 'illegitimate, corrupt, repressive' leader is welcome news that creates the possibility for democratic transition, before noting that he thinks Canada's 'low-risk' oil sector will remain competitive.

And CBC Radio's Front Burner discussed Canada's Venezuelean oil problem earlier today. Good discussion, have a listen.

Billionaire-funded Trump Accounts won’t end child poverty: But they will widen structural inequities in the U.S. economy

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In recent months, uber-rich families and companies have pledged millions of dollars to support a new savings program for children, known as Trump Accounts. In early December, for example, Dell Founder and CEO Michael Dell made a historic pledge of $6.25 billion to strengthen the new infrastructure for Trump Accounts. This gift aims to provide about 25 million children under age 11, from economically disadvantaged zip codes, with about $250 as an incentive to join the new savings vehicle. Soon after this, hedge fund manager Ray Dalio pledged $75 million to certain children in Connecticut in another effort to encourage additional participation.

The Trump-Vance administration has announced each of these charitable contributions with considerable fanfare, staging press and campaign-style events and promising that U.S. companies and other philanthropist will soon follow. What is often missing from the White House celebrations is an explanation of how exactly these gifts and the new Trump Accounts will alleviate child poverty and inequity.

The truth is that the U.S. falls behind peer countries from the developed world in its fight against child poverty. These deprivations are particularly harmful to children of color due the deterministic role that structural racism plays in the American economy. A pretax and voluntary savings vehicle with little government support, and at the mercy of charitable inclinations, will do little for the millions of low-income families who can’t afford to save. In fact, these accounts are poised to compound structural inequities that have persistently delivered disparate outcomes for disadvantaged families. This is because the Trump Accounts fail to adequately account for the scope of child poverty and inequity. They also crudely overlook the root causes of these issues by framing them as the result of insufficient savings.

Child poverty is a defining feature of the U.S. economy

More than 9 million children struggle with poverty in the United States. This amounts to more than 1 in 10 children who live in households with insufficient resources to provide an adequate and dignifying standard of living in the world’s richest country. This is not a new economic reality. Since 2009, child poverty has declined by less than 4 percentage points in the U.S., leaving the country with the second-highest child poverty rate in the rich world—behind only Urugay, a Latin American country with a significantly lower living standard.

Child poverty in the U.S. is especially harmful to children of color. More than 1 in 5 Black and Hispanic children struggled below the poverty line (see Figure A). Similarly, more than 1 in 6 (16.6%) American Indian and Alaska Native (AIAN) children have remained under the poverty line since 2022. Overall, children of color are more than twice as likely as their white peers to experience material shortcomings. This prolonged exposure to poverty is likely to translate into even broader disadvantages throughout these children’s lives, with relatively poorer outcomes than their more affluent peers in health, education, earnings, and even retirement.

Figure AFigure A

Making a significant dent on child poverty in the U.S. will require more than a voluntary savings vehicle backed by a one-time federal government contribution of $1,000 for each of the 3 million children born annually through 2028. This promise under the new Trump Accounts severely understates the problem of child poverty in the U.S. and it carelessly misidentifies the drivers of early deprivation and inequity.

Child poverty is a policy choice driven by a withering welfare state and structural inequities in the labor market

In 2021, the U.S. proved that it deliberately tolerates high poverty rates for children. The expanded welfare state that followed the pandemic led to a historic decline in child poverty. Economic relief measures and expanded access for low-income families to tax credits (like the Child Tax Credit) and basic needs programs (like SNAP) helped reduce the prevalence of child poverty by nearly half between 2020 and 2021. However, all these gains quickly vanished when this enhanced social safety net expired. Today, child poverty is higher than it was in 2019, and it is likely to worsen with major cuts to programs like SNAP and Medicaid the Trump-Vance administration signed into law last summer. These programs lifted 1.4 million and 6.1 million children out of poverty in 2024, respectively.

Alleviating child poverty in the U.S. will also require confronting the low-wage employment regime sustained by a federal minimum wage that officially became a poverty wage in 2025. Low-wage work leaves more than 10 million workers in poverty. The growing divergence between the productivity of the U.S. economy and the earnings of the typical worker leaves millions of workers vulnerable to poverty and economic insecurity. About 67 million workers earn less than $25 per hour, a threshold considerably lower than the hourly earnings of a typical worker had their pay kept pace with productivity.

The defining role of structural racism in the U.S. labor market means that workers of color are more likely than their white peers to be part of the low-wage workforce. These workers of color are also more exposed than their peers to unemployment and lack dependable and consistent income. Compared with less than 1 in 3 (31.5%) of their white peers, more than 2 in 5 Black (43.3%) and Hispanic (46.3%) adults report having difficulties paying their bills due to monthly fluctuations in income. This economic insecurity means that less than half of Black and Hispanic adults have enough savings to cover expenses for three months in case of a job loss or other emergency (see Figure B). A savings vehicle without continued government support for disadvantaged families will only deepen existing inequities for families who can’t even afford to maintain their living standard in the event of an unexpected economic shock. 

Figure BFigure B Trump Accounts distract us from real solutions that lean on the functional power of wealth, a strong labor market and welfare state

Trump’s new savings vehicle for children falls short of the more ambitious Baby Bonds proposed by economists like Darrick Hamilton and William Darity. Since 2021, versions of Baby Bonds legislation have been introduced federally and in several states. Unlike Trump Accounts, national Baby Bonds commit the federal government to a publicly funded account beyond an initial endowment with additional contributions until the child reaches the age of 18. These continued contributions by the federal government would follow a progressive structure, with children from resource constrained households receiving relatively larger endowments that they can later access at the age of 18 to purchase a home or start a business.  

The continued commitment to a federally funded and progressively seeded account means that Baby Bonds are intentionally designed to narrow racial disparities in wealth. Since families of color only have a fraction of the net worth that their white peers enjoy, the larger public contributions to children from resource constrained households would disproportionately benefit children of color. This explains why impact assessments show that Baby Bonds can effectively narrow the racial wealth disparities that reflect a long history of economic exploitation and exclusion.

Without these characteristics, Trump’s voluntary savings accounts are poised to widen wealth disparities for generations. The more resource constrained families will be unable to keep up with the contributions of their more affluent peers—broadening inequities in wealth even further. This is particularly true under the Trump-Vance economy, characterized by sluggish job growth and rising unemployment. Trump’s economy is also one in which food insecure families that rely on nutritional assistance programs like SNAP—and those that rely on Medicaid and CHIP for health coverage—face ever more stringent conditions intentionally designed to limit access to support and to raise questions about the deservingness of social assistance. At this rate, the Trump-Vance administration is looking to make the U.S. the leader of child poverty in the rich world.

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